Leveraged thrill ride pretending to be a normal growth portfolio but secretly auditioning as a hedge fund
Report created on Jul 19, 2026Risk profile
5/7
Diversification profile
3/5
Positions
-
RS Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF
RSST - US88636J8163 40.00% -
ED Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares
EDV - US9219107094 20.00% -
SP Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
SPMO - US46138E3392 20.00% -
UP ProShares UltraPro S&P500
UPRO - US74347X8645 20.00%
This portfolio looks like someone crammed a hedge fund into a retail account and hoped compliance wouldn’t notice. You’ve got 40% in a stacked futures product, 20% in ultra-long Treasuries, 20% in pure momentum, and 20% in 3x leveraged S&P. That’s not a mix; that’s a science experiment. Structurally it’s one big bet on U.S. stocks with leverage and some managed futures plus a bond position that behaves like an emotional support drama queen. The “Growth” risk label is hilarious here — this is growth with a side of whiplash. Composition-wise, it’s less “diversified portfolio” and more “theme park of volatility.”
Growth
Historically, the numbers look impressive in that “what could possibly go wrong” way. A ~$1,000 stake nearly doubled to ~$1,965 with a 26.75% CAGR, beating both U.S. and global markets by around 5–6 percentage points a year. But that -28.8% max drawdown in a short window is the catch: CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth road-trip average; drawdown is the moment the car hits black ice. Also, 90% of the gains arrived in just 18 days — this thing lives and dies on a few lucky flips of the coin. Past data here is more stunt reel than safety demo.
Projection
The Monte Carlo projection politely taps the brakes on the recent joyride. Simulation is basically “run this portfolio through 1,000 alternate weather forecasts” and see where $1,000 lands in 15 years. Median outcome of ~$2,638 and an average annualized 7.24% suddenly looks very mortal, especially after that flashy 26%+ historical CAGR. The range is wide: about $1,169 to $6,034 between pessimistic and optimistic scenarios. That’s the price of leverage and concentrated risk: great stories if things go right, awkward silences if they don’t. As usual, past performance is yesterday’s weather — useful, but it doesn’t stop tomorrow’s storm.
Asset classes
- Stocks 130%
- Other 14%
Asset-class-wise, this portfolio has decided that normal rules are optional. You’re sitting at 130% in stocks plus 14% “other,” thanks to derivative-heavy and leveraged products. That’s effectively borrowing market exposure, even if no margin line is shown on the statement. Instead of using different asset classes to balance each other, the structure piles more on the same side of the see-saw and then throws in some futures and long-duration Treasuries for extra drama. It’s the opposite of a sleepy mix: more like running everything on hard mode and calling it “moderately diversified” with a straight face.
Sectors
- Technology 30%
- Financials 9%
- Industrials 8%
- Telecommunications 7%
- Health Care 7%
- Consumer Discretionary 6%
- Consumer Staples 4%
- Energy 4%
- Basic Materials 2%
- Utilities 2%
- Real Estate 1%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only. Some holdings may not have full classification data available. Percentages may not add up to 100%.
Sector exposure screams “U.S. equity beta with a tech crush,” even if it’s not totally outrageous on paper. Tech at 30% is a clear lead role, with financials, industrials, telecoms, and healthcare playing background characters. The real twist isn’t the sector breakdown itself but how it’s delivered: via momentum and leveraged S&P exposure, which means sector weights can swing faster than a normal broad index. When tech or high-fliers rip, this setup rides the wave; when they face-plant, there’s not much in the sector mix that stands up as the adult in the room. Under the hood, it’s volatility in sector clothing.
Regions
- North America 74%
- Europe Developed 6%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only. Some holdings may not have full classification data available. Percentages may not add up to 100%.
Geographically, this is very “USA and friends who barely matter.” About 74% lives in North America, with a token 6% in developed Europe and effectively nothing elsewhere. For something already juiced with leverage and futures, the home bias just stacks more chips on the same table. If the U.S. equity engine hiccups, there isn’t much international diversification to act as a second opinion. It’s like insisting one country’s market has all the good ideas and then doubling down on it with extra risk. Sensible global ballast is noticeably missing from this particular ship.
Market capitalization
- Mega-cap 38%
- Large-cap 32%
- Mid-cap 12%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only.
The market-cap profile is very “big kids only” — 38% mega-cap, 32% large-cap, 12% mid-cap, with small caps basically left in the parking lot. On the surface, that looks boringly mainstream. But combine large-cap dominance with momentum and leverage, and those huge names become turbo-charged. When mega-caps run, the portfolio looks like a genius; when they wobble, there’s not much offset from smaller, scrappier companies that might behave differently. It’s the classic “all the popular kids on one team” lineup: impressive when the game goes their way, painfully exposed when it doesn’t.
True holdings
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ON SPDR Russell 1000 ETF 29.43%
Part of fund(s):- Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF
-
FG First American Funds Inc. - Government Obligations Fund 6.57%
Part of fund(s):- Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF
-
IQ Proshares Genius Money Market ETF 4.38%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares UltraPro S&P500
-
NV NVIDIA Corporation 2.48%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500
-
MU Micron Technology Inc 1.96%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
-
AV Broadcom Inc 1.59%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500
-
GO Alphabet Inc Class A 1.24%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500
-
GO Alphabet Inc Class C 0.99%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500
-
JN Johnson & Johnson 0.90%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
-
AM Advanced Micro Devices Inc 0.83%
Part of fund(s):- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
- Top 10 total 50.38%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only.
The look-through holdings show a quiet overlap party going on. Nearly 30% traces back to a broad Russell 1000 ETF, and then you see the usual suspects — NVIDIA, Broadcom, Alphabet, AMD — popping up via different wrappers. Add in two different money market-style exposures and you get a weird mix of hyper-aggressive leverage and sleepy cash-like stuff inside the same structures. Overlap is likely understated since only top-10 ETF positions are visible, but even this partial picture shows hidden concentration in the same big names. It’s diversification by logo count, not by actual underlying risk drivers.
Factors
Factor exposures are estimated using statistical models based on historical data and measure systematic (market-relative) tilts, not absolute portfolio characteristics. Results may vary depending on the analysis period, data availability, and currency of the underlying assets.
The factor profile is basically “speed now, safety later… or never.” Momentum is high at 61% — chasing what’s already winning — while low volatility crawls in at 16%, a strong tilt away from anything remotely calm. That’s like flooring the gas while ripping out the seatbelts because they “ruin the vibe.” Value, quality, and yield are roughly neutral, so they’re not really saving the day. Factor exposure is just the ingredient list behind performance, and here the recipe says: favor hot, fast, and fragile over steady and boring. In turbulent markets, that bias can turn quickly from thrill to nausea.
Risk contribution
-
Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF
Weight: 40.00% 39.9% -
ProShares UltraPro S&P500
Weight: 20.00% 38.6% -
Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
Weight: 20.00% 17.2% -
Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares
Weight: 20.00% 4.4%
Risk contribution lays it bare: the portfolio pretends to be four funds, but two of them run the show. The 40% stacked U.S. stocks & managed futures ETF contributes about 40% of the total risk, which is at least honest. The 20% 3x S&P fund, though, contributes almost 39% of total risk — that little slice is punching nearly 2x above its weight. Meanwhile, the long-duration Treasury fund sits at 20% weight but only ~4% of risk, acting like the quiet kid in a room full of drummers. Top three positions delivering over 95% of risk means one or two misbehaving trades could drive the entire portfolio’s mood.
Risk vs. return
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The efficient frontier chart basically calls this portfolio out for being loud but inefficient. At 22.6% risk and 25.1% return, the Sharpe ratio is 0.93 — not terrible, but the “optimal” mix using these exact same ingredients reaches a Sharpe of 1.57 with slightly lower risk and much higher return. Sitting 10.5 percentage points below the frontier is like running the same race in heavier shoes for fun. Reweighting only the existing holdings could get closer to the best achievable trade-off, but as it stands, the portfolio is paying a lot of volatility for less reward than its own components can deliver.
Dividends
- Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares 5.20%
- Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF 1.00%
- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.70%
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500 0.80%
- Weighted yield (per year) 1.74%
Yield here is an afterthought wearing a Treasury costume. Overall income sits at about 1.74%, which is more “token pocket change” than “meaningful paycheck.” That number is juiced mostly by the 5.2% yield on the extended-duration Treasury ETF; the equity and leveraged bits barely bother to contribute. So the portfolio is essentially betting on price swings, not cash flow, which is consistent with the momentum and leverage theme. Anyone hoping this setup quietly prints dividends in the background will instead find that most of the action lives in the chart, not in the income line.
Ongoing product costs
- Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares 0.06%
- Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF 1.04%
- Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.13%
- ProShares UltraPro S&P500 0.92%
- Weighted costs total (per year) 0.64%
Costs are where this Franken-hedge-fund charges a cover fee. A blended TER of 0.64% isn’t outrageous for such exotic toys, but it’s miles above plain-vanilla index levels. The stacked return ETF at 1.04% and the 3x S&P at 0.92% are the bouncers at the door collecting their cut every year, win or lose. Yes, some complexity just costs more, but from the portfolio’s perspective, that’s a built-in performance drag it has to outrun annually. To be fair, it’s not highway robbery — more like paying craft-cocktail prices for a drink that’s mostly leverage and marketing.
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