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Strong global equity portfolio tilted to small value momentum and semiconductor growth drivers

Report created on Apr 25, 2026

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

3/5
Moderately Diversified
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is fully invested in six equity ETFs, with no bonds or cash in the mix. The structure is quite concentrated in its style: 40% sits in small-cap value and emerging markets, 40% in international and US momentum strategies, and 20% in a focused semiconductor ETF. That means nearly everything here is growth-oriented and return‑seeking rather than capital‑preserving. A 100% stock allocation typically brings higher long‑term return potential but also sharper ups and downs along the way. The combination of factor funds and a concentrated industry ETF gives the portfolio clear return “engines,” but also means results will likely deviate meaningfully from broad market indices at times.

Growth Info

Historically, $1,000 invested in this portfolio in late 2019 grew to about $3,410, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.61%. CAGR is like your average speed on a road trip, smoothing out bumps along the way. This comfortably beat both the US market (15.87%) and the global market (13.34%) over the same period. The max drawdown, or worst peak‑to‑trough drop, was about -35.2% during early 2020, slightly deeper than broad markets but not dramatically so. Only 28 days generated 90% of total returns, highlighting how a handful of strong days drove much of the outcome. That pattern is common in concentrated, growthy equity portfolios. Past returns, though, can’t guarantee similar future results.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo projection uses historical returns and volatility to simulate many possible future paths for the portfolio. Think of it as rolling the dice 1,000 times, each time representing a different 15‑year journey based on how the portfolio has behaved before. The median outcome grows $1,000 to around $2,788, with a wide “middle” range from roughly $1,787 to $4,179. Extreme but still plausible outcomes span from about $941 to $7,486. The average annual return across simulations is 8.09%, materially lower than the recent historical 20%+ CAGR, which reflects the model’s assumption that such high returns are unlikely to persist indefinitely. These are statistical scenarios, not predictions, and they don’t capture structural changes in markets.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

All of the portfolio sits in stocks, so there is no built‑in cushion from bonds, cash, or other defensive assets. Asset allocation is simply 100% equities, which maximizes exposure to equity market risk and potential return. Compared with broad “balanced” allocations that mix stocks and bonds, this structure tends to experience larger swings during both rallies and downturns. The absence of other asset classes means diversification happens only within equities, across regions, factors, and company sizes. This is perfectly coherent as a strategy, but it places the full ride on how global stocks behave, without the generally stabilizing effect that fixed income can bring in some environments.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    35%
  • Financials
    19%
  • Industrials
    15%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    7%
  • Basic Materials
    6%
  • Energy
    6%
  • Telecommunications
    3%
  • Health Care
    3%
  • Utilities
    3%
  • Consumer Staples
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%

Sector exposure is clearly tilted toward technology at 35%, with financials (19%) and industrials (15%) as the next largest groups, while other sectors sit in single digits. Many broad global equity benchmarks currently have technology as the largest sector, but this portfolio leans even more heavily into it, in part due to the dedicated semiconductor ETF. Tech‑heavy portfolios can benefit strongly when innovation and digital demand are rewarded, but they also tend to be more sensitive to interest‑rate changes, supply‑chain shocks, and shifts in market sentiment about growth. The remaining spread across sectors does add diversification, yet the tech overweight means sector trends in that area are likely to have an outsized influence on overall returns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    60%
  • Europe Developed
    12%
  • Asia Developed
    11%
  • Asia Emerging
    8%
  • Japan
    4%
  • Africa/Middle East
    2%
  • Latin America
    2%
  • Europe Emerging
    1%

Geographically, about 60% of the portfolio is in North America, with the rest spread across developed Europe and Asia, Japan, and multiple emerging regions. Compared with a typical global equity benchmark, this is somewhat US‑tilted but still carries meaningful exposure to the rest of the world. Emerging markets collectively account for around 11% when combining Asia Emerging, Latin America, Africa/Middle East, and Europe Emerging, which is a noticeable share. Geographic diversification helps spread risk across different economies, currencies, and policy environments. At the same time, the tilt toward North America keeps the portfolio relatively aligned with the current global market-cap distribution, which is often viewed as a balanced reference point.

Market capitalization Info

  • Large-cap
    30%
  • Mega-cap
    28%
  • Mid-cap
    16%
  • Small-cap
    16%
  • Micro-cap
    9%

By market capitalization, the portfolio spans the whole spectrum, from mega‑caps (28%) and large‑caps (30%) down to mid‑caps (16%), small‑caps (16%), and micro‑caps (9%). That’s a broad size distribution, but with a meaningful tilt away from a pure mega/large‑cap dominance you’d see in many cap‑weighted indexes. Smaller companies often have higher growth potential but also more volatility and business risk. Having almost a quarter of the portfolio in small and micro‑caps, alongside significant mid‑cap exposure, makes size an important driver of performance. This broad mix supports diversification across company stages, yet also means returns can diverge more from headline indices that are heavily influenced by the very largest firms.

True holdings Info

  • Broadcom Inc
    2.49%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • NVIDIA Corporation
    2.46%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Micron Technology Inc
    2.04%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Advanced Micro Devices Inc
    1.69%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Marvell Technology Group Ltd
    1.24%
    Part of fund(s):
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
    1.22%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Avantis® Emerging Markets Equity ETF
  • Applied Materials Inc
    1.05%
    Part of fund(s):
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Intel Corporation
    0.97%
    Part of fund(s):
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • HSBC Holdings PLC
    0.89%
    Part of fund(s):
    • Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF
  • Monolithic Power Systems Inc
    0.89%
    Part of fund(s):
    • iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • Top 10 total 14.95%

Looking through the ETFs’ top holdings, semiconductors and related technology names stand out: Broadcom, NVIDIA, Micron, AMD, Marvell, TSMC, Applied Materials, Intel, and Monolithic Power Systems all appear. Broadcom and NVIDIA each end up around 2.5% of the overall portfolio based on the sampled top‑10 data. Because only top‑10 holdings are captured, true overlap is likely higher, but this already signals a notable concentration in a single industry and its ecosystem. Hidden concentration like this can amplify both the upside and downside tied to that theme. When these companies are in favor, portfolio performance may look very strong; when the semiconductor cycle turns, their combined impact can dominate short‑term results.

Factors Info

Value
Preference for undervalued stocks
Neutral
Data availability: 100%
Size
Exposure to smaller companies
High
Data availability: 100%
Momentum
Exposure to recently outperforming stocks
Neutral
Data availability: 100%
Quality
Preference for financially healthy companies
Neutral
Data availability: 100%
Yield
Preference for dividend-paying stocks
Neutral
Data availability: 100%
Low Volatility
Preference for stable, lower-risk stocks
Neutral
Data availability: 100%

Factor exposure is fairly balanced overall, with most factors close to neutral relative to the market. Size stands out with a “High” exposure at 68%, meaning the portfolio leans more toward smaller companies than a broad index. Factor investing treats traits like size, value, or momentum as ingredients that explain return patterns. A higher size exposure often leads to more volatility and sometimes stronger performance over very long periods, but also longer stretches where returns can lag big‑cap benchmarks. Other factors—value, momentum, quality, yield, and low volatility—cluster around neutral, so there isn’t a strong style bet in those dimensions. The portfolio’s behavior is therefore most likely to be influenced by its size tilt and industry choices rather than extreme factor positions elsewhere.

Risk contribution Info

  • iShares Semiconductor ETF
    Weight: 20.00%
    29.3%
  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
    Weight: 20.00%
    21.2%
  • Avantis® Emerging Markets Equity ETF
    Weight: 20.00%
    15.6%
  • Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF
    Weight: 20.00%
    15.4%
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
    Weight: 10.00%
    9.8%
  • Top 5 risk contribution 91.4%

Risk contribution shows how much each ETF adds to the portfolio’s overall ups and downs, which can be different from its weight. The semiconductor ETF is 20% by weight but contributes about 29% of total portfolio risk, with a risk/weight ratio of 1.47, making it the main risk driver. The US small‑cap value ETF also slightly over‑contributes to risk relative to its 20% weight. In contrast, emerging markets and international momentum funds contribute less risk than their weights would suggest. Altogether, the top three positions account for about two‑thirds of total risk. This indicates that while the allocation looks evenly split on paper, actual volatility is concentrated in a few key holdings, especially semiconductors.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

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The efficient frontier chart compares this portfolio’s risk/return mix with the best combinations possible using the same holdings. The Sharpe ratio, which measures return per unit of risk above a risk‑free rate, is 0.75 for the current allocation. The optimal mix of these ETFs reaches a Sharpe of 0.97, while the minimum‑variance mix sits at 0.80. The current portfolio lies about 1.87 percentage points below the frontier at its risk level, meaning that different weightings of the same six funds could, in theory, deliver higher expected return for the same volatility. Importantly, this analysis doesn’t require adding new products—only reshuffling the existing ones—though it’s still based on historical behavior that may not persist.

Dividends Info

  • Avantis® Emerging Markets Equity ETF 2.20%
  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.30%
  • Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF 3.60%
  • iShares Semiconductor ETF 0.40%
  • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.80%
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF 0.60%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.64%

The portfolio’s overall dividend yield is about 1.64%, which is relatively modest and reflects its growth‑oriented nature. Yield is simply the annual cash payouts divided by price, like rental income from a property. The highest yielding ETF here is the international developed momentum fund at 3.6%, while the semiconductor ETF yields only 0.4%. This means most of the total return historically and prospectively is likely to come from price movements rather than income. For investors comparing this to more income‑focused strategies, it’s useful to remember that lower current yield doesn’t necessarily mean lower total return—it just changes the balance between cash today and potential growth tomorrow. Dividend levels can also change as companies adjust their payout policies.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Avantis® Emerging Markets Equity ETF 0.33%
  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
  • Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF 0.25%
  • iShares Semiconductor ETF 0.35%
  • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.13%
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF 0.34%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.28%

The portfolio’s weighted average expense ratio (TER) is about 0.28% per year, which is quite competitive for a mix of specialized factor and sector ETFs. TER is the annual fee charged by funds, quietly deducted from assets—similar to a management fee for running a property. Individual fund costs range from 0.13% to 0.35%, with the lower‑cost S&P 500 momentum ETF helping to keep the overall average down. Over long periods, keeping fees moderate like this helps more of the gross return stay in the portfolio, especially when compounded over many years. While there may be slightly cheaper broad‑market alternatives, this cost level is reasonable given the more targeted strategies in use.

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