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A growth-focused portfolio with high tech exposure and low geographic diversification

Report created on Jan 7, 2025

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is heavily weighted towards equities, with a significant 44.52% allocation in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. It also includes the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF at 31.21% and the Vanguard Information Technology ETF at 24.27%. This composition leans strongly towards large-cap U.S. stocks, with a distinct emphasis on growth and technology sectors. Compared to common benchmarks, this portfolio lacks diversification across asset classes, as it predominantly consists of stocks. To enhance diversification, consider adding other asset classes, such as bonds or international equities, which can help balance risk and return.

Growth Info

Historically, this portfolio has performed well, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 17.35%. However, it has experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -32.83%, indicating high volatility. The return distribution reveals that a small number of days account for the majority of gains, suggesting that timing can significantly impact performance. While past performance is not indicative of future results, this historical data highlights the potential for strong returns alongside substantial risk. Investors should ensure their risk tolerance aligns with such volatility and consider strategies to mitigate potential drawdowns.

Projection Info

Using Monte Carlo simulations, which model potential future outcomes based on historical data, this portfolio shows a wide range of possible returns. The median (50th percentile) outcome projects a substantial 961.52% growth, with the worst-case (5th percentile) still showing positive returns at 167.03%. While these projections are promising, remember that they are based on historical trends and thus come with inherent uncertainties. Investors should use these projections as a guide rather than a guarantee, and remain prepared for a variety of market conditions.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio's asset allocation is heavily skewed towards stocks, making up 99.81% of the total, with a negligible cash position. This concentration in equities suggests a focus on capital appreciation rather than income or capital preservation. Compared to a more balanced benchmark, this portfolio lacks exposure to fixed-income securities, which could provide stability and income. To improve diversification and potentially reduce volatility, consider incorporating bonds or other non-equity asset classes, which can act as a buffer during market downturns.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    54%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    9%
  • Health Care
    8%
  • Telecommunications
    8%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Industrials
    5%
  • Consumer Staples
    3%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Utilities
    1%
  • Basic Materials
    1%
  • Real Estate
    1%

Sector-wise, the portfolio is dominated by technology at 53.68%, followed by consumer cyclicals and healthcare, each under 9%. This heavy concentration in tech aligns with growth objectives but increases exposure to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or tech market corrections. Compared to typical benchmarks, this portfolio is less diversified across sectors, potentially heightening volatility. To mitigate sector-specific risks, consider reallocating a portion of the tech-heavy holdings to other sectors like energy or utilities, which often perform differently in varying economic conditions.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%

Geographically, the portfolio is overwhelmingly concentrated in North America, accounting for 99.45% of its assets. This limited global exposure may reduce diversification benefits and increase vulnerability to regional economic downturns. Compared to global benchmarks, this portfolio's geographic allocation is notably narrow. To enhance diversification and capture growth opportunities in other regions, consider increasing allocations to international equities, especially in emerging markets, which can offer higher growth potential and reduce reliance on the U.S. economy.

Redundant positions Info

  • Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares
    Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
    High correlation

The portfolio's assets are highly correlated, particularly between the Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. High correlation means these assets tend to move in tandem, reducing diversification benefits. In periods of market stress, such correlation can amplify losses. To manage risk more effectively, consider diversifying into assets with lower correlation, such as international stocks or bonds, which can provide a counterbalance to the U.S. equity-heavy portfolio.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio could benefit from optimization using the Efficient Frontier, which seeks the best risk-return ratio for a given level of risk. Currently, the high correlation among assets limits diversification benefits, suggesting room for improvement. By adjusting allocations to include less correlated assets, the portfolio can potentially achieve a more optimal balance. This doesn't necessarily mean adding more assets, but rather reallocating within current holdings to enhance diversification and improve risk-adjusted returns, aligning better with growth and risk objectives.

Dividends Info

  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.40%
  • Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares 0.60%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.20%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.80%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.8%, reflecting its growth-oriented focus. While dividends contribute to total returns, this portfolio prioritizes capital gains over income generation. For investors seeking more regular income, it might be beneficial to include higher-yielding assets. However, for those prioritizing growth, the current yield aligns well with the portfolio's objectives. Consider whether the current income level meets your needs, and if not, explore adding dividend-focused equities or funds to boost yield without sacrificing growth potential.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares 0.10%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.05%

The portfolio's costs are impressively low, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.05%. This aligns well with best practices, as lower costs contribute to better long-term performance by minimizing the drag on returns. Compared to industry standards, this portfolio is cost-efficient, which is a significant advantage for investors seeking to maximize net returns. Continue monitoring costs and consider replacing any high-fee assets with similar lower-cost alternatives, ensuring that cost efficiency remains a priority as the portfolio evolves.

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