The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
This portfolio is heavily weighted towards the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, comprising 60% of the total, followed by a substantial 30% allocation in the iShares® Gold Trust Micro, and a 10% stake in the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. This composition reflects a strategy that leans heavily on US equities for growth, complemented by gold as a hedge against market volatility and inflation, and a smaller dividend-yielding component for income. The portfolio's diversification is low, with a significant concentration in large-cap stocks and a single asset class (stocks) dominating.
Historically, this portfolio has shown a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.19%, with a maximum drawdown of -19.23%. These figures suggest a robust performance, likely buoyed by the strong equity markets in recent years, particularly in the technology sector, which is well-represented in the S&P 500. However, the portfolio's reliance on a few asset types and sectors may have contributed to its volatility, as indicated by the drawdown figure.
Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to project future outcomes, indicate a wide range of possible performances for this portfolio, with a median expected increase of 352.6%. While these simulations suggest a high likelihood of positive returns, with 993 out of 1,000 simulations showing growth, it's important to remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The simulations highlight the potential for significant growth but also underscore the uncertainty inherent in investing.
The portfolio's asset allocation is heavily skewed towards stocks (70%), with a notable absence of bonds, real estate, or other diversifying assets outside of gold. This allocation aligns with a growth-oriented strategy but limits the portfolio's ability to mitigate risk through diversification. The inclusion of gold, while providing a hedge, does not compensate for the lack of exposure to other asset classes that could offer different risk/return profiles.
Sector allocation within the portfolio is predominantly focused on technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, reflecting the composition of the S&P 500. This concentration in sectors that are sensitive to economic cycles may increase the portfolio's volatility. Diversifying into more defensive sectors or broadening exposure to include underrepresented sectors could help smooth returns over time.
Geographic exposure is heavily concentrated in North America (70%), with no allocation to developed or emerging markets outside of this region. This concentration enhances exposure to US economic growth but also increases susceptibility to region-specific risks. Diversifying geographically could provide access to growth in other economies and reduce the impact of US-centric economic downturns.
The portfolio's market capitalization exposure is balanced between mega (28%) and big (27%) cap stocks, with a smaller presence in medium (14%) and minimal in small (1%) caps. This skew towards larger companies is typical for portfolios focused on the S&P 500 and generally means lower volatility but also potentially lower growth opportunities compared to portfolios with higher small and mid-cap exposure.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio's current allocation suggests an emphasis on growth, primarily through US equities, with gold serving as a volatility hedge. However, the Efficient Frontier analysis could indicate opportunities to optimize the risk-return profile by adjusting allocations or incorporating additional asset classes. This optimization process aims to achieve the best possible balance between risk and return, potentially enhancing the portfolio's long-term performance.
The portfolio's dividend yield, driven primarily by the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF, contributes to the portfolio's total income. While the overall yield is modest, it offers a source of steady income, which can be particularly valuable in periods of market volatility or flat growth. Balancing growth and income-generating assets can provide a more stable return profile over time.
With an average Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.05%, the portfolio benefits from low costs, which supports better long-term performance. Keeping costs low is crucial for maximizing returns, especially in a low-diversity portfolio where the impact of fees on net performance can be more pronounced.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
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