The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a growth-oriented profile, comfortable with higher risk for the potential of substantial returns. Such an investor likely has a long-term investment horizon, allowing them to weather market volatility inherent in a stock-focused strategy. The portfolio's simplicity and focus on the S&P 500 make it appealing for investors seeking exposure to major U.S. corporations without the need for frequent rebalancing or complex investment strategies.
This portfolio is singularly invested in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, representing a 100% allocation to stocks, specifically within the S&P 500 index. This ETF encompasses a broad spectrum of sectors, with technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals being the most prominent. The portfolio's diversification is low, as it is concentrated in one asset class and primarily in North American companies. Such a composition aligns with a growth profile but carries the risk associated with market fluctuations in the United States.
Historically, the portfolio has exhibited a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.73%, with a maximum drawdown of -34.01%. The days contributing to 90% of returns number at 35, indicating significant returns are concentrated in short periods, typical of equity markets. This performance reflects the inherent volatility and potential for substantial growth in equity investments, especially within the robust S&P 500 index.
Monte Carlo simulations, based on historical data, project a wide range of outcomes for this portfolio. The 50th percentile outcome suggests a potential 667.9% increase, with all simulations indicating positive returns. However, it's crucial to note that these projections are based on past performance, which does not guarantee future results. The simulations offer a helpful perspective on possible future scenarios but should be interpreted with caution.
The portfolio's asset allocation is entirely in stocks, offering no direct exposure to other asset classes like bonds or real estate. This singular focus on equities, particularly within the S&P 500, is designed for growth but comes with higher volatility. Diversifying across different asset classes could mitigate some risk without significantly compromising potential returns.
Sector allocation within the portfolio mirrors the S&P 500, with a heavy emphasis on technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals. This sectoral distribution reflects the current composition of the American economy but also exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes in tech or economic cycles affecting consumer spending.
The geographic allocation is overwhelmingly in North America (99%), offering limited international exposure. This concentration benefits from the robust performance of the U.S. stock market but also increases vulnerability to domestic economic shifts. Broadening geographic exposure could enhance diversification and potentially reduce risk.
The portfolio's market capitalization breakdown shows a dominance of mega and big-cap companies, which are typically less volatile than smaller companies. This composition supports stability and growth, leveraging the performance of established industry leaders. However, incorporating a small percentage of medium or small-cap stocks could introduce growth opportunities from more dynamic sectors of the market.
The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 1.20%, contributing to total returns alongside capital appreciation. While not the primary focus for growth-oriented investors, dividends offer a steady income stream and can be reinvested to compound growth. The current yield is in line with the broader market, reflecting a balanced approach between growth and income.
With a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.03%, the portfolio is highly cost-efficient, maximizing the potential for net returns over the long term. Low costs are crucial for long-term investment success, especially in a growth-oriented portfolio where compound growth plays a significant role.
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