The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a high risk tolerance, seeking growth over stability. Ideal for someone focused on long-term capital appreciation, comfortable with market volatility. Suitable for those with a longer investment horizon, willing to accept potential drawdowns for higher returns. The investor should be open to revisiting and adjusting their strategy as market conditions change.
The portfolio consists of five ETFs, with a significant concentration in U.S. equities. The largest holding is the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF, making up 40% of the portfolio, followed by the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF at 30%. This indicates a strong bias towards large-cap U.S. stocks, particularly in technology. While offering growth potential, the portfolio lacks diversification across asset classes and regions. A more balanced approach could provide stability and reduce risk.
Historically, the portfolio has performed well, with a CAGR of 16.21%. However, it experienced a max drawdown of -27.55%, indicating vulnerability during market downturns. The concentration in high-growth sectors like technology may have contributed to the strong returns, but also to the volatility. To mitigate risks, consider diversifying into more stable sectors or asset classes that can provide a buffer during turbulent times.
The Monte Carlo simulation, using 1,000 iterations, projects an annualized return of 18.2% for a hypothetical initial investment. This demonstrates the portfolio's potential for high growth, with a 50th percentile end value of 701.07%. However, the wide range of outcomes, from 92.93% to 1,083.68%, highlights the inherent risk. Monte Carlo simulations account for random market fluctuations, emphasizing the need for diversification to potentially smooth out returns.
The portfolio is heavily weighted towards stocks, with 99.7% in equities, and a negligible amount in cash and other assets. This concentration in a single asset class increases risk, particularly in volatile markets. While equities offer growth potential, incorporating bonds or other asset classes could provide diversification and reduce overall risk. A more balanced allocation can help achieve a steadier performance and protect against market downturns.
The sector allocation is dominated by technology, accounting for over 32% of the portfolio. Other significant sectors include consumer cyclicals and financial services. This concentration on tech stocks offers high growth potential but also increases vulnerability to sector-specific downturns. Diversifying into underrepresented sectors like utilities or real estate could enhance stability and provide a more balanced risk-return profile.
Geographically, the portfolio is overwhelmingly focused on North America, with 98.5% of the assets in the region. This lack of international exposure limits potential benefits from global diversification. Expanding into other developed and emerging markets can provide exposure to different economic cycles and growth opportunities. A more geographically diverse portfolio can help mitigate regional risks and enhance long-term returns.
The portfolio contains highly correlated assets, particularly among the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF, Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF, and others. This high correlation means the assets tend to move in the same direction, increasing risk during market downturns. To reduce correlation and enhance diversification, consider incorporating assets with lower correlation, which can improve risk-adjusted returns and reduce portfolio volatility.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 1.05%, with the highest yielding asset being the Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF at 1.5%. While dividends provide a steady income stream, the current yield is relatively low, reflecting the growth-oriented nature of the portfolio. To increase income, consider adding higher-yielding assets. However, balance is key, as focusing too heavily on yield can compromise growth potential.
The total expense ratio (TER) of the portfolio is 0.1%, which is relatively low and cost-efficient. The iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF has the lowest cost at 0.03%, while the Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF is the highest at 0.25%. Keeping costs low is essential to maximizing returns over time. Regularly reviewing and optimizing the cost structure can help ensure that expenses do not erode potential gains.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The portfolio optimization chart suggests focusing on diversification rather than optimization due to high asset correlation. To achieve a riskier or more conservative portfolio, consider moving along the efficient frontier by adjusting asset class allocations. Increasing exposure to bonds could create a more conservative portfolio, while adding growth-oriented stocks could make it riskier. Prioritize diversification to enhance stability and long-term returns.
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