Balanced Portfolio with High Gold Exposure and Limited Sector Diversification

Report created on Nov 23, 2024

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is primarily composed of three ETFs, with a significant allocation to SPDR Gold MiniShares at 56.6%. This indicates a strong preference for gold, a traditionally stable asset. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund constitutes 36.54%, showing an interest in technology stocks. Lastly, the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF makes up 6.86%. This composition reflects a single-focused diversification strategy, heavily reliant on gold and technology. To enhance diversification, consider including more varied asset classes and sectors to balance potential risks and returns.

Growth Info

Historically, this portfolio has performed well, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.68%. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -21.8%, indicating vulnerability during market downturns. The performance is driven by concentrated investments in gold and technology, which have been volatile but rewarding. While the returns have been impressive, the portfolio could benefit from a more balanced approach to reduce volatility. Consider gradually diversifying into other sectors and asset classes to stabilize performance over time.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation, the portfolio's future performance was projected with 1,000 simulations. The 50th percentile outcome suggests a 985.18% return on a hypothetical initial investment, while the 5th percentile indicates a 151.14% return. This highlights the potential for significant growth but also underscores the risk of lower returns. The annualized return across all simulations is 21.18%. This projection showcases the portfolio's growth potential but also its reliance on the performance of gold and technology. Consider diversifying to mitigate risks and enhance stability.

Asset classes Info

  • Other
    57%
  • Stocks
    43%

The portfolio's asset class allocation is heavily skewed towards 'Other' at 56.6%, primarily due to the gold ETF, and stocks at 43.35%. This limited diversification across asset classes increases the portfolio's risk profile. A more balanced allocation could help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations. Consider incorporating additional asset classes such as bonds or real estate to diversify risk and potentially improve risk-adjusted returns. A more diversified asset mix might offer a smoother performance trajectory over time.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    37%
  • Financials
    2%
  • Industrials
    1%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    1%
  • Energy
    1%

Sector-wise, the portfolio is concentrated in technology, which accounts for 36.97%, and has minimal exposure to other sectors like financial services and industrials. This narrow focus could lead to increased volatility, especially if the technology sector underperforms. While technology has been a strong performer, over-reliance on a single sector could expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks. To achieve a more balanced sector allocation, consider including sectors like healthcare, consumer staples, or utilities, which may provide stability and reduce overall portfolio risk.

Regions Info

  • North America
    43%

Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly allocated to North America at 42.95%, with negligible exposure to other regions. This concentration in a single geographic area may limit the benefits of global diversification, such as reduced volatility and access to growth opportunities in emerging markets. While North American markets have been strong, diversifying geographically could help mitigate regional economic risks. Consider exploring opportunities in other developed and emerging markets to enhance geographic diversification and potentially capture diverse growth prospects.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio optimization chart suggests potential for improvement by exploring the efficient frontier. Currently, the portfolio's heavy focus on gold and technology limits its position on the frontier. By diversifying into other asset classes and sectors, the portfolio could move towards a more optimal balance of risk and return. Shifting along the efficient frontier allows for adjustments towards either a riskier or more conservative profile. Prioritize diversification to achieve a more efficient allocation, which could enhance returns while managing risk more effectively.

Dividends Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.50%
  • Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund 0.70%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.36%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 0.36%, with contributions from the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF at 1.5% and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund at 0.7%. While dividends provide a steady income stream, the current yield is relatively low. Enhancing the portfolio's income potential could be beneficial, especially during periods of market volatility. Consider integrating dividend-focused investments or funds to increase the overall yield. This approach could provide a buffer against market downturns and offer a more balanced total return strategy.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
  • SPDR Gold MiniShares 0.10%
  • Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund 0.09%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.11%

Portfolio costs are relatively low, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.11%. This is beneficial as lower costs can enhance net returns over time. The Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF has the highest expense ratio at 0.25%, but overall, the portfolio remains cost-efficient. Keeping investment costs low is crucial for maximizing returns. Regularly review and compare the expense ratios of current holdings with similar alternatives to ensure cost-effectiveness. Maintaining a focus on low-cost investments will support long-term growth and improve overall portfolio performance.

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