A growth-focused portfolio with high US exposure and low diversification

Report created on Dec 24, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards equities, with 70% in the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF, and 15% each in the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF. This composition leans significantly towards large-cap U.S. stocks, which is typical for growth-focused portfolios. However, it lacks diversification across different asset classes, with nearly all investments in stocks. To enhance diversification, consider adding different asset types, such as bonds or international equities, to balance potential risks and returns.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown strong performance with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.57%. This indicates robust growth, outperforming many benchmarks. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -28.06%, highlighting its vulnerability during market downturns. While past performance is promising, remember that it does not guarantee future results. To mitigate potential losses, consider strategies that can protect against significant market declines, such as diversifying into less volatile assets.

Projection Info

Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to project future outcomes, suggest a wide range of potential returns for this portfolio. The simulations indicate a 50th percentile return of 695.92% and an impressive 67th percentile at 1,014.66%. While these projections are optimistic, it's important to note that they rely on historical data and assumptions, which may not fully capture future market conditions. Regularly reviewing and adjusting the portfolio based on changing market dynamics can help optimize future performance.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio's allocation is overwhelmingly in stocks, with a minimal cash component. This heavy equity focus is typical for growth-oriented strategies but can increase volatility. Compared to benchmark norms, which often include a mix of bonds and other asset classes, this portfolio is less diversified. To enhance stability and reduce risk, consider incorporating other asset classes. This could involve adding fixed-income securities or exploring alternative investments to provide a buffer against stock market fluctuations.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    36%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    12%
  • Financials
    11%
  • Health Care
    10%
  • Telecommunications
    10%
  • Industrials
    7%
  • Consumer Staples
    5%
  • Energy
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%

The sector allocation reveals a significant concentration in technology, making up over 36% of the portfolio. While this sector has been a strong performer, it can also be volatile, especially during interest rate fluctuations. Other sectors like consumer cyclicals and financials are present but less dominant. This concentration could expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks. To mitigate this, consider diversifying across a broader range of sectors, which can help balance sector-specific downturns and provide more stable returns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

The portfolio is heavily concentrated in North American assets, with over 99% exposure, leaving minimal allocation to other regions. This geographic concentration limits diversification and may increase vulnerability to regional economic downturns. Compared to global benchmarks, which typically have more balanced geographic exposure, this portfolio is under-diversified. To enhance global diversification, consider increasing exposure to international markets, which can provide access to growth opportunities and reduce region-specific risks.

Redundant positions Info

  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
    High correlation

The portfolio includes highly correlated assets, particularly between the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF and the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, which can limit diversification benefits. During market downturns, this correlation could lead to simultaneous declines, increasing overall portfolio risk. To improve diversification, consider replacing one of these ETFs with assets that have lower correlation, potentially stabilizing portfolio performance across different market conditions.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current asset allocation could be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, a concept that aims to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. However, before optimizing, it's crucial to address the high correlation between certain assets, which limits diversification benefits. By adjusting the allocation and integrating less correlated assets, the portfolio can potentially achieve a more efficient balance. This optimization focuses on the existing assets and their allocation, not necessarily expanding the portfolio's scope.

Dividends Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.40%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.40%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 0.90%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.75%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 0.75%, with contributions primarily from the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF. While dividends provide a steady income stream, this yield is relatively low, reflecting the portfolio's growth focus. For investors seeking income, consider reallocating a portion of the portfolio to higher-dividend-paying assets. However, ensure this aligns with your overall investment goals, as higher dividends may come with trade-offs in terms of growth potential.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.15%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.05%

The portfolio benefits from impressively low costs, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.05%. This low-cost structure supports better long-term performance by minimizing fees that can erode returns. Compared to industry averages, these costs are exceptionally competitive, allowing more of the portfolio's returns to compound over time. Maintaining low costs should remain a priority. Regularly review the expense ratios to ensure they stay competitive, and consider cost-effective alternatives if necessary.

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