A dividend-focused US-centric portfolio with low diversity and moderate risk exposure

Report created on Jan 4, 2025

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is heavily weighted towards the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF, which makes up 75% of the total allocation, while the remaining 25% is in the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF. This composition indicates a strong emphasis on dividend-paying stocks, with a secondary focus on growth stocks. Compared to more diversified portfolios, this one is concentrated, limiting exposure to other asset classes like bonds or international equities. A more balanced allocation could help reduce risk and improve potential returns by incorporating a wider range of asset types and sectors.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated a solid Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.5%, indicating robust past performance. However, it also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -32.68%, highlighting periods of high volatility. While historical performance can provide insights, it's important to remember that it doesn't guarantee future results. Comparing this performance to relevant benchmarks may provide additional context. To mitigate risk, consider strategies to reduce volatility, such as diversifying into less correlated assets or sectors.

Projection Info

Forward projections using Monte Carlo simulations show a range of potential outcomes, with a median expected growth of 604.81% and a 5th percentile growth of 116.76%. Although these simulations use historical data to forecast future performance, they cannot predict exact outcomes. The high number of simulations with positive returns suggests a favorable outlook, but it's crucial to remain cautious and consider potential market changes. Regularly reviewing and adjusting the portfolio to align with evolving market conditions and personal goals can help manage expectations and risks.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    99%
  • Cash
    1%

The portfolio is overwhelmingly invested in stocks, with a negligible cash component. This heavy reliance on equities can lead to higher returns but also increases volatility. Compared to more diversified portfolios that include bonds or alternative investments, this allocation may be riskier, especially in turbulent markets. To enhance diversification, consider incorporating other asset classes such as fixed income or real estate, which can provide stability and reduce overall portfolio risk while potentially improving long-term returns.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    20%
  • Financials
    17%
  • Health Care
    13%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    12%
  • Consumer Staples
    11%
  • Energy
    10%
  • Industrials
    9%
  • Telecommunications
    7%
  • Basic Materials
    2%

The sector allocation shows a significant focus on technology, financial services, and healthcare, with lesser exposure to consumer cyclicals and defensives. This distribution aligns closely with major market indices but limits diversification across sectors. For instance, a tech-heavy portfolio may face increased volatility during interest rate hikes. Diversifying into underrepresented sectors could help balance the portfolio and reduce sector-specific risks. Regularly reviewing sector allocations in line with market trends and economic forecasts can enhance stability and growth potential.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%

The portfolio's geographic allocation is heavily concentrated in North America, with minimal exposure to Europe and Latin America. This focus can increase vulnerability to regional economic downturns or political changes. Global diversification is a key strategy to mitigate such risks. By adding more international equities, you could potentially benefit from growth opportunities in other regions and reduce reliance on the North American market. Consider evaluating global market trends and adjusting the geographic allocation to better align with your investment goals.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current allocation can be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which aims to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. Optimization involves adjusting the weights of the existing assets to enhance returns for a given level of risk. It's important to note that this process focuses on maximizing efficiency rather than diversification. Regularly revisiting the portfolio's risk-return profile and making necessary adjustments can help maintain an optimal balance, ensuring that the portfolio continues to meet investment objectives.

Dividends Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 3.60%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.40%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 2.80%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 2.8%, primarily driven by the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. Dividends provide a steady income stream and can enhance total returns, especially in low-interest-rate environments. For investors seeking income, this yield is attractive. However, focusing solely on dividends might limit growth potential. Balancing dividend-paying stocks with growth-oriented assets can provide both income and capital appreciation. Regularly reviewing dividend policies and yields can ensure they align with income needs and investment goals.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 0.06%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.06%

The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is impressively low at 0.06%, which is beneficial for long-term performance. Lower costs mean more of your investment returns are retained, compounding over time. This aligns well with best practices for cost management in investing. However, it's important to periodically review the fees associated with all holdings to ensure they remain competitive. Consider comparing costs with similar ETFs or funds to maintain an efficient cost structure, maximizing net returns.

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