The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Balanced Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a balanced risk tolerance seeking growth with moderate income potential. It favors equity exposure, making it ideal for individuals focused on capital appreciation over a medium to long-term horizon. The investor should be comfortable with market volatility and willing to accept short-term fluctuations for potential long-term gains. This portfolio is best for those who prioritize growth while maintaining some level of income through dividends.
This portfolio is primarily composed of ETFs with a 40% allocation to the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund, complemented by 25% each in Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth and Vanguard S&P 500 ETFs. A smaller 10% is in Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. This composition leans heavily towards equities, with minimal cash or other asset classes. Compared to common balanced portfolios, this one is heavily equity-centric, which may not suit investors seeking fixed income or alternative asset exposure. Consider adding bonds or other asset classes to balance risk and improve diversification.
Historically, the portfolio has performed well with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.54%, though it experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -33.46%. Such performance indicates strong growth potential but also highlights the risk of substantial losses during market downturns. When compared to benchmarks, this performance aligns with typical equity-heavy portfolios. To mitigate drawdown risk, consider incorporating assets with lower volatility or exploring hedging strategies.
The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project future outcomes, suggests a wide range of potential portfolio values. The median (50th percentile) projection is a 490.86% increase, with 997 out of 1,000 simulations showing positive returns. However, it's important to remember that these simulations are based on historical trends and do not guarantee future results. Regularly reassess the portfolio's risk exposure and adjust allocations to align with changing market conditions and personal risk tolerance.
The portfolio is overwhelmingly allocated to stocks at 99.46%, with negligible amounts in cash and other categories. This concentration in equities can offer high growth potential but also increases vulnerability to market fluctuations. In comparison to diversified portfolios, this allocation lacks balance across asset classes. To enhance stability, consider integrating fixed income or alternative investments, which can provide a counterbalance to equity volatility and reduce overall portfolio risk.
The portfolio is heavily weighted towards technology at 31.08%, followed by financial services and consumer cyclicals. This sectoral concentration can drive growth but also exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or tech market volatility. Compared to sector benchmarks, this allocation is more concentrated. Diversifying into underrepresented sectors like utilities or real estate could reduce sector-specific risks and enhance resilience against market shifts.
The portfolio is predominantly concentrated in North America at 86.02%, with limited exposure to other global regions. This geographic bias can lead to missed opportunities in emerging markets or regions with different growth dynamics. Compared to global benchmarks, this allocation is less diversified. To improve geographic diversification, consider increasing exposure to Europe, Asia, or other underrepresented regions, which can help mitigate regional economic risks and capture global growth opportunities.
The portfolio's assets are highly correlated, particularly among the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth, Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETFs. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, which can limit diversification benefits during market downturns. To reduce this risk, consider replacing some correlated assets with those that have lower correlation, thereby enhancing the portfolio's ability to withstand market volatility and achieve more stable returns.
With a total yield of 1.56%, the portfolio provides moderate income through dividends, primarily from the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. While this yield is beneficial for income-focused investors, it may not be sufficient for those relying on dividends for significant cash flow. Compared to income-focused portfolios, this yield is relatively low. To boost dividend income, consider increasing allocation to high-yielding assets or funds that focus on dividend growth, ensuring they align with overall investment objectives.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is impressively low at 0.05%, indicating cost efficiency. Low costs are beneficial for long-term performance as they minimize the drag on returns. When compared to industry averages, these costs are competitive and align well with best practices for cost-effective investing. Maintaining low costs is crucial, so continue to monitor expense ratios and evaluate whether there are opportunities to reduce them further without compromising on quality or diversification.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The portfolio could potentially be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which aims to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. However, before optimizing, focus on reducing the overlap of highly correlated assets, as they offer limited diversification benefits. Efficient Frontier optimization involves reallocating existing assets to achieve a more balanced risk-return profile, but it doesn't address the need for broader diversification across asset classes or geographies, which are also important for long-term stability.
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