The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Balanced Investors
This portfolio is well-suited for an investor with a balanced risk tolerance, looking for growth while being mindful of volatility. The investor likely has a medium to long-term investment horizon, valuing both capital appreciation and income generation. The significant allocation to technology and large-cap stocks indicates a confidence in these sectors' long-term prospects, while the presence of international and bond ETFs reflects a degree of caution and a desire for diversification.
This portfolio showcases a significant concentration in technology through its heavy allocation in ETFs like the Invesco NASDAQ 100 and Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares, making up nearly half of the portfolio. The presence of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF broadens exposure to the overall US market, while the Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares and Fidelity® High Dividend ETF introduce international diversification and income-focused strategies, respectively. The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares add a conservative element, balancing the portfolio's overall risk profile.
With a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.47% and a maximum drawdown of -28.77%, the portfolio has demonstrated strong growth with a moderate level of risk. The days contributing to 90% of returns being limited to 19 indicates that the portfolio's performance has been driven by significant market events or rallies. This historical performance, while impressive, should be viewed with the understanding that past results do not guarantee future success.
Monte Carlo simulations, using historical data to project future outcomes, suggest a wide range of possible performances for this portfolio. With 991 out of 1,000 simulations showing positive returns and a median projected increase of 396.4%, the forward-looking outlook remains optimistic. However, investors should consider the inherent uncertainty in these projections, as they are based on past market behavior which cannot predict future market movements with certainty.
The portfolio's asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks (93%), with a minor allocation in bonds (6%) and a negligible cash position (1%). This distribution aligns with a growth-oriented strategy but may exhibit higher volatility. Diversifying further into bonds or other asset classes could provide additional stability during market downturns.
Sector allocation heavily favors technology, consumer cyclicals, and communication services, reflecting a growth-focused strategy. However, this concentration increases susceptibility to sector-specific risks. Diversifying across a broader range of sectors could mitigate this risk, potentially smoothing out returns over time.
Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly invested in North America (78%), with modest exposure to developed Europe and emerging markets. This regional distribution supports robust growth potential but may benefit from increased exposure to emerging markets and other developed regions to enhance diversification and capture global growth opportunities.
The market capitalization breakdown shows a preference for mega (49%) and big (29%) cap stocks, indicating a focus on established, large companies. While this can offer stability, incorporating more medium and small-cap stocks might provide higher growth potential and further diversification benefits.
The high correlation observed among the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares, and Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF suggests overlapping investments that may not contribute significantly to diversification. Reducing exposure to similar assets could enhance the portfolio's risk-adjusted returns by broadening its diversification.
The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 1.43%, with contributions from both equity and bond ETFs. While not the primary focus, dividends offer a supplementary income stream and a potential buffer in volatile markets. Rebalancing to include higher-yielding assets could increase income without significantly raising risk.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) of 0.08% is impressively low, minimizing the impact of costs on returns. This efficiency is crucial for long-term growth, as even small differences in fees can compound into significant variations in portfolio value over time.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The current asset allocation, while strong in historical performance, shows room for optimization. Specifically, addressing the overlap in highly correlated ETFs could improve the portfolio's diversification and risk profile. Utilizing the Efficient Frontier model to rebalance towards a mix that offers the best possible risk-return trade-off could enhance overall portfolio efficiency.
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