A high growth concentrated portfolio with strong past returns and meaningful exposure to digital assets

Report created on Sep 27, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

3/5
Moderately Diversified
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio holds four positions with very even sizing: two single stocks at 30% and 10%, plus two broad vehicles at 30% each, creating 70% in shares and 30% in a digital asset note. That kind of concentration means every holding really matters; there’s no “background noise” from lots of tiny positions. This can be exciting when things go well but painful when one position struggles. For a growth profile, the structure broadly fits, but it leans heavily on just a few stories. Gradually adding a handful of extra holdings or broad funds over time could smooth the ride without losing the overall growth tilt.

Growth Info

Using a simple example, a 10,000 EUR investment growing at a 21.4% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) would roughly double about every 3.5 years, which lines up with the excellent historical results here. CAGR is like measuring the average “speed” of growth over the whole journey. However, the max drawdown of about -35% shows the price you pay for that speed: at some point, 10,000 EUR could have fallen toward 6,500 EUR before recovering. The strong return history is impressive and aligned with growth goals, but it’s crucial to remember that past performance does not guarantee similar future outcomes.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo analysis runs 1,000 simulated futures using past volatility and return patterns to see a range of possible outcomes, a bit like rolling the same dice many times. The median result of roughly +436% over the period suggests that staying invested could be very rewarding if conditions resemble history. However, the 5th percentile at roughly -43% highlights that bad sequences of returns are still possible even with a strong average profile. With 884 out of 1,000 simulations ending positive, the odds look favorable, but not certain. Any long-term plan should assume bumps, not a smooth line, and keep cash needs separate from this growth engine.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    70%
  • Other
    30%

Asset class-wise, about 70% sits in traditional shares and 30% in a digital-asset-linked ETN, with no buffer in cash. This is more aggressive than many “growth” benchmarks, which often tilt mostly to shares but keep digital assets as a much smaller slice. The benefit is strong participation in both equity markets and potential upside from crypto-related moves. The trade-off is bigger swings, especially when riskier assets all move together during stress. For someone seeking long-term growth, the broad structure makes sense, but dialing the digital-asset share down slightly or adding some more defensive holdings could bring the overall risk more in line with a typical growth profile.

Sectors Info

  • Health Care
    31%
  • Technology
    27%
  • Telecommunications
    5%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    4%
  • Consumer Staples
    1%
  • Industrials
    1%

Sector exposure is dominated by healthcare and technology, with smaller weights in communication services and consumer-related areas. This tech-and-health tilt has been a powerful engine for returns recently and matches many modern growth benchmarks, which is a clear plus. Tech-heavy setups tend to do well when innovation is rewarded and interest rates are stable or falling, while healthcare often provides structural growth from ageing populations and new treatments. The flip side is vulnerability if sentiment turns against expensive growth stories or regulation tightens. Keeping this strong tilt but slowly diversifying into a few more defensive or cyclical areas could help the portfolio hold up better in different economic environments.

Regions Info

  • Europe Developed
    40%
  • North America
    29%

The geographic mix is heavily centered on developed Europe and North America, with almost nothing in emerging regions. This is actually quite close to how many global growth benchmarks look today, which is a positive sign for alignment with “mainstream” markets. Being anchored in stable, developed economies can reduce some political and currency shocks, but it also means missing potential catch-up growth from emerging regions. Because developed markets have led in recent years, the current split has worked very well. Over time, gradually sprinkling in a small allocation to other regions could open up additional engines of growth without undermining the core exposure to Europe and North America.

Market capitalization Info

  • Large-cap
    40%
  • Mega-cap
    16%
  • Small-cap
    10%
  • Mid-cap
    3%

Most of the exposure sits in big and mega-cap companies, with a smaller but notable slice in small caps. Large and mega caps tend to be more established businesses with deeper resources and more analyst coverage, which can make them somewhat more resilient in crises and easier to understand. The small-cap piece adds a bit of extra growth potential and diversification but also extra volatility and sensitivity to economic slowdowns. This balance between size segments is broadly healthy and in line with many growth-tilted portfolios. If volatility feels too intense in future, one lever to adjust could be easing back slightly on the smallest-company exposure while keeping the large-cap core intact.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

On a risk–return chart called the Efficient Frontier, this portfolio likely sits on the higher-risk, higher-return side because of its concentration and digital-asset exposure. The Efficient Frontier represents the best combinations of risk and return using only the existing ingredients, by adjusting their weights. Efficiency here simply means the best possible tradeoff between ups and downs for this particular set of holdings, not the most diversified or safest mix overall. Small shifts—such as slightly trimming the most volatile piece and reallocating toward the broader, lower-fee fund—could move the portfolio closer to an efficient point where each unit of risk is working as hard as possible for potential return.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Xtrackers NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF 1C 0.20%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.06%

The cost profile is very strong: the NASDAQ-focused ETF sits at only 0.20% total expense, and the overall portfolio TER around 0.06% is impressively low when averaged using the provided data. Costs compound just like returns, so keeping ongoing charges down leaves more of the growth working in the investor’s favor over decades. This is a clear strength and fully aligned with best practices in modern investing. The main cost question here is less about fees and more about volatility: low fees can’t protect against market swings. Maintaining this low-cost mindset while focusing any changes on improving diversification and risk control keeps the long-term math working nicely.

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