Your portfolio is heavily weighted towards stock funds, comprising 60% in a total market index fund, 20% in an international index fund, 10% in a U.S. small-cap value ETF, and 10% in a U.S. large-cap growth ETF. This composition reflects a growth-oriented approach, primarily investing in equities with a broad diversification across sectors and geographies, albeit with a significant emphasis on the U.S. market. The allocation towards large-cap and technology sectors indicates a preference for established, high-growth potential companies.
Historically, your portfolio has demonstrated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.52%, with a maximum drawdown of -35.40%. The days contributing most significantly to returns were relatively few, indicating that performance peaks were driven by short, strong market rallies. This performance pattern is typical for growth-oriented portfolios, where returns can be highly concentrated in periods of market optimism, particularly within the technology sector.
Using Monte Carlo simulations, which project future performance based on historical data, your portfolio shows a wide range of outcomes. The median simulation suggests a 564.9% return, with a 5th percentile at a much lower 38.3% return, highlighting the potential for high volatility. While these simulations can provide insight, it's important to remember they are based on past trends and cannot predict future market conditions with certainty.
Your portfolio's allocation is entirely in stocks, with no presence in bonds, cash, or alternative investments. This allocation supports high growth potential but also increases susceptibility to market volatility. Diversifying across different asset classes can provide a buffer against stock market downturns and reduce overall portfolio risk.
The sectoral distribution leans heavily towards technology and financial services, followed by industrials and healthcare. This concentration in technology and financial sectors can drive significant growth but also exposes your portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or economic cycles affecting these industries.
Geographically, your portfolio is predominantly invested in North America (81%), with modest exposure to developed Europe and minimal allocations to emerging markets and other regions. This concentration may limit global diversification benefits and exposure to growth opportunities in emerging markets, which can offer higher returns albeit with increased risk.
Your portfolio's market capitalization exposure is skewed towards mega and big-cap stocks, which tend to be more stable but might offer lower growth potential compared to smaller companies. Including small and micro-cap stocks can increase growth prospects but also comes with higher volatility and risk.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Considering the Efficient Frontier, your portfolio could potentially be optimized for a better risk-return ratio by diversifying across more asset classes and reducing sector-specific concentrations. This doesn't necessarily mean a complete overhaul but rather a strategic refinement to balance growth prospects with risk management.
The overall dividend yield of your portfolio stands at 1.37%, with the international index fund contributing the highest yield. While growth-focused portfolios typically prioritize capital appreciation over income, dividends can provide a steady income stream and contribute to total returns, especially in volatile or declining markets.
The portfolio's costs are impressively low, with the total expense ratio (TER) averaging 0.03%. Low costs are crucial for long-term investment success, as they directly enhance net returns. Your emphasis on low-cost funds aligns well with best practices for maximizing long-term growth.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
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