A growth-focused portfolio with high US equity concentration and significant tech exposure

Report created on Dec 23, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio consists mainly of ETFs, with the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF holding the largest share at 50%, followed by Invesco QQQ Trust at 30%, and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF at 20%. This composition is heavily weighted towards large-cap US equities, providing significant exposure to the US stock market. While such a setup aligns with a growth-focused strategy, it lacks diversification across different asset classes. For a more balanced approach, consider incorporating other asset types like bonds or international equities to spread risk and potentially enhance returns.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown a strong Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 16.29%, indicating robust growth over time. However, it also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -31.52%, highlighting potential volatility. When compared to benchmarks like the S&P 500, this performance suggests competitive returns, albeit with increased risk. It's important to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. To mitigate potential downturns, consider diversifying across asset classes or sectors to stabilize returns during market fluctuations.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project future outcomes, indicates a wide range of potential returns. With an annualized return of 18.18% and most simulations showing positive results, the outlook is optimistic. However, the reliance on historical data means these projections are not guaranteed. To enhance predictability, regularly review and adjust the portfolio to adapt to changing market conditions. Consider incorporating assets with different risk profiles to cushion against adverse scenarios.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily concentrated in stocks, with a staggering 99.88% allocation, leaving minimal room for other asset classes. This lack of diversity can lead to increased risk, especially during market downturns. A more balanced portfolio typically includes a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets to mitigate risk. To improve diversification, explore adding fixed-income securities or alternative investments that can provide stability and reduce volatility, especially in uncertain market conditions.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    41%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    12%
  • Telecommunications
    12%
  • Health Care
    9%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Industrials
    5%
  • Consumer Staples
    5%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Real Estate
    1%

With 41.37% of the portfolio in technology, there's a notable sector concentration, which can lead to higher volatility, especially during tech market corrections. Other sectors like consumer cyclicals and communication services also have significant weightings. While this sector allocation can drive growth, it may expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks. To balance this exposure, consider redistributing investments across less-represented sectors. This approach can help smooth out returns and reduce dependency on any single sector's performance.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

The portfolio's geographic allocation is predominantly in North America, at 98.99%, with minimal exposure to other regions. This concentration can limit diversification benefits and expose the portfolio to region-specific risks, such as economic downturns in the US. For a more globally diversified portfolio, consider increasing exposure to international markets. This can provide access to growth opportunities in different economic environments and reduce reliance on any single geographic area.

Redundant positions Info

  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
    Invesco QQQ Trust
    High correlation

The assets in this portfolio, including Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF, Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, and Invesco QQQ Trust, are highly correlated. This means they tend to move in the same direction, which may limit diversification benefits. In market downturns, such correlation can amplify losses. To enhance diversification, consider adding assets that have historically moved differently, such as bonds or international equities. This can help manage risk and stabilize returns across varying market conditions.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current structure could be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which aims to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. However, the high correlation among assets limits diversification benefits. Before optimizing, consider removing or reducing exposure to overlapping assets and incorporating less-correlated investments. This approach can enhance the portfolio's efficiency by balancing risk and return more effectively, ultimately aligning with the investor's growth objectives.

Dividends Info

  • Invesco QQQ Trust 0.40%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.40%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.90%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.65%

With a total dividend yield of 0.65%, the portfolio's income generation is relatively modest. This yield is primarily driven by the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, which offers a 0.9% yield. While dividends can provide a steady income stream, they are not the primary focus of this growth-oriented portfolio. If income is a priority, consider incorporating higher-yielding assets, such as dividend-focused ETFs or bonds, to enhance cash flow without compromising growth potential.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Invesco QQQ Trust 0.20%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.08%

The portfolio benefits from low costs, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.08%. This is advantageous as lower costs can significantly improve long-term returns by minimizing the drag on performance. The ETFs in the portfolio, such as Vanguard S&P 500 ETF with a TER of 0.03%, are cost-effective. Maintaining a focus on low-cost investments is crucial for optimizing returns. Regularly review expense ratios and seek opportunities to replace higher-cost holdings with more affordable alternatives.

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