This portfolio is heavily weighted towards US equities, with a 70% allocation in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and a 30% allocation in the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares. This composition suggests a strong focus on growth through exposure to large-cap companies predominantly in the US market. The portfolio's diversification is limited, as indicated by its low diversity score, which may expose it to higher volatility and country-specific risks.
The portfolio has shown a commendable Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.75%, with a maximum drawdown of -34%. The days contributing to 90% of the returns are notably few, suggesting that the portfolio's performance is significantly impacted by short periods of high returns. This volatility underscores the importance of understanding the timing and risks associated with market movements.
Monte Carlo simulations project a wide range of outcomes, with the 50th percentile suggesting a potential increase of 558.9% in portfolio value. While these projections are based on historical data, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. The high correlation between the portfolio's two assets suggests limited diversification benefits, which could impact the reliability of these projections during market downturns.
The portfolio's asset allocation is nearly entirely in stocks (99%), with a minimal cash holding (1%). This allocation underscores a growth-oriented strategy but highlights a significant exposure to market volatility. The absence of fixed-income or alternative investments limits the portfolio's ability to hedge against stock market downturns.
Sector allocation is heavily skewed towards technology (32%), financial services (15%), and consumer cyclicals (11%), reflecting a typical growth-focused investment strategy. However, this concentration increases susceptibility to sector-specific risks, particularly in technology, which can be volatile.
Geographic allocation is predominantly in North America (70%), with no direct exposure to developed Europe or Asia. This lack of international diversification can limit the portfolio's growth potential in global bull markets and increase vulnerability to US market downturns.
The portfolio's market capitalization breakdown shows a preference for mega (45%) and big (34%) cap stocks, which typically offer stability and steady growth. However, the limited exposure to small and micro-cap stocks may reduce opportunities for higher returns that these more volatile assets can offer.
The high correlation between the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares indicates overlapping exposures, reducing the effectiveness of diversification within the portfolio. This correlation suggests that the portfolio may not be optimized for risk-adjusted returns, as both assets tend to move in tandem.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Optimizing the portfolio for risk vs. return could involve diversifying beyond highly correlated assets to include investments with lower correlations. This diversification can enhance the portfolio's resilience against market fluctuations and improve the overall risk-return profile.
The dividend yield of the portfolio averages 1.35%, which contributes to total returns. While not the primary focus of a growth-oriented strategy, dividends offer a passive income stream and can provide a buffer during market volatility.
With a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.04%, the portfolio benefits from low costs, which can significantly enhance long-term returns. The low costs are a strength, allowing more of the investment returns to compound over time.
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