Balanced Risk Portfolio With High US Exposure and Low Diversification Needs Attention

Report created on Jun 28, 2024

Risk profile

  • Secure
    Speculative

The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.

Diversification profile

  • Focused
    Diversified

The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.

Positions

The portfolio consists of two main ETFs: iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF and iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF, making up 60% and 40% respectively. This composition indicates a strong focus on large-cap US equities, with a significant tilt towards technology sectors. The portfolio is heavily concentrated, with low diversification across different asset classes and sectors. This lack of diversity can lead to increased volatility, especially if the US market or technology sector underperforms. Consider introducing additional asset classes or regions to balance the risk and reduce dependency on the US market.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown impressive performance with a CAGR of 17.46%, indicating strong growth over time. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -22.74%, which suggests vulnerability during market downturns. The days that make up 90% of returns are relatively few, emphasizing the impact of market timing. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the high growth rate combined with significant drawdowns suggests the need for a more diversified approach to mitigate potential risks during volatile periods.

Projection Info

A Monte Carlo simulation, using a hypothetical initial investment, offers a range of potential future outcomes for the portfolio. With 1,000 simulations, the 50th percentile shows a potential return of 991.12%, while the 5th percentile suggests a more conservative growth of 238.31%. The simulation highlights the portfolio's potential for high returns, but also underscores the inherent risk. By incorporating a more diversified asset allocation, the portfolio could potentially achieve a more stable growth trajectory while maintaining the possibility of achieving significant returns.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards stocks, with 99.91% of assets in equities and a negligible cash position. This allocation indicates a high-risk profile, as equities are generally more volatile than other asset classes such as bonds or real estate. A more balanced allocation could help reduce risk and provide more stability, particularly during market downturns. Consider introducing bonds or alternative investments to create a more resilient portfolio that can weather different market conditions and provide a buffer against potential losses.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    40%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    12%
  • Telecommunications
    12%
  • Health Care
    9%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Industrials
    6%
  • Consumer Staples
    6%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Real Estate
    1%

The sector allocation is heavily skewed towards technology, which makes up over 40% of the portfolio. Other sectors like consumer cyclicals, communication services, and healthcare also have significant representation. This concentration in a few sectors increases risk, especially if these sectors face downturns. A more balanced sector allocation could help mitigate risk and provide more consistent returns. Consider diversifying into sectors with lower representation, such as energy or utilities, to create a more balanced portfolio that can perform well across different market environments.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

The geographic allocation is predominantly focused on North America, with 98.69% of assets in this region. This heavy concentration exposes the portfolio to risks specific to the US market. Minimal exposure to Europe, Latin America, and Asia suggests missed opportunities for growth in these regions. A more globally diversified portfolio could reduce regional risk and provide exposure to emerging markets with high growth potential. Consider reallocating a portion of the portfolio to include international equities, which can offer diversification benefits and enhance long-term returns.

Redundant positions Info

  • iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF USD (Acc)
    iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc)
    High correlation

The portfolio exhibits high correlation between its two main assets, iShares NASDAQ 100 and iShares Core S&P 500 ETFs. This correlation indicates that the assets tend to move in the same direction, limiting diversification benefits. High correlation can lead to increased volatility and risk during market downturns. To reduce correlation and enhance diversification, consider introducing assets with low or negative correlation to the existing holdings. This approach can help stabilize the portfolio and improve risk-adjusted returns by reducing the impact of market fluctuations.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

Before optimizing, it's crucial to address the high correlation between the portfolio's assets. Reducing overlap can enhance diversification and improve risk-adjusted returns. Moving along the efficient frontier can help achieve a riskier or more conservative portfolio. To increase risk, consider adding higher volatility assets. For a more conservative approach, introduce lower volatility assets like bonds. Balancing risk and return is key to optimizing the portfolio. Focus on diversification to reduce dependency on any single market or sector, creating a more resilient investment strategy.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) 0.36%
  • iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) 0.12%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.22%

With a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.22%, the portfolio's costs are relatively low, which is beneficial for long-term returns. Lower costs mean more of the portfolio's returns are retained by the investor, enhancing overall performance. However, it's crucial to regularly review and manage costs to ensure they remain competitive. Consider exploring other investment options with similar or lower expense ratios to maintain cost efficiency. Keeping investment costs low is a key factor in maximizing returns, especially over long investment horizons.

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