This portfolio is characterized by an equal-weight strategy across four ETFs, focusing on the NASDAQ 100, U.S. large-cap growth stocks, the total U.S. stock market, and international stocks. This structure indicates a growth-oriented approach with a broad diversification across geographies and sectors. However, the significant overlap between the NASDAQ 100 and U.S. large-cap growth ETFs suggests potential for improved diversification. The portfolio's heavy allocation towards technology and its substantial exposure to North America reflect a bias towards high-growth potential but also imply higher volatility and concentration risk.
The portfolio has achieved a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.25%, with a maximum drawdown of -30.57%. These figures suggest a strong historical performance, albeit with significant volatility. The days contributing to 90% of returns being concentrated in just 17.0 days highlight the portfolio's reliance on short, sharp gains, typical of growth-oriented investments. While past performance is impressive, it's essential to remember it doesn't guarantee future results, and such volatility underscores the need for risk tolerance in this investment strategy.
Monte Carlo simulations, using historical data to project future outcomes, suggest a wide range of potential future performances for this portfolio. With 989 out of 1,000 simulations showing positive returns, the analysis forecasts a median increase of 479.2%. However, the significant spread between the 5th and 67th percentiles indicates a high level of uncertainty. These projections are useful for understanding potential outcomes but should be approached with caution as they are based on past data and assumptions that may not hold true.
The portfolio is almost entirely invested in stocks (99%), with a minimal cash holding (1%). This allocation underscores the portfolio's growth focus but also its exposure to market volatility. Diversifying across different asset classes, including bonds or real estate, could provide a buffer against stock market downturns and reduce overall volatility without necessarily compromising long-term growth potential.
With 37% allocated to technology and significant investments in consumer cyclicals, financial services, and communication services, the portfolio is positioned to benefit from growth in these dynamic sectors. However, this concentration also exposes it to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or economic downturns that disproportionately affect these industries. Balancing sector exposures can mitigate these risks while still capturing growth opportunities.
The portfolio's geographic allocation is heavily skewed towards North America (76%), with modest exposures to developed Europe, Asia, and emerging markets. This concentration in developed markets, particularly the U.S., aligns with the portfolio's growth orientation but may limit exposure to emerging market growth opportunities. Increasing diversification into underrepresented regions could enhance returns and reduce geopolitical and currency risks.
The emphasis on mega (51%) and big (29%) cap stocks reflects a preference for established, large-scale companies, which typically offer stability and steady growth. However, the relatively small allocation to medium, small, and micro-cap stocks suggests missed opportunities for higher growth rates these segments can offer. A more balanced market cap distribution could improve the portfolio's growth potential and resilience.
The high correlation between the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF and the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF indicates redundancy, limiting the diversification benefits of holding both. Reducing overlap by reallocating assets from one of these ETFs into less correlated investments could enhance the portfolio's risk-adjusted returns by broadening exposure to different drivers of growth.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio's current allocation suggests room for optimization, particularly in reducing overlap between highly correlated assets. By reallocating from redundant positions into less correlated or underrepresented assets, the portfolio can achieve a more efficient risk-return profile. This adjustment aligns with the principles of the Efficient Frontier, aiming to maximize returns for a given level of risk by optimizing asset allocation.
The portfolio's average dividend yield of 1.25% contributes to its total return, with the Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares offering the highest yield at 2.90%. While dividends are not the primary focus of this growth-oriented portfolio, they provide a passive income stream and can offer some cushion during market downturns. Reinvesting dividends can further compound growth over time.
With a total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.07%, the portfolio benefits from low costs, which can significantly enhance long-term returns. This efficiency is especially noteworthy given the broad diversification and growth focus of the portfolio. Maintaining low investment costs is crucial for maximizing net returns, particularly in growth-oriented strategies where compounding plays a significant role.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey