The portfolio is composed of three main ETFs: Xtrackers MSCI World ESG UCITS ETF 1C (70%), Xtrackers MSCI Emerging Markets UCITS ETF 1C (20%), and Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI Europe ESG Broad CTB UCITS ETF DR EUR C (10%). This mix provides a broad global exposure with a significant emphasis on developed markets, emerging markets, and ESG criteria. The portfolio is well-diversified across different regions and sectors, which can help mitigate risks associated with market volatility. However, the high concentration in ETFs means the portfolio's performance is heavily tied to these funds' strategies and management.
Historically, the portfolio has shown a solid performance with a CAGR of 11.47%. This indicates that a hypothetical initial investment would have grown significantly over time. However, the maximum drawdown of -33.04% suggests that the portfolio has experienced substantial declines in value during market downturns. The fact that 90% of returns are made up of just 22 days highlights the importance of staying invested to capture these critical gains. This performance underscores the portfolio's potential for growth, albeit with some volatility.
Using a Monte-Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's future performance shows a wide range of potential outcomes. The 5th percentile suggests a potential loss of -6.7%, while the median (50th percentile) projects a 201.04% return, and the 67th percentile projects a 318.23% return. The annualized return across all simulations is 9.74%. This simulation provides a probabilistic view of future returns, helping to set realistic expectations. It emphasizes the importance of a long-term investment horizon to navigate the variability in returns.
The portfolio is primarily invested in stocks, making up approximately 79.78% of the total allocation. The remaining allocation includes a significant portion categorized as "Unknown" (20%), which could represent a mix of different asset classes or unclassified investments. The small percentages in cash and other categories indicate minimal allocation to these asset classes. The heavy stock allocation aligns with a balanced risk profile, offering growth potential while still exposing the portfolio to market risks.
Sector allocation is diverse, with significant investments in Technology (23.45%), Financial Services (13.02%), and Healthcare (11.47%). Other notable sectors include Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, and Communication Services. This sector diversification helps spread risk across different parts of the economy, reducing the impact of sector-specific downturns. However, the high allocation to Technology may increase volatility, given the sector's historically higher risk and return profile. Balancing sector weights could further stabilize returns.
Geographically, the portfolio is heavily weighted towards North America (52.53%) and Europe Developed (21.10%). There is also a notable allocation to Japan and a small presence in other regions like Australasia and Latin America. The "Unknown" category (20%) suggests some geographical exposure is not clearly defined. This geographic diversification provides exposure to different economic environments and growth opportunities, though the heavy North American focus could lead to regional risk if that market underperforms.
The portfolio has a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.19%, which is relatively low and helps to maximize net returns. The individual TERs of the ETFs are also modest, with the highest being 0.25%. Keeping investment costs low is crucial for long-term growth, as high fees can significantly erode returns over time. Regularly reviewing and comparing the expense ratios of the ETFs can ensure that the portfolio remains cost-efficient.
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