The portfolio is composed of three main ETFs, with the Xtrackers MSCI World ESG UCITS ETF 1C making up 80%, the Xtrackers MSCI Emerging Markets UCITS ETF 1C at 15%, and the Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Climate Net Zero Ambition CTB ETF at 5%. This mix provides exposure to global equities with a focus on ESG criteria and a small allocation to European small caps. The high weighting in the MSCI World ETF ensures a broad diversification across developed markets, while the emerging markets ETF adds growth potential.
Historically, the portfolio has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.14%, which is quite robust. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -33.31%, indicating significant volatility during market downturns. The concentration of returns in just 23 days suggests high sensitivity to market movements. This performance indicates that while the portfolio has the potential for strong growth, it also comes with considerable risk during market corrections.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's future performance was projected. The simulation assumes a hypothetical initial investment. The results show a median (50th percentile) end portfolio value of 159.32%, with a 5th percentile outcome of -18.2% and a 67th percentile outcome of 261.24%. The annualized return across all simulations is 8.76%, with 912 out of 1,000 simulations yielding positive returns. This indicates a favorable probability of achieving positive returns over the investment horizon.
The portfolio is primarily invested in stocks, making up 84.81% of the allocation. There is a 15% allocation classified as unknown, which likely corresponds to the emerging markets ETF, and negligible amounts in other asset classes and cash. This heavy stock allocation aligns with a balanced risk profile but could benefit from some diversification into other asset classes like bonds to reduce volatility.
The sector allocation is fairly diversified, with a significant weighting in Technology (26.19%), followed by Financial Services (13.49%) and Healthcare (11.64%). Smaller allocations are spread across various other sectors. This sector diversification helps mitigate risks associated with sector-specific downturns but also means the portfolio is heavily influenced by the performance of the tech sector.
Geographically, the portfolio is heavily weighted towards North America (60.03%), with additional exposure to Europe Developed (17.67%) and Japan (5.06%). The 15% classified as unknown likely pertains to the emerging markets ETF. This geographic distribution provides substantial exposure to developed markets, which can offer stability, while the emerging markets allocation introduces growth potential.
The dividend yield data is not provided, but given the high allocation to global equities, the portfolio likely generates some level of dividend income. Dividends can provide a steady income stream and contribute to total returns, especially important during periods of market volatility when capital gains may be harder to achieve.
The portfolio's costs are relatively low, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.21%. The individual ETFs have TERs ranging from 0.23% to 0.25%. Keeping costs low is crucial for maximizing net returns over the long term. Low-cost ETFs are an effective way to maintain a diversified portfolio without eroding returns through high fees.
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