The portfolio is heavily weighted toward US equities, with 50% in the Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF, 30% in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, and 20% in the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF. This composition reflects a strong focus on growth, primarily through large-cap stocks. While this approach can capture significant market appreciation, it lacks diversification across different asset classes, which can mitigate risk. To enhance diversification, consider incorporating other asset types like bonds or international equities, which can provide stability during market downturns.
Historically, the portfolio has delivered impressive returns with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 20.3%. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -32.14%, indicating potential vulnerability during market downturns. This performance is consistent with a growth-oriented strategy, which often involves higher volatility. Comparing this to a typical S&P 500 benchmark, the returns are higher, but so is the risk. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, understanding these trends can guide future expectations and adjustments.
Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to model potential future outcomes, indicate a range of possible returns for this portfolio. With 1,000 simulations, the median (50th percentile) suggests a potential return of 1,189.91%, while even the conservative 5th percentile projects a 249.39% return. These simulations highlight the portfolio's potential for significant growth but also underscore the inherent uncertainty in predictions. Remember, these projections are not guarantees; they merely illustrate possible scenarios based on past data.
The portfolio is almost entirely allocated to stocks, with a negligible cash component. This heavy equity focus aligns with a growth strategy but limits diversification benefits that other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, might offer. Compared to a more balanced benchmark, this allocation is aggressive and potentially more volatile. To enhance resilience against market fluctuations, consider diversifying into other asset classes, which can provide a buffer during periods of equity market stress.
The portfolio is heavily concentrated in technology (31.52%), followed by financial services and consumer cyclicals. This sectoral allocation reflects a bias towards growth sectors, which can be advantageous during economic upswings. However, it also exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or technological disruptions. To mitigate these risks, consider diversifying into less-represented sectors like utilities or real estate, which can provide stability and steady income during volatile periods.
The portfolio is predominantly exposed to North American markets (99.08%), with minimal exposure to Europe and Asia. While this focus can capture the growth potential of US markets, it limits geographic diversification, which can help mitigate region-specific risks. Global diversification can provide exposure to different economic cycles and growth opportunities. To balance this, consider increasing allocations to international markets, which can offer growth potential and diversification benefits.
The portfolio contains highly correlated assets, particularly between the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, reducing the diversification benefits. In market downturns, this can lead to amplified losses. To enhance diversification, consider replacing one of the correlated ETFs with an asset that has a lower correlation, such as international stocks or bonds, which can provide a buffer against market volatility.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Portfolio optimization using the Efficient Frontier suggests potential for improved risk-return balance. However, before optimizing, focus on reducing overlap from correlated assets, which offer limited diversification benefits. The Efficient Frontier helps identify the best possible risk-return ratio for a given set of assets, but it doesn't account for other goals like income generation or sector diversification. Adjusting asset weights and incorporating diverse asset classes can enhance portfolio efficiency.
The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 0.72%, primarily driven by the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. While not a high-yield portfolio, dividends can provide a steady income stream and contribute to total returns. For growth-oriented investors, dividends may seem secondary, but they can offer stability during market downturns. If income generation is a goal, consider increasing allocations to dividend-focused assets, which can provide regular income and potential capital appreciation.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is low at 0.08%, which is advantageous for long-term returns. Lower costs mean more of your investment returns are retained, compounding over time. This cost efficiency aligns well with best practices, as minimizing fees can significantly impact overall portfolio performance. Continue to monitor expense ratios, and consider replacing any higher-cost assets with lower-cost alternatives if they align with your investment goals and strategy.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey