The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a growth-oriented profile, comfortable with higher levels of risk for the potential of significant returns. It's tailored for those with a long-term investment horizon who can withstand market volatility, particularly within the technology sector. The investor likely prioritizes capital appreciation over income and is prepared to maintain their investment through market cycles to achieve growth objectives.
This portfolio is heavily weighted towards technology, with significant investments in major ETFs like the Vanguard S&P 500 and Invesco QQQ Trust, comprising 73% of the total. The inclusion of specific tech giants and a minor allocation to emerging markets and diversified funds suggests a growth-focused strategy, albeit with a moderate diversification level. The heavy tilt towards technology and large-cap stocks indicates a preference for well-established, high-growth potential companies, but it also introduces sector concentration risk.
With a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 20.23%, the portfolio has demonstrated strong historical performance, outpacing many traditional benchmarks. However, it's important to note that past performance, especially over short and highly volatile periods, is not always indicative of future results. The maximum drawdown of -47.38% underscores the portfolio's susceptibility to significant market corrections, particularly within the technology sector.
Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to forecast a range of possible outcomes, suggest a wide variance in potential future performance, with a median increase of 2,255.6%. While these projections can provide insight into potential volatility and reward, they are inherently uncertain and depend on past market behavior, which may not predict future trends accurately.
The portfolio is exclusively invested in stocks, with no allocation to bonds, cash, or other asset classes. This all-equity approach maximizes growth potential but also increases volatility and risk. Diversifying across different asset classes can provide a buffer against stock market fluctuations and reduce overall portfolio risk.
A 46% allocation to technology underscores a significant sector concentration, enhancing the portfolio's growth potential but also its risk profile. The presence of other sectors, although in smaller proportions, provides some level of diversification. However, the heavy focus on technology and communication services could lead to heightened volatility during sector-specific downturns.
The geographic allocation is heavily skewed towards North America (92%), with minimal exposure to emerging and developed markets outside of this region. This concentration benefits from the robust performance of the US market but limits global diversification, potentially missing out on growth opportunities in other regions.
The focus on mega (58%) and big (29%) cap stocks aligns with the portfolio's growth and risk profile, favoring established companies with potentially lower volatility than smaller caps. However, this concentration may limit exposure to high-growth opportunities in the mid and small-cap sectors, which can offer higher returns albeit with increased risk.
The high correlation among the portfolio's core holdings, especially between major ETFs and individual tech stocks, suggests redundancy that does not contribute to diversification. Reducing overlap by reallocating assets can enhance portfolio efficiency by lowering risk without significantly sacrificing returns.
The portfolio's overall yield of 0.99% reflects a focus on capital appreciation over income generation. While dividends contribute to total returns, the low yield is consistent with the growth-oriented nature of the portfolio. Investors seeking regular income might consider increasing allocations to higher-yielding assets.
The Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.27% is relatively low, enhancing net returns. However, the MFS Blended Research Emerging Markets Equity Fund B, with a 1.99% expense ratio, is an outlier that could drag on performance. Lowering costs by focusing on more cost-efficient funds and ETFs can compound significantly over time, boosting long-term gains.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Optimizing the portfolio along the Efficient Frontier could improve the risk-return profile by adjusting allocations among the current assets. This process might involve reducing exposure to highly correlated assets and increasing diversification across sectors, geographies, and asset classes to achieve a more efficient balance of risk and return.
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