A highly speculative technology-focused portfolio with significant concentration in a single sector

Report created on Dec 8, 2024

Risk profile Info

7/7
Speculative
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is heavily concentrated with 70% in NVIDIA Corporation and 30% in Celestica Inc., both common stocks. It represents a single-focused investment in the technology sector. Such a concentrated portfolio can lead to high volatility, as it depends heavily on the performance of these two companies. While concentration can lead to significant gains if these companies perform well, it also increases risk if they face downturns. To mitigate risk, consider diversifying into different sectors or asset classes, which can help stabilize returns and reduce exposure to company-specific risks.

Growth Info

Historically, this portfolio has shown impressive growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.08%. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -66.06%, indicating significant volatility. This means that while the portfolio has the potential for high returns, it also carries a high risk of substantial losses. Historical performance can provide insights but does not guarantee future results. Investors should be cautious and consider whether they can withstand such volatility, especially during market downturns.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project potential future outcomes, suggests a wide range of possible returns. With 1,000 simulations, the median outcome shows a potential return of 29,753.85%, while the 5th percentile indicates a 1,289.62% return. Although the majority of simulations resulted in positive returns, it's important to note that these projections are based on past performance and assumptions, which may not hold in the future. Investors should be prepared for a wide range of outcomes and consider their risk tolerance.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is entirely composed of stocks, which can offer high growth potential but also come with increased risk. Stocks tend to be more volatile than other asset classes like bonds or real estate, which can provide stability during market fluctuations. By diversifying into different asset classes, investors can potentially reduce risk and achieve a more balanced risk-return profile. Consider incorporating a mix of asset classes to cushion against market volatility and enhance the portfolio's resilience.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    100%

With 100% of the portfolio invested in the technology sector, there is significant exposure to sector-specific risks. While the technology sector has been a strong performer, it can also be subject to rapid changes and regulatory challenges. This lack of sector diversification can lead to increased volatility. To mitigate these risks, consider diversifying across multiple sectors, such as healthcare or consumer goods, which can provide stability and reduce the impact of sector-specific downturns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    100%

The portfolio's geographic exposure is entirely in North America, which can limit opportunities for growth and diversification. While North American markets have been strong, they are not immune to regional economic downturns. By diversifying geographically, investors can tap into growth opportunities in other regions, such as Asia or Europe, and reduce reliance on a single economic area. This can help cushion the portfolio against regional market fluctuations and enhance overall stability.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The Efficient Frontier concept suggests that this portfolio could potentially be optimized for a better risk-return ratio by adjusting the allocation within the current assets. This means finding the right balance between NVIDIA and Celestica to achieve the highest possible return for a given level of risk. Optimization does not necessarily mean adding new assets, but rather reallocating existing ones. Investors should analyze risk tolerance and market conditions to determine if adjustments can enhance portfolio efficiency.

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