Balanced Risk Portfolio with Low Diversification and Strong Historical Performance

Report created on Nov 17, 2024

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is entirely invested in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, indicating a lack of diversification. With 100% allocation to this ETF, the portfolio's performance is heavily reliant on the S&P 500 index. While this provides exposure to a wide range of U.S. large-cap stocks, it limits diversification across other asset classes such as bonds or international equities. This concentrated approach can lead to higher risk, as the portfolio's value is tied to the performance of a single asset class. To improve diversification, consider spreading investments across different asset classes and regions.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown impressive performance with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.99%. This indicates strong growth over time, outperforming many other investment options. However, the maximum drawdown of -34.03% highlights the potential volatility and risk associated with a single ETF investment. The fact that just 32 days account for 90% of returns suggests that timing can significantly impact overall performance. To mitigate this risk, consider incorporating a mix of assets that can provide stability during market downturns, reducing reliance on timing for returns.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's future performance was projected. This method uses random sampling to predict possible outcomes based on historical data. The simulation shows an annualized return of 15.29%, with a 50th percentile end value of 505.27%, indicating a strong likelihood of positive returns. However, with a 5th percentile end value of 102.17%, there's still a risk of minimal growth. Diversifying the portfolio could potentially reduce this risk and provide more consistent returns across different market conditions, enhancing overall stability.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily skewed towards stocks, with 99.92% in equities and a mere 0.08% in cash. This allocation suggests a high-risk profile, as equities are typically more volatile than other asset classes like bonds. While stocks offer higher growth potential, they also come with increased risk. A more balanced approach could involve allocating a portion of the portfolio to bonds or other fixed-income securities, which can provide a buffer against stock market fluctuations and help achieve a more stable return over time.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    33%
  • Financials
    13%
  • Health Care
    11%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    10%
  • Telecommunications
    9%
  • Industrials
    8%
  • Consumer Staples
    6%
  • Energy
    3%
  • Utilities
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%

The portfolio's sector allocation is concentrated, with a significant 33.02% in technology, followed by financial services and healthcare. This focus on a few sectors can lead to increased risk if these industries face downturns. While these sectors have historically driven growth, diversification across more sectors could enhance risk management. By spreading investments across various industries, the portfolio can better withstand sector-specific challenges and capture growth opportunities in other areas, leading to a more resilient investment strategy.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly invested in North America, with 99.40% exposure. This concentration limits exposure to international markets, which could provide additional growth opportunities and risk diversification. While the U.S. market has been strong, other regions may offer unique opportunities and risks that could balance the portfolio. Expanding geographic exposure can help mitigate regional risks and capitalize on global economic trends, potentially enhancing long-term returns and reducing the impact of domestic market fluctuations.

Dividends Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.20%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.20%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 1.2%, offering a modest income stream. While dividends can provide a steady source of income, relying solely on the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF for dividends may limit potential income growth. To enhance dividend income, consider adding dividend-focused investments or funds that prioritize companies with strong dividend histories. This approach can help boost the portfolio's overall yield and provide a more consistent income stream, contributing to a diversified investment strategy that balances growth and income.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.03%

The portfolio benefits from low costs, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.03% for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. This low-cost structure is advantageous, as it minimizes the drag on returns and allows more of the portfolio's growth to be retained by the investor. Keeping costs low is crucial for long-term investment success, as high fees can erode returns over time. Maintaining a focus on low-cost investments can help optimize the portfolio's performance and ensure that more of the investment gains are captured.

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