A growth focused large cap heavy portfolio with strong tech tilt and low global diversification

Report created on Aug 10, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is simple and very equity heavy, with 100% in stock ETFs and no bonds or cash. The biggest slice is a broad US market fund, paired with a high dividend ETF and a dedicated tech fund. That mix creates a clear growth tilt with some income support, but the three funds overlap significantly, so actual diversification is weaker than it first looks. Simpler structures like this are easy to manage and understand, which is a real plus. To strengthen the setup, it could help to think about whether growth, income, or balance is the main goal and then fine‑tune the weights so each fund plays a clear, intentional role.

Growth Info

Historically, this mix has delivered a very strong compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 17%, meaning a $10,000 starting amount would have grown to roughly $48,000 over 10 years if that rate persisted. That handily outpaces many common equity benchmarks. But the portfolio also went through a max drawdown near ‑33%, which is a big temporary loss and a reminder that high returns often come with sharp drops. Strong past performance is encouraging but not a promise; markets change. It’s worth checking if that level of volatility feels acceptable and making sure any future contributions and withdrawals can handle similar ups and downs.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo analysis, which runs many “what if” return paths using historical patterns and randomness, shows a wide range of future outcomes. The 5th percentile ending value around 160% suggests even weak scenarios still grew meaningfully, while the median outcome above 800% and higher percentiles above 1,200% show big growth potential. The average simulated annual return near 19% looks impressive, but simulations rely heavily on past data and assumed volatility, which might not repeat. These numbers are best used as rough guardrails, not promises. A helpful next step is to treat the lower‑end scenarios seriously and ask whether that downside path would still support long‑term goals.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

All holdings are in stocks, with 0% in bonds, cash, or alternatives. That makes the portfolio very sensitive to equity market swings, which is consistent with a growth‑oriented risk profile but may feel rough in deep bear markets. Diversifying across asset classes—like mixing in more defensive assets—can help smooth the ride by adding things that don’t move in lockstep with stocks. The current “all‑equity” setup is efficient for long‑term growth if the investor can stay invested through large drawdowns. It can help to think in time buckets: money needed soon might call for more stability, while distant goals can better tolerate a high‑equity stance.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    47%
  • Health Care
    9%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Consumer Staples
    7%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    7%
  • Energy
    7%
  • Industrials
    6%
  • Telecommunications
    6%
  • Utilities
    1%
  • Basic Materials
    1%
  • Real Estate
    1%

Sector exposure is heavily concentrated in technology at about 47%, with the rest spread across areas like healthcare, financials, consumer segments, and energy. This tech tilt comes from both the dedicated tech ETF and the tech weight inside the broad market fund. When tech is strong, this can significantly boost returns, which has been a tailwind in recent years. But during periods of rising interest rates or regulatory pressure, tech‑heavy allocations can drop faster than the broad market. It’s a positive that several other sectors appear, which adds some balance. Still, it may be useful to decide how intentional this tech bet is and whether it matches comfort with volatility.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%

Geographically, the portfolio is almost entirely in North America, around 99%. This aligns with many US‑based benchmarks, so from a home‑market perspective it’s very familiar and straightforward. The upside is simplicity and exposure to large, globally active companies that already earn revenue worldwide. The downside is that returns are tightly tied to one region’s economic cycle, policy changes, and currency. Historically, leadership rotates between regions over different decades. Adding some non‑US exposure can reduce the risk of a long stretch where one market lags. Thinking about whether returns should mainly track the domestic market or be more globally balanced is a useful framing question.

Market capitalization Info

  • Large-cap
    39%
  • Mega-cap
    34%
  • Mid-cap
    20%
  • Small-cap
    5%
  • Micro-cap
    1%

Most of the portfolio sits in mega and large companies, with roughly three‑quarters in big and mega caps and a smaller slice in mid and small caps. Large and mega cap stocks are usually more stable, widely researched, and less prone to extreme moves than tiny companies, which helps reduce idiosyncratic risk. Mid and small caps can provide extra growth potential but tend to be bumpier. This allocation is well‑balanced and aligns closely with global standards for market‑cap weighting, which supports both diversification and liquidity. If the goal is even more growth (and higher volatility is acceptable), the mid/small slice could be adjusted upward; if stability is paramount, the current tilt is already quite sensible.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

On a risk‑return chart known as the Efficient Frontier, which shows the best possible trade‑offs between volatility and average return for a given set of assets, this portfolio likely sits on the aggressive side due to its 100% equity and tech tilt. Efficiency here means achieving the highest expected return for a given amount of risk, not necessarily the most diversified structure or the calmest ride. Because all three funds are fairly similar, small tweaks in their weights may not dramatically change efficiency. More noticeable improvements usually come from adding assets with different behavior, but even within the current menu it can help to test whether slightly different mixes better match desired risk levels.

Dividends Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 3.80%
  • Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares 0.40%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.10%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.70%

The blended dividend yield of about 1.7% comes from combining a high‑yield dividend ETF at around 3.8% with lower‑yield broad market and tech funds. That blend offers a modest income stream while keeping a firm focus on growth. Dividends can be attractive for reinvestment, compounding returns over time, or for partial income later on. For a growth‑minded strategy, this level of yield is reasonable and keeps the door open to companies that reinvest profits into expansion rather than paying them out. If reliable cash flow is a bigger priority, shifting slightly more weight toward income‑oriented holdings could be helpful, but that might trade off some growth potential.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 0.06%
  • Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares 0.10%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.06%

The total expense ratio (TER) around 0.06% is impressively low, thanks to all three ETFs charging minimal fees. TER is the annual cost charged by a fund; paying less means more of the market’s return stays in your pocket, which adds up meaningfully over decades. This level of cost is better than what many investors pay and supports better long‑term performance. With fees already so low, there’s limited benefit in trying to squeeze out a few more basis points. The bigger levers from here are asset mix, risk level, and behavior—staying invested, rebalancing periodically, and aligning contributions with long‑term plans.

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