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A balanced Canadian portfolio with significant financial sector and North American exposure

Report created on Jan 12, 2025

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

3/5
Moderately Diversified
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio comprises 35% BMO S&P 500 Index ETF, 30% iShares Core Equity Portfolio, and notable holdings in Toronto Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada. This structure leans heavily towards equity, with a substantial focus on North American markets. Compared to a typical balanced portfolio, this one is moderately diversified, with a higher concentration in financial services. This composition suggests a focus on growth, but it may benefit from more international diversification to mitigate regional risks and enhance potential returns.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown a strong Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.75%, with a maximum drawdown of -32.6%. This indicates substantial growth potential but also significant volatility. When compared to common benchmarks, the growth rate is impressive, but the drawdown highlights potential risks during market downturns. While historical performance is a useful guide, it's important to note that past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors may consider strategies to reduce volatility, such as diversifying across more asset classes or regions.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project potential future outcomes, suggests a 50th percentile return of 441.33% and a 67th percentile return of 656.09%. This indicates a positive outlook, with 989 out of 1,000 simulations showing positive returns. However, it's important to remember that these projections are based on historical trends and assumptions, which may not hold true in the future. Investors should regularly review their portfolios to ensure they align with their risk tolerance and investment goals.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    35%
  • US Equity
    14%
  • Stocks
    7%

The asset allocation includes 34.9% stocks, 14.3% US equity, and 7.4% general equity, with minimal cash and other assets. This heavy equity weighting aligns with a growth-focused strategy, but it may expose the portfolio to higher volatility. Compared to typical balanced portfolios, which often include more fixed income for stability, this allocation is more aggressive. To enhance diversification, consider incorporating more varied asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, which can provide stability during market fluctuations.

Sectors Info

  • Financials
    41%
  • Technology
    6%
  • Industrials
    4%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    3%
  • Health Care
    2%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Telecommunications
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Consumer Staples
    2%
  • Utilities
    1%
  • Real Estate
    1%

The portfolio is dominated by financial services, which account for 40.9% of the total allocation. This concentration may expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or economic downturns affecting financial institutions. While the technology and industrial sectors provide some diversification, their relatively small weightings limit their impact. To reduce sector risk, consider increasing exposure to underrepresented sectors, which can help balance the portfolio and mitigate potential losses.

Regions Info

  • North America
    57%
  • Europe Developed
    4%
  • Japan
    2%
  • Asia Emerging
    1%
  • Asia Developed
    1%
  • Australasia
    1%

With 56.7% exposure to North America, the portfolio is heavily concentrated in this region, potentially limiting its diversification benefits. While this aligns with the investor's Canadian base, it may expose the portfolio to regional economic risks. Compared to global benchmarks, the portfolio is underexposed to Europe, Asia, and other emerging markets. Increasing geographic diversification can help mitigate risks associated with regional economic fluctuations and enhance potential returns through exposure to different growth opportunities.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

While the portfolio is efficient, optimization using the Efficient Frontier suggests a potential return of 16% with the same risk level. The Efficient Frontier represents the best possible risk-return ratio for a given set of assets. However, achieving this may require significant changes to the current allocation. Consider incremental adjustments to improve efficiency without drastically altering the portfolio's risk profile. Balancing risk and return is key to optimizing long-term growth.

Dividends Info

  • Royal Bank of Canada 3.30%
  • Toronto Dominion Bank 3.90%
  • iShares Core Equity Portfolio 0.90%
  • BMO S&P 500 Index ETF 0.50%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.74%

The portfolio's total dividend yield is 1.74%, with significant contributions from Toronto Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada. Dividends can provide a steady income stream, which is beneficial for investors seeking regular cash flow. However, the yield is relatively low compared to typical income-focused portfolios. To increase income potential, consider adding higher-yielding assets or funds. Balancing growth and income can help achieve a more stable and diversified portfolio.

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