Balanced Portfolio with High North American Exposure and Low Diversification

Report created on Nov 23, 2024

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is mainly composed of two ETFs, with a significant allocation to the Vanguard FTSE North America UCITS ETF, making up 73.58% of the portfolio. The remaining 26.42% is invested in the Vanguard Global Aggregate Bond UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Accumulation. This composition indicates a focus on North American equities and global bonds. The asset allocation suggests a balanced approach, combining growth potential from stocks with the stability of bonds. However, the heavy concentration in North American equities may expose the portfolio to regional risks. Diversifying across more regions could help mitigate this risk.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has performed well, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.87%. This suggests strong past performance, likely driven by the substantial allocation to North American equities, which have historically delivered robust returns. However, the maximum drawdown of -27.16% highlights the potential volatility and risk inherent in the portfolio. To build resilience against such downturns, it might be beneficial to consider adding assets that can provide stability during market turbulence, such as additional fixed-income securities or alternative investments.

Projection Info

A Monte Carlo simulation, which uses random sampling to predict future outcomes, shows that the portfolio has a wide range of potential future returns. With a hypothetical initial investment, the simulation indicates a 50th percentile return of 171.11% and a 67th percentile return of 235.03%. This suggests a decent probability of achieving significant returns, but also highlights the inherent uncertainty and risk. The annualized return across all simulations is 7.9%, which is respectable. To potentially improve future outcomes, considering a broader diversification strategy could be beneficial.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    74%
  • Bonds
    26%

The portfolio consists of 73.58% stocks and 26.38% bonds, with minimal cash and unclassified assets. This allocation aligns with a balanced investment strategy, aiming to capture growth from equities while mitigating risk with bonds. The current balance may suit investors seeking moderate risk and return. However, the high equity exposure could lead to increased volatility. To maintain a balanced risk profile, it might be wise to monitor the equity-bond ratio and adjust according to changes in market conditions or personal risk tolerance.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    23%
  • Financials
    10%
  • Health Care
    8%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    7%
  • Telecommunications
    7%
  • Industrials
    6%
  • Consumer Staples
    4%
  • Energy
    3%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%

The sector allocation is heavily skewed towards Technology, making up 23.46% of the portfolio, followed by Financial Services and Healthcare. This concentration in a few sectors could lead to sector-specific risks, especially if these industries face downturns. Diversifying across more sectors can help reduce this risk and provide a more stable return profile. While the current allocation has benefited from strong technology performance, it might be prudent to consider spreading investments across other sectors to capture diverse growth opportunities and mitigate potential losses.

Regions Info

  • North America
    73%

The geographic composition is highly concentrated in North America, accounting for 72.92% of the portfolio. This focus on a single region can expose the portfolio to regional economic and political risks. While North America has been a strong performer, diversifying into other regions like Europe, Asia, or emerging markets could provide growth opportunities and reduce regional risk. Expanding geographic diversification can help balance the portfolio and offer protection against local downturns, ensuring a more resilient investment strategy in the long term.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio is close to the efficient frontier, meaning it's already quite efficient in terms of risk and return. However, it's not the optimal portfolio, as the optimal one offers a higher expected return with a slightly higher risk level. To achieve a riskier or more conservative portfolio, consider adjusting the asset allocation along the efficient frontier. This involves balancing the equity and bond ratio according to personal risk preferences. Exploring additional asset classes or sectors could also help optimize the portfolio, aligning it more closely with individual financial goals.

Dividends Info

  • Vanguard FTSE North America UCITS 0.20%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.15%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low, at 0.15%, with the Vanguard FTSE North America UCITS ETF contributing 0.2%. This suggests that the portfolio is not primarily focused on generating income through dividends. For investors seeking regular income, this may not be ideal. To enhance income generation, consider including higher-dividend-yielding assets or dividend-focused funds. However, it's important to balance the pursuit of income with overall portfolio growth and risk management to ensure that the investment strategy aligns with long-term financial goals.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Vanguard Global Aggregate Bond UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Accumulation 0.10%
  • Vanguard FTSE North America UCITS 0.10%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.10%

The portfolio benefits from low costs, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.1% across the ETFs. This is advantageous as lower costs can significantly enhance net returns over time. Keeping investment costs low is a key principle for maximizing returns, as high fees can erode gains. Continuously monitoring and managing expenses is crucial to ensure that the portfolio remains cost-efficient. Consider reviewing any additional fees associated with trading or account management to maintain the cost-effectiveness of the investment strategy.

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