This portfolio showcases a significant concentration in consumer cyclicals and defensive sectors, making up 41% of the total allocation. The exclusive investment in stocks, with a notable absence of bonds or alternative asset classes, positions this as a growth-oriented portfolio. The top holdings, including companies like Iron Mountain Incorporated and Ford Motor Company, suggest a preference for established firms with potential for steady growth. However, the concentration in a single asset class raises questions about diversification and risk management.
With a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 24.45% and a maximum drawdown of -26.62%, the portfolio has demonstrated robust growth alongside considerable volatility. The days contributing most to returns indicate that a small number of very good days have driven performance. While past success is commendable, it's essential to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. This performance profile suits investors comfortable with significant market fluctuations in pursuit of higher returns.
The Monte Carlo simulation, utilizing 1,000 scenarios, forecasts a wide range of potential outcomes, from a 5th percentile of 195.5% to a 67th percentile of 3,151.4%. This variance underscores the inherent uncertainty in market-based investments, especially those as concentrated as this portfolio. The high percentage of simulations with positive returns (995 out of 1,000) suggests optimism but should be viewed with caution, as simulations rely on historical data, which may not predict future conditions accurately.
The uniform investment in stocks, without diversification into bonds, real estate, or commodities, aligns with a growth investment strategy but increases exposure to market volatility. Diversifying across asset classes can reduce risk without necessarily compromising potential returns. Considering adding bonds or real estate investment trusts (REITs) could provide income and reduce overall portfolio volatility.
The sector allocation leans heavily towards consumer sectors, healthcare, and financial services. This concentration in sectors that can be sensitive to economic cycles may increase risk during downturns. On the positive side, the inclusion of technology and communication services offers exposure to growth sectors, although these could also be subject to higher volatility. Balancing sector exposure can mitigate risks associated with economic shifts.
With 92% of assets in North America, the portfolio's geographic exposure is heavily skewed towards the US market. This concentration enhances exposure to US economic conditions while limiting potential benefits from global diversification. Considering adding developed European or Asian equities could provide broader exposure to global growth trends and reduce the portfolio's vulnerability to regional economic cycles.
The focus on big and mega-cap stocks (96% combined) suggests a preference for stability and potential for steady growth. While large companies often provide more predictable returns, they may also offer lower growth potential compared to mid or small-cap stocks. Incorporating a small percentage of medium to small-cap stocks could enhance growth prospects and diversification.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Based on the Efficient Frontier, there may be opportunities to optimize the risk-return profile by adjusting asset allocation. While the portfolio shows strong growth potential, diversifying across different asset classes and sectors could achieve a more efficient risk-return balance. Rebalancing to include assets with lower correlation may enhance returns for the same level of risk.
The average dividend yield of 2.44% contributes to the portfolio's total return, adding a modest income component to growth-focused investments. While not the primary focus, dividends offer a buffer during market downturns. Reviewing the dividend yield in the context of total return and growth objectives is essential, as higher-yielding investments might come with different risk profiles.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey