This portfolio is comprised of two ETFs: the Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF USD Accumulation, making up 60% of the portfolio, and the Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation, constituting the remaining 40%. This structure indicates a clear preference for equity investments, with a significant tilt towards US markets. The allocation between these two funds suggests an attempt to balance global exposure with the historically strong performance of US equities.
Historically, this portfolio has achieved a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.61%, with a maximum drawdown of -33.75%. These figures underscore the portfolio's growth orientation but also highlight its susceptibility to significant market dips. The concentration in equities, particularly in the US market, has likely contributed to this robust growth rate, reflecting the broader market trends over the past decade.
Using Monte Carlo simulations, which project future performance based on historical data, this portfolio shows potential for substantial growth, with a median projected increase of 458.2% in value. However, it's crucial to remember that such simulations have limitations and cannot predict future market movements with certainty. They are a tool for gauging potential outcomes, not guarantees.
The portfolio is exclusively invested in stocks, demonstrating a clear focus on growth over income or stability. This single-asset class concentration increases the portfolio's volatility and risk, contrasting with a more diversified approach that might include bonds or other asset types to buffer against market fluctuations.
Sector allocation leans heavily towards technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, which are sectors known for their growth potential but also for their volatility. This sectoral distribution aligns with the portfolio's growth orientation but increases its sensitivity to economic cycles and market corrections, particularly in the tech sector.
Geographically, the portfolio is heavily weighted towards North America (79%), with modest exposure to developed Europe, Japan, and emerging markets. This concentration in developed markets, particularly the US, has likely been a significant growth driver but also limits geographic diversification and exposure to potentially faster-growing emerging markets.
The portfolio's market capitalization breakdown shows a strong emphasis on mega and large-cap stocks, which tend to be more stable and less volatile than smaller companies. However, this focus might limit opportunities for higher growth rates that smaller companies can offer, albeit with higher risk.
The high correlation between the two ETFs in the portfolio suggests redundancy, as they cover many of the same markets and sectors. This overlap reduces the portfolio's diversification benefits, potentially increasing risk without a corresponding increase in expected return.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Considering the high correlation between the portfolio's assets, optimization could involve reducing overlap to enhance diversification without sacrificing expected returns. Employing the Efficient Frontier model could identify an asset allocation that offers a better risk-return balance, focusing on diversification across uncorrelated assets.
With a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.16%, the portfolio benefits from relatively low costs, which is crucial for maximizing long-term returns. Lower costs mean more of the portfolio's gains are retained by the investor, a key factor in compound growth over time.
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