Leveraged growth focused US tilted stock portfolio with strong value bias and efficient risk profile
Report created on May 31, 2024Risk profile
5/7
Diversification profile
3/5
Positions
-
SS ProShares Ultra S&P500
SSO - US74347R1077 60.00% -
AV American Century ETF Trust
AVNM - US0250721745 20.00% -
AV Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV - US0250728773 20.00%
The portfolio is very concentrated in three ETFs, with 60% in a 2x leveraged S&P 500 product and the remaining 40% split evenly between two more traditional stock funds. Nearly everything is in equities, and there is no explicit ballast from bonds or cash-like assets. That structure creates a “barbell within stocks”: one very aggressive core position plus two more conventional satellite holdings. This matters because most of the portfolio’s behavior will be driven by that single leveraged ETF. Anyone using a setup like this is essentially choosing a high-octane equity strategy where returns and volatility will both be amplified versus a plain stock market mix.
Growth
Over the last few years, $1,000 grew to about $1,680, which is strong growth. The portfolio’s CAGR, or compound annual growth rate, of about 20.9% beat both the US and global market by roughly 5 percentage points per year. CAGR is like your average speed over a long trip, smoothing out bumps. The trade-off is a deep max drawdown of almost -30%, noticeably worse than the benchmarks. Max drawdown measures the worst peak-to-trough fall, which investors really feel during crashes. This pattern—higher returns with sharper drops—is consistent with leveraged exposure and heavier equity risk, and it requires comfort with big temporary losses.
Asset classes
- Stocks 99%
- Other 1%
Almost the entire allocation is in stocks, with only a token slice in “Other.” That makes this a pure equity growth engine, with little built‑in dampening from bonds or cash equivalents. Asset class mix is one of the biggest drivers of both risk and return; stocks historically deliver higher long‑term growth but also sharper and deeper drawdowns than bonds. The portfolio’s heavy equity tilt fits a growth‑oriented profile and aligns with its risk score, but it means sequence risk—suffering large losses early in a withdrawal phase—could be meaningful. For someone nearing or in retirement, pairing this with safer assets elsewhere often becomes important.
Sectors
- Technology 24%
- Financials 17%
- Consumer Discretionary 12%
- Industrials 12%
- Energy 8%
- Telecommunications 8%
- Health Care 7%
- Consumer Staples 5%
- Basic Materials 4%
- Utilities 2%
- Real Estate 2%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only.
Sector exposure is fairly balanced for an equity-only portfolio: technology leads but doesn’t dominate, while financials, consumer discretionary, and industrials also hold substantial weight. This alignment is close to broad market norms, which is a positive sign for diversification. A strong but not extreme tech presence supports growth potential, yet avoids the single‑sector risk you would see if tech were half the portfolio. Sectors like energy, telecom, and health care add different economic sensitivities, which helps smooth the ride when one area is under pressure. In environments with rising rates or regulatory shifts, this mix is likely to behave more like a broad market basket than a narrow bet.
Regions
- North America 81%
- Europe Developed 8%
- Japan 3%
- Asia Developed 3%
- Asia Emerging 3%
- Australasia 1%
- Latin America 1%
- Africa/Middle East 1%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only.
Geographically, the portfolio is clearly US‑centric, with more than four‑fifths in North America and relatively small slices in Europe, Asia, and other regions. That tilt has been rewarded over the past decade as US markets outperformed much of the world. Benchmarks like global indices usually hold a lower US share and more non‑US diversification. A home‑biased approach can feel intuitive and often tracks familiar news and companies, but it also ties fortunes closely to the US economic and policy cycle. For investors seeking to reduce single‑country dependence over the very long term, gradually increasing non‑US exposure is one way to broaden risk drivers.
Market capitalization
- Mega-cap 25%
- Large-cap 21%
- Mid-cap 13%
- Small-cap 12%
- Micro-cap 9%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only. Some holdings may not have full classification data available. Percentages may not add up to 100%.
The market‑cap mix spans mega‑caps down to micro‑caps, with meaningful allocations across the spectrum. Having 25% in mega‑caps and about 21% in large‑caps echoes broad index behavior, providing stability and liquidity. At the same time, double‑digit exposure to mid‑, small‑, and micro‑cap stocks introduces higher potential growth and volatility. Smaller companies tend to be more sensitive to economic conditions and market sentiment, so their prices can swing more. This combination of large, established names and smaller, more nimble firms helps diversify size risk. It also fits well with a growth‑oriented philosophy that’s willing to accept extra choppiness for the chance at higher long‑run returns.
True holdings
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NV NVIDIA Corporation 3.28%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
AA Apple Inc 2.84%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
MS Microsoft Corporation 2.19%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
AM Amazon.com Inc 1.58%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
GO Alphabet Inc Class A 1.35%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
AV Broadcom Inc 1.18%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
GO Alphabet Inc Class C 1.08%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
ME Meta Platforms Inc. 1.02%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
TS Tesla Inc 0.82%
Part of fund(s):- LS 1x Tesla Tracker ETP Securities GBP
- ProShares Ultra S&P500
-
BR Berkshire Hathaway Inc 0.68%
Part of fund(s):- ProShares Ultra S&P500
- Top 10 total 16.02%
This breakdown covers the equity portion of your portfolio only.
Looking through the ETFs’ top holdings, the biggest underlying exposures are familiar large US names like NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta. These appear across multiple funds, creating hidden overlap even if each ETF looks diversified on its own. Overlap means several slices of the pie depend on the same companies, so a stumble in a few giants can ripple through the whole portfolio. Because only top-10 ETF holdings are used, the true overlap is likely higher. This kind of concentration is common in modern equity products, but it’s worth being intentional about how much reliance on a small group of mega-caps feels acceptable.
Factors
Factor exposure shows a clear tilt toward value, with a high score around 61%, while most other factors sit near neutral and low volatility is somewhat underweight. Factors are like the underlying “traits” that help explain why investments move the way they do—value, size, and momentum are classic examples. A value tilt means more exposure to companies priced lower relative to fundamentals, which has historically rewarded patient investors but can underperform for long stretches. The low volatility underweight means the portfolio leans into more price‑sensitive stocks, reinforcing its risk‑seeking nature. This combination fits a contrarian, growth‑chasing style but requires comfort with rough patches when value or higher‑beta names lag.
Risk contribution
-
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Weight: 60.00% 75.0% -
Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Weight: 20.00% 15.0% -
American Century ETF Trust
Weight: 20.00% 10.0%
Risk contribution highlights how much each position drives overall ups and downs, which can differ a lot from simple weights. The leveraged S&P 500 ETF is 60% of assets but contributes about 75% of total risk, meaning its moves dominate the experience. The small-cap value ETF and the American Century ETF together make up 40% of the portfolio yet add only about 25% of the risk. That imbalance is expected with leverage: 2x exposure magnifies swings. If the goal were to smooth volatility without changing holdings, dialing down that leveraged position and increasing the more traditional ETFs would bring risk contribution closer to actual allocations.
Risk vs. return
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
On the risk‑return chart, the portfolio sits right on or very close to the efficient frontier, meaning that for its chosen risk level, the mix of holdings is well‑arranged. The Sharpe ratio of about 0.86 is lower than the optimal configuration’s 1.19, but that optimal mix also runs materially less risk and slightly lower return by minimizing volatility. The efficient frontier is the curve of best possible trade‑offs with the current ingredients. Being near it is a strong sign of efficiency: you’re not “wasting” risk. Any shift toward the max‑Sharpe mix would mainly be about dialing down risk and smoothing the ride rather than unlocking free extra return.
Dividends
- American Century ETF Trust 2.80%
- Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.40%
- ProShares Ultra S&P500 0.60%
- Weighted yield (per year) 1.20%
The portfolio’s overall yield of around 1.2% is modest, with the American Century ETF providing the highest payout and the leveraged S&P 500 fund the lowest. Dividend yield is the annual cash payment as a percentage of price, and it can be important for investors seeking regular income. Here, most of the expected return is from price growth rather than cash distributions, which fits a growth‑first approach. Lower yield is not inherently negative; it often accompanies companies reinvesting profits for expansion. For someone prioritizing income stability, this profile would likely need to be paired with higher‑yielding assets elsewhere rather than relying on this allocation alone.
Ongoing product costs
- American Century ETF Trust 0.31%
- Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
- ProShares Ultra S&P500 0.91%
- Weighted costs total (per year) 0.66%
Blended costs land around a 0.66% total expense ratio, pushed up mainly by the leveraged ETF’s 0.91% fee. TER is the annual percentage skimmed to run each fund, and even small differences compound over time. The other two ETFs sit in a more moderate cost range for their strategies. While 0.66% is not excessive, especially for specialized exposure, there’s less “free” room for underperformance versus very cheap index funds. The positive news is that the portfolio’s strong recent results comfortably cleared this fee drag. Over decades, staying conscious of costs—particularly in leveraged or niche products—helps more of the gross return end up in your pocket.
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