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High-risk tech-heavy portfolio with limited diversification and North American focus

Report created on Dec 16, 2024

Risk profile Info

6/7
Aggressive
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is heavily weighted towards technology stocks, with NVIDIA Corporation and Advanced Micro Devices Inc making up over 70% of the total allocation. The rest is invested in two Vanguard S&P 500 ETFs. This composition indicates a strong focus on growth and a high-risk profile. Having a concentrated portfolio can lead to higher volatility, as it relies heavily on the performance of a few assets. It's essential to consider diversifying with different asset types to mitigate risk and stabilize returns over time.

Growth Info

Historically, this portfolio has shown a strong compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52.68%, but with significant risk, as evidenced by a maximum drawdown of 55.01%. This means that while the portfolio has had impressive returns, it has also experienced substantial declines. Historical performance is not always indicative of future results, especially in highly volatile sectors like technology. An investor should be prepared for potential fluctuations and consider strategies to protect against large losses, such as diversification or setting stop-loss orders.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation projects a range of potential outcomes based on historical data, with an annualized return of 41.41%. While this suggests a high probability of positive returns, with 998 out of 1,000 simulations showing gains, it's crucial to remember that projections are based on past data and assumptions. They may not account for future market changes or extraordinary events. Investors should use these projections as a guide but remain cautious and flexible, ready to adjust their strategy if market conditions change.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is entirely composed of stocks, which limits diversification across asset classes. While stocks can offer high returns, they are also subject to market volatility. Diversifying into other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, can help balance risk and provide more consistent returns. Adding fixed-income assets, for example, can offer stability and income, especially during market downturns. Considering alternative investments might also enhance diversification and reduce overall portfolio risk.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    81%
  • Financials
    4%
  • Health Care
    3%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    3%
  • Telecommunications
    3%
  • Industrials
    2%
  • Consumer Staples
    2%
  • Energy
    1%
  • Utilities
    1%
  • Real Estate
    1%
  • Basic Materials
    1%

With over 81% of the portfolio in the technology sector, there's a significant concentration risk. While the tech sector has been a strong performer, it can also be highly volatile and sensitive to market changes. Diversifying into other sectors, such as healthcare or consumer goods, can help spread risk and capture growth opportunities in different economic environments. Balancing sector allocation can provide a cushion against sector-specific downturns and improve long-term stability.

Regions Info

  • North America
    100%

The portfolio's geographic allocation is overwhelmingly focused on North America, with 99.83% exposure. This lack of geographic diversification can increase vulnerability to regional economic or political changes. Expanding investments into other regions, such as Europe or Asia, can provide exposure to different markets and growth opportunities. Global diversification can reduce risk and enhance returns by capitalizing on various economic cycles and trends.

Redundant positions Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS Acc
    Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF
    High correlation

The portfolio contains highly correlated assets, particularly the two Vanguard S&P 500 ETFs. This means they tend to move together, offering limited diversification benefits. High correlation can lead to increased portfolio volatility during market downturns. Reducing correlated assets and introducing investments with low correlation to existing holdings can help manage risk and improve the overall risk-return profile. Consider adding assets that react differently to market conditions.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio can be optimized using the Efficient Frontier to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. This involves adjusting the current asset allocation to find the point where expected returns are maximized for a given level of risk. However, optimization is based on historical data and may not guarantee future results. It's important to regularly reassess and rebalance the portfolio to ensure it aligns with changing market conditions and personal investment goals.

Dividends Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF 0.50%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.07%

The portfolio's overall dividend yield is low, at 0.07%, primarily due to the growth-focused nature of the holdings. While growth stocks can offer substantial capital appreciation, they often provide limited income through dividends. Investors seeking regular income might consider including dividend-paying stocks or funds. Balancing growth and income can help meet both short-term cash flow needs and long-term wealth accumulation goals.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS Acc 0.07%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF 0.07%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.02%

The portfolio's costs are relatively low, with the Vanguard ETFs charging a total expense ratio of 0.07%. Keeping costs low is crucial for maximizing long-term returns, as high fees can erode gains over time. Investors should regularly review their portfolio's expense ratios and consider cost-effective alternatives if necessary. While low costs are beneficial, they should not be the sole consideration; the overall investment strategy and potential returns are equally important.

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