This portfolio has only about 6 months of historical data, based on the youngest asset in the portfolio. Some metrics, projections, and AI insights may be less reliable and should be interpreted with caution.

Highly Speculative Portfolio with Low Diversity and High Risk

Report created on Jul 23, 2024

Risk profile Info

7/7
Speculative
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards a single asset class, with 80% allocated to the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF and the remaining 20% split between Apple Inc and General Motors Company. This composition indicates a high level of concentration risk, as a significant portion of the portfolio is tied to the performance of Bitcoin. While this can lead to substantial gains, it also exposes the portfolio to significant volatility.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 82.33%. However, this comes with a maximum drawdown of -18.84%, indicating periods of significant losses. The fact that 90% of returns are concentrated in just 5 days underscores the high volatility and speculative nature of the investments. This performance suggests that while the potential for high returns exists, the risk of substantial losses is also very real.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's future performance was projected. The simulation assumes a hypothetical initial investment and provides a range of possible outcomes. The 5th percentile end value is 14,926.12%, while the 50th percentile is 157,509.42%, and the 67th percentile is 306,994.58%. The annualized return across all simulations is 78.89%. These results highlight the potential for high returns but also reflect the speculative and uncertain nature of the portfolio.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    20%

The portfolio is almost entirely invested in a single asset class, stocks, with 80% in an ETF focused on Bitcoin and 20% in individual stocks. This lack of diversification increases risk, as the portfolio's performance is heavily dependent on the volatile cryptocurrency market and the performance of two companies. A more balanced allocation across different asset classes could help mitigate risk and provide more stable returns.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    10%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    10%

The sector allocation is limited to Technology and Consumer Cyclicals, each representing 10% of the portfolio. This narrow focus further amplifies the risk, as any negative developments in these sectors could disproportionately impact the portfolio's performance. Diversifying into additional sectors could help spread risk and reduce the portfolio's vulnerability to sector-specific downturns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    20%

Geographically, the portfolio is entirely concentrated in North America, which represents 20% of the investments. This lack of geographic diversification exposes the portfolio to regional risks, such as economic downturns or regulatory changes in the United States. Expanding the geographic allocation to include international markets could help mitigate these risks and provide exposure to growth opportunities in other regions.

Dividends Info

  • General Motors Company 0.90%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.09%

There is no dividend yield data provided for the portfolio, indicating that the investments do not generate regular income through dividends. This is typical for a speculative portfolio focused on capital appreciation rather than income generation. Investors seeking regular income may need to consider adding dividend-paying stocks or other income-generating assets to the portfolio.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • iShares Bitcoin Trust 0.12%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.10%

The portfolio's costs are relatively low, with the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF having an expense ratio of 0.12% and a total TER of 0.1%. Keeping investment costs low is beneficial, as it helps maximize net returns. However, the high-risk nature of the portfolio means that even low costs cannot offset the potential for significant losses.

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