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A single-focused portfolio heavily reliant on gold with minimal diversification

Report created on Dec 20, 2024

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily concentrated in a single asset, with nearly 100% allocated to the iShares Physical Gold ETC, leaving a negligible portion in Berkshire Hathaway Inc. This extreme concentration in gold suggests a lack of diversification, which can increase risk if gold prices fluctuate significantly. Diversification typically involves spreading investments across various asset classes to reduce risk. Consider diversifying by adding other asset classes, such as equities or bonds, to balance the portfolio and potentially improve risk-adjusted returns.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has performed well, with a CAGR of 15.0% and a maximum drawdown of -13.04%. This indicates strong growth potential but also highlights vulnerability during downturns. Comparing this performance to a diversified benchmark, the portfolio's returns are impressive, but the concentrated nature poses risks if gold prices decline. While past performance is not indicative of future results, maintaining such a concentration could lead to significant volatility. Consider gradually reallocating to achieve more balanced growth.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation projects a wide range of potential outcomes, with a median expected growth of 899.53%. This simulation uses historical data to estimate future returns, but it's important to note that past data does not guarantee future results. The portfolio's high reliance on gold suggests that its future performance is closely tied to gold market trends. To manage uncertainty, consider diversifying into other asset classes that might perform well under different economic conditions, thus smoothing potential outcomes.

Asset classes Info

  • Other
    100%

The portfolio is almost entirely invested in a single asset class, "Other," due to its heavy allocation to gold. This lack of variety limits the benefits of diversification, which can protect against downturns in any single asset class. A well-diversified portfolio typically includes a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets, offering a buffer against market volatility. To enhance diversification, consider integrating additional asset classes to create a more balanced and resilient investment strategy.

Sectors Info

Sector-wise, the portfolio is nearly devoid of diversification, with a minor allocation to the financial services sector through Berkshire Hathaway Inc. This lopsided focus on gold means the portfolio is not exposed to the potential growth or risks associated with other sectors. Typically, sector diversification helps spread risk and capture gains from various economic cycles. To improve sector exposure, consider adding investments in multiple sectors, which can help mitigate risks associated with sector-specific downturns.

Regions Info

Geographically, the portfolio is almost entirely focused on North America, specifically through its small Berkshire Hathaway holding. This lack of geographic diversification can expose the portfolio to region-specific risks, such as economic downturns or policy changes. Diversifying across multiple regions can help reduce these risks and capture growth opportunities in different markets. Consider broadening geographic exposure by investing in assets from other regions, which can enhance the portfolio's resilience and growth potential.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's risk-return profile can be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which suggests a more balanced allocation can achieve a higher expected return of 16.80% at the same risk level. The Efficient Frontier represents the best possible risk-return combinations. By adjusting the current asset allocation, the portfolio could achieve better efficiency. Consider reallocating assets to improve the risk-return balance, focusing on diversification and cost-effective investments.

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