A tech-heavy portfolio with significant cash allocation and moderate risk exposure

Report created on Jan 8, 2025

Risk profile

  • Secure
    Speculative

The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.

Diversification profile

  • Focused
    Diversified

The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.

Positions

The portfolio is heavily skewed towards the Invesco QQQ Trust, which makes up 70% of the total allocation. This ETF is primarily focused on technology stocks, indicating a strong bias towards this sector. The remaining 30% is invested in the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF, which provides a cash-like safety net. Compared to common benchmarks, this composition is heavily concentrated in a single sector and lacks broader diversification. To mitigate risk, consider diversifying into additional asset classes such as international equities or bonds.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown strong performance with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.3%. This suggests that the portfolio has outperformed many benchmarks, likely driven by the tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust. However, it also experienced a maximum drawdown of -28.05%, indicating significant volatility. While past performance is impressive, it’s important to remember that it does not guarantee future results. To manage volatility, consider adding assets that have historically performed well during market downturns.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to forecast future performance, shows a wide range of potential outcomes for this portfolio. With 1,000 simulations, the 5th percentile projection is a 68.42% return, while the 50th and 67th percentiles are 327.51% and 459.11%, respectively. The annualized return across all simulations is 11.99%, indicating a positive outlook. However, simulations are based on past data and assumptions, so actual future performance can vary. Regularly reviewing and adjusting the portfolio to align with personal goals and market conditions is advisable.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    70%
  • Cash
    30%

The portfolio is divided between stocks (69.89%) and cash equivalents (30.11%). This allocation provides a balance between growth potential and stability. However, the heavy reliance on stocks, particularly within a single ETF, may expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks. Compared to a diversified benchmark, this portfolio could benefit from increasing exposure to other asset classes like bonds or international equities, which can provide additional stability and growth opportunities.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    36%
  • Telecommunications
    11%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    11%
  • Consumer Staples
    4%
  • Health Care
    4%
  • Industrials
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    1%
  • Utilities
    1%

The sector allocation is concentrated in technology, which accounts for over 35% of the portfolio. This concentration can lead to higher volatility, especially during periods of tech sector downturns. Other sectors like healthcare and consumer cyclicals are present but at much lower weights. While tech has been a strong performer, diversifying into sectors such as healthcare or industrials could provide a more balanced risk profile. This approach can help mitigate sector-specific risks and smooth out returns over time.

Regions Info

  • North America
    68%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly focused on North America, with 68.45% of assets allocated there. This concentration may limit exposure to growth opportunities in other regions. Compared to global benchmarks, there is minimal investment in Europe, Latin America, and Asia. Expanding geographic exposure can enhance diversification and potentially capture growth in emerging markets. Consider reallocating a portion of the portfolio to include international equities or funds with broader geographic coverage.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current allocation may not be optimized along the Efficient Frontier, which represents the best possible risk-return trade-off. By adjusting the allocation between existing assets, it's possible to enhance efficiency, potentially achieving higher returns for the same level of risk. This process involves analyzing historical risk and return data to determine the optimal mix. Consider consulting with a financial advisor or using portfolio optimization tools to explore adjustments that could improve the portfolio's risk-return profile.

Dividends Info

  • Invesco QQQ Trust 0.60%
  • iShares® 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF 5.10%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.95%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 1.95%, primarily due to the 0.6% yield from the Invesco QQQ Trust. The iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF contributes a higher yield of 5.1%, providing some income stability. For investors seeking income, this yield may not be sufficient. Consider incorporating higher-yielding assets or dividend-focused funds to enhance income potential. Balancing growth and income can create a more well-rounded portfolio that meets diverse financial goals.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Invesco QQQ Trust 0.20%
  • iShares® 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF 0.07%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.16%

The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is 0.16%, which is relatively low and favorable for long-term returns. The Invesco QQQ Trust has an expense ratio of 0.2%, while the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF is even lower at 0.07%. These low costs align with best practices for maximizing net returns over time. Keeping expenses in check is crucial, as high fees can erode gains. Regularly reviewing and comparing fund costs can ensure the portfolio remains cost-efficient.

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