The portfolio is heavily concentrated, with 72.03% invested in Robinhood Markets Inc. This concentration in a single stock increases risk significantly. The remaining allocation is 17.62% in Mesa Air Group Inc and 10.35% in NVIDIA Corporation. Ideally, a more balanced portfolio would spread investments across multiple assets to reduce risk. This concentration is much higher than typical benchmarks, which aim for diversified exposure across various sectors and asset classes.
Historically, the portfolio has shown a high CAGR of 27.78%, indicating strong growth. However, the maximum drawdown of -85.30% highlights the significant volatility and risk involved. While high returns may seem appealing, the severe drawdown suggests that the portfolio is susceptible to large losses. Compared to benchmarks, this volatility is much higher, suggesting a need for caution and potential diversification to stabilize performance.
The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project future outcomes, shows a wide range of potential returns. With a 5th percentile return of -99.6% and a 67th percentile of 94.5%, the portfolio's future is highly uncertain. This simulation highlights the limitations of relying solely on past performance as a predictor of future results. Diversifying the portfolio could help reduce this uncertainty and improve the likelihood of achieving positive returns.
The portfolio is entirely composed of common stocks, lacking exposure to other asset classes like bonds or real estate. This singular focus increases risk, as it doesn't benefit from the diversification that multiple asset classes can provide. Compared to benchmarks, which typically include a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets, this portfolio is less balanced. Introducing different asset classes could help mitigate risk and enhance overall portfolio stability.
The portfolio's sector allocation is concentrated, with 72% in Financial Services, 18% in Industrials, and 10% in Technology. This concentration can lead to increased volatility, particularly if the financial sector experiences downturns. A more diversified sector allocation would reduce exposure to sector-specific risks. Compared to benchmarks, which typically distribute investments across a broader range of sectors, this portfolio's concentration is a point of concern.
With 100% exposure to North America, the portfolio lacks international diversification. This geographic concentration means the portfolio is highly sensitive to economic and political changes in the U.S. Expanding geographic exposure could help mitigate regional risks and take advantage of growth opportunities in other markets. Benchmarks often include a mix of global assets to balance regional risks and capture diverse economic growth.
The portfolio's market capitalization distribution is skewed, with 72% in large-cap, 18% in micro-cap, and 10% in mega-cap stocks. This imbalance may lead to higher volatility, as micro-cap stocks are generally more volatile than their larger counterparts. A more balanced distribution across market capitalizations could enhance diversification and reduce risk. Benchmarks typically aim for a more even spread to stabilize returns.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio could be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which seeks the best possible risk-return ratio. The current portfolio's expected return is below the optimal level of 62.63% with a risk of 56.31%. Optimization could involve reallocating assets to achieve better returns for the same risk level. This approach focuses on maximizing returns without increasing risk, aligning with best practices for portfolio management.
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