This portfolio is heavily concentrated, with 70% allocated to a Vanguard ETF focused on the Asia Pacific region excluding Japan, and 30% in a Japan-focused ETF. Such a composition indicates a narrow focus on developed markets in Asia. Typically, balanced portfolios include a mix of equities, bonds, and other asset types. The current allocation lacks this diversity, which can limit risk management and growth opportunities. Consider diversifying with additional asset classes like bonds or real estate to balance risk and potential returns.
Historically, the portfolio has delivered a modest CAGR of 0.14%, with a significant max drawdown of -25.2%. This suggests that while the portfolio has been relatively stable, it has not significantly outperformed or grown over time. Comparing this to a broader benchmark, such as a global equity index, might reveal underperformance. To enhance growth potential, consider introducing more diverse investments that align with your risk profile, potentially improving returns while managing drawdowns.
Forward projections using Monte Carlo simulations show a wide range of potential outcomes, from a 5th percentile loss of -70.59% to a 67th percentile gain of 25.57%. This variability highlights the inherent uncertainty in relying solely on historical data for future predictions. Monte Carlo simulations use past data to estimate future performance, but they are not guarantees. To mitigate risk, consider rebalancing the portfolio to include assets with different risk-return profiles, potentially smoothing out future volatility.
The portfolio is limited to equities, resulting in a lack of diversification across asset classes. Common benchmarks often include a mix of equities, fixed income, and alternative investments. The absence of bonds or other asset classes may increase volatility and limit potential risk-adjusted returns. Introducing diverse asset classes can enhance stability and provide more balanced growth. Consider adding fixed income or other alternatives to improve diversification and align more closely with balanced portfolio benchmarks.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio can be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which suggests a more efficient allocation could yield a 3.13% expected return at the same risk level. The Efficient Frontier represents the best possible risk-return ratio for a given level of risk. By adjusting the current asset weights, the portfolio could achieve better returns without increasing risk. Consider exploring rebalancing strategies that align with the Efficient Frontier principles to enhance performance while maintaining risk levels.
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