A concentrated growth-focused portfolio with significant exposure to technology stocks

Report created on Jan 3, 2025

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily concentrated, with over 90% allocated to the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF, and nearly 10% to the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF. This composition indicates a strong focus on growth, with limited diversification across different asset types. Compared to common benchmarks that include a mix of stocks, bonds, and other asset classes, this portfolio is skewed towards equities. While this can lead to higher potential returns, it also increases risk, especially during market downturns. Consider diversifying by including other asset classes like bonds or international equities to balance risk and potential returns.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has delivered impressive returns, with a CAGR of 17.41%, outperforming many traditional benchmarks. However, it has also experienced a maximum drawdown of -32.67%, highlighting the volatility associated with a growth-focused strategy. While past performance is encouraging, it's important to remember that it doesn't guarantee future results. To mitigate potential future losses, consider incorporating assets that historically have lower volatility, such as bonds or dividend-focused equities, which can provide stability during market downturns.

Projection Info

Using Monte Carlo simulations, the portfolio's future performance shows a wide range of potential outcomes. With 1,000 simulations, the median expected return is 552.37%, indicating strong growth potential. However, the 5th percentile projection is only 100.13%, underscoring the uncertainty and risk involved. Monte Carlo simulations use historical data to estimate future possibilities, but they can't predict market changes or economic shifts. Diversifying the portfolio could help manage risk and increase the likelihood of achieving more consistent returns across different market conditions.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards stocks, with nearly 100% in equities and a negligible amount in cash. This lack of diversification across asset classes can lead to increased volatility, as stocks tend to be more sensitive to market fluctuations compared to bonds or other fixed-income investments. Common benchmarks often include a mix of asset classes to balance risk and return. Consider introducing other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, to reduce volatility and provide more stable returns over time.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    44%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    13%
  • Telecommunications
    12%
  • Health Care
    11%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Industrials
    4%
  • Consumer Staples
    3%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Utilities
    1%

The portfolio is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, which makes up 44% of the total allocation. While technology stocks have driven significant growth in recent years, they can also be more volatile, especially during periods of economic uncertainty or interest rate changes. In contrast, more balanced portfolios diversify across multiple sectors to mitigate sector-specific risks. Consider reallocating some investments to underrepresented sectors, such as healthcare or consumer defensive, to enhance diversification and reduce reliance on technology stocks.

Regions Info

  • North America
    100%

The portfolio is predominantly exposed to North America, with over 99% of assets allocated to this region. This limited geographic diversification can increase vulnerability to regional economic downturns or policy changes. Common benchmarks often include a wider geographic allocation to capture growth opportunities and spread risk. Consider increasing exposure to international markets, such as Europe or emerging markets, to diversify geographic risk and tap into growth opportunities outside North America.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current allocation could be optimized using the Efficient Frontier, which seeks the best possible risk-return ratio. This optimization focuses on adjusting the weights of existing assets to achieve a more efficient portfolio. While the portfolio has a strong growth focus, balancing risk and return could improve overall performance. Consider reallocating some assets to achieve a more optimal balance, potentially increasing exposure to less volatile investments, which could enhance the portfolio's efficiency and resilience.

Dividends Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 3.60%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.40%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.72%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.72%, reflecting its focus on growth stocks, which typically reinvest earnings rather than pay high dividends. While growth stocks can offer substantial capital appreciation, dividends provide a steady income stream and can cushion against market volatility. For investors seeking income, consider increasing exposure to dividend-focused investments, which tend to provide more stable returns and can help balance the growth-oriented nature of the current portfolio.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF 0.06%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.04%

The portfolio benefits from impressively low costs, with a Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.04%. Low costs are advantageous as they help maximize net returns over time, allowing more of the portfolio's growth to benefit the investor. This cost efficiency aligns well with best practices in portfolio management. While the current costs are already optimized, continue monitoring for any changes in fund fees and consider switching to even lower-cost options if available, to further enhance long-term returns.

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