This portfolio is highly concentrated, with 100% of its allocation in the technology sector, split between two major companies: Microsoft Corporation (60%) and Apple Inc (40%). Such a focused strategy places the portfolio in the single-focused diversification category, indicating a very high reliance on the performance of these two stocks. While this approach can offer substantial returns, as evidenced by the historical performance, it also carries a significant risk due to the lack of diversification across sectors, asset classes, and geographies.
Historically, this portfolio has exhibited a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 27.45%, with a maximum drawdown of -33.06%. The days contributing to 90% of the returns number just 45, highlighting the portfolio's volatility and the concentration risk inherent in such a focused investment strategy. Despite these risks, the high CAGR reflects the strong past performance of the tech sector, particularly these two companies.
Monte Carlo simulations, projecting future performance based on historical data, suggest a wide range of outcomes. The median projection forecasts a 3,072.3% return, with a significant majority of simulations (999 out of 1,000) predicting positive returns. However, it's crucial to remember that such simulations are based on past data, which may not accurately predict future market conditions. The high annualized return from all simulations (31.86%) indicates potential for growth, but also underscores the high-risk nature of this portfolio.
The portfolio's asset class composition is entirely in stocks, with no diversification into bonds, real estate, or other asset classes. This allocation aligns with a growth-focused strategy but increases volatility and risk, especially given the tech sector's susceptibility to market swings. Diversifying across different asset classes could reduce risk and smooth out returns over time.
With technology as the sole sector represented, this portfolio is highly vulnerable to sector-specific risks. While the tech sector has been a strong performer, it's also prone to rapid changes and volatility. Diversification across multiple sectors could mitigate some of this risk and provide a more stable return profile.
The geographic allocation is solely focused on North America, missing out on potential growth opportunities in emerging markets and other developed regions. This concentration further increases the portfolio's risk, as it is exposed to regional economic and political developments.
The portfolio's investments are in mega-cap companies, which typically offer stability and steady growth compared to smaller companies. However, even within mega-caps, diversification is key to managing risk, as sector or company-specific issues can significantly impact returns.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The analysis suggests that a more efficient portfolio could be achieved with the same level of risk but an expected return of 28.69%, higher than the current portfolio’s performance. This indicates room for improvement in diversification without sacrificing returns, emphasizing the potential benefits of broadening the portfolio's holdings.
The dividend yield of the portfolio is relatively low at 0.56%, reflecting the growth orientation of the tech sector, where companies often reinvest earnings rather than pay dividends. For investors seeking income, diversifying into higher-dividend-yielding sectors or assets may be beneficial.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey