Highly concentrated portfolio with a strong focus on energy and technology stocks

Report created on Apr 7, 2025

Risk profile Info

6/7
Aggressive
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is highly concentrated, with a significant 66.3% allocation to Occidental Petroleum, followed by Microsoft and Alphabet. Such concentration means the portfolio is heavily reliant on these three companies. A typical benchmark might have a more diversified allocation across multiple sectors and companies. This level of concentration can lead to higher volatility and risk, as the portfolio's performance is largely tied to the success of these three stocks. To mitigate risk, consider diversifying by adding more companies or sectors, which can help stabilize returns over time.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has delivered a robust CAGR of 13.73%, indicating strong growth over time. However, it also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -40.86%, highlighting the potential for substantial losses during market downturns. Such volatility is common in concentrated portfolios and can be concerning for risk-averse investors. Comparing this to a diversified benchmark, which typically has lower volatility, suggests a need for balance. To improve resilience, consider diversifying the portfolio to reduce the impact of individual stock fluctuations on overall performance.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to project future outcomes, suggests a wide range of potential returns. With a 50th percentile return of 438.7% and a 5th percentile loss of -44.3%, the portfolio's future is uncertain. While 881 out of 1,000 simulations show positive returns, the high volatility remains a concern. It's important to remember that simulations are based on past data and don't guarantee future results. To potentially enhance returns while managing risk, consider adjusting the asset allocation to achieve a more balanced risk-return profile.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio's allocation is entirely in stocks, with no exposure to other asset classes like bonds or real estate. While this aligns with an aggressive investment strategy focused on growth, it also increases vulnerability to stock market fluctuations. A more diversified portfolio typically includes a mix of asset classes to cushion against market volatility. To improve diversification and reduce risk, consider incorporating other asset classes that can provide stability, especially during stock market downturns.

Sectors Info

  • Energy
    66%
  • Technology
    17%
  • Telecommunications
    17%

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards the energy sector, with 66% allocated to Occidental Petroleum. This concentration could lead to increased volatility, especially given the energy sector's sensitivity to geopolitical events and commodity price fluctuations. Technology and communication services make up the remainder, providing some diversification. However, the lack of exposure to other sectors could limit growth opportunities and increase risk. Consider diversifying into additional sectors to balance the portfolio and mitigate sector-specific risks.

Regions Info

  • North America
    100%

With 100% of assets allocated to North America, the portfolio lacks geographic diversification. This concentration could expose the portfolio to regional economic downturns and limit growth opportunities available in other markets. A diversified benchmark often includes international exposure to reduce regional risks and capture global growth. To enhance diversification, consider investing in international markets, which can provide additional growth opportunities and reduce dependence on the North American economy.

Market capitalization Info

  • Large-cap
    66%
  • Mega-cap
    34%

The portfolio's allocation is split between big-cap (66%) and mega-cap (34%) stocks, focusing on large, established companies. While large-cap stocks are generally more stable, this allocation limits exposure to potentially high-growth small- and mid-cap stocks. Diversifying across different market capitalizations can provide a blend of stability and growth. Consider incorporating smaller companies to capture additional growth opportunities and enhance the portfolio's risk-return profile.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The Efficient Frontier suggests the portfolio could achieve a higher expected return of 26.72% at a similar risk level. This optimization involves reallocating current assets to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio. It's important to note that efficiency doesn't guarantee diversification or other goals. While the optimized portfolio offers potential for higher returns, consider the trade-offs, such as increased risk or changes in sector allocation, before making adjustments.

Dividends Info

  • Alphabet Inc Class A 0.50%
  • Microsoft Corporation 0.90%
  • Occidental Petroleum Corporation 1.60%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.30%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 1.3%, reflecting its focus on growth-oriented stocks like Microsoft and Alphabet. While dividends can provide steady income and reduce portfolio volatility, growth stocks often reinvest earnings to fuel expansion. For investors seeking income, a higher dividend yield might be preferable. To increase income potential, consider adding dividend-paying stocks or funds, balancing growth with income-generating assets to meet individual financial goals.

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