The portfolio showcases a concentrated approach, primarily invested in ETFs across two main asset classes: stocks (94%) and cash (6%). The largest allocation is in the Tidal Trust II ETF, making up a third of the portfolio, followed by broad market and sector-specific ETFs. This structure suggests a strategy that leans towards growth, with a significant emphasis on technology and financial services sectors. The moderately diversified status reflects a focused yet somewhat balanced exposure across various sectors and geographies, though it's heavily weighted towards North American assets.
Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated strong performance with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 16.94%. The maximum drawdown, a measure of the largest single drop from peak to trough, was -21.57%, indicating a relatively high risk tolerance. The days contributing most to returns highlight the portfolio's vulnerability to short-term volatility but also its potential for significant gains. This performance, coupled with the high portfolio risk score, suggests the investor is comfortable with volatility in exchange for higher returns.
Monte Carlo simulations, which forecast potential future performance based on historical data, suggest a wide range of outcomes but with a predominance of positive returns. The median simulation predicts an 814.3% return, indicating strong growth potential. However, it's crucial to remember that these projections are hypothetical and cannot guarantee future results. They serve as a tool for understanding potential volatility and the range of outcomes rather than precise predictions.
The portfolio's heavy allocation to stocks, particularly in the technology sector, aligns with its growth-oriented risk profile. The presence of cash provides some liquidity and a buffer against market volatility, but its low percentage might limit the portfolio's ability to mitigate short-term market downturns. Adjusting the cash allocation could offer better protection against volatility without significantly detracting from the portfolio’s growth potential.
Technology, financial services, and communication services dominate the sectoral allocation, making the portfolio particularly sensitive to the performance of these industries. While this concentration can lead to high returns during bullish market phases for these sectors, it also exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks. Diversifying more broadly across sectors could reduce volatility and improve long-term stability without drastically compromising growth.
The geographic allocation is heavily skewed towards North America, with minimal exposure to developed and emerging markets outside of this region. This focus enhances the portfolio's potential for growth, given the historically strong performance of North American markets. However, it also increases susceptibility to regional economic and political events. Expanding international exposure could offer additional diversification benefits and access to growth opportunities in other regions.
The portfolio's market capitalization exposure is balanced across big, mega, medium, and small caps, with a slight tilt towards larger companies. This balance supports a growth strategy while providing some level of risk mitigation through diversification across different company sizes. However, the minimal exposure to micro-caps, although reducing risk, may also limit potential high-growth opportunities in the smallest market segments.
The high correlation observed between the Invesco QQQ Trust and Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares indicates overlapping exposures, which may dilute the diversification benefits of holding both assets. Identifying and reducing such redundancies can enhance the portfolio's efficiency by ensuring each investment contributes uniquely to the portfolio's risk and return profile.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio shows potential for optimization by addressing the overlap in highly correlated assets. Focusing on diversification could improve the risk-return profile without necessarily increasing risk. The identified optimal portfolio, with an expected return of 18.41% at a risk level of 15.61%, suggests that reallocating investments could achieve better efficiency, balancing risk and return more effectively.
The portfolio's dividend yield is varied, with the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF offering the highest yield. Dividends contribute to the portfolio's total return, providing a steady income stream in addition to capital gains. However, the focus on growth-oriented ETFs means the overall yield is moderate. Investors prioritizing income might consider increasing allocations to higher-yielding assets, while growth-focused investors may find the current yield satisfactory.
The Total Expense Ratios (TERs) across the ETFs range from 0.03% to 1.14%, with an average portfolio cost of 0.45%. While the Tidal Trust II ETF significantly raises the average cost, the other ETFs are notably efficient, minimizing the drag on net returns. Reducing costs in high-fee funds, where possible, without compromising the strategic intent of the portfolio, could enhance long-term performance.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey