Balanced Portfolio with Low Diversity and High Correlation, Primarily Focused on US Stocks with Minimal Global Exposure

Report created on Jul 31, 2024

Risk profile Info

4/7
Balanced
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is composed of three ETFs, with a significant allocation to the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares at 50% and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF at 45.8%. A smaller portion, 4.2%, is invested in the Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares. This setup indicates a strong focus on US equities, with a minimal allocation to dividend-focused investments. The low diversification score suggests room for improvement in asset variety. Consolidating investments in a few ETFs can simplify management but may limit exposure to different asset classes.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has delivered an impressive CAGR of 13.86%, indicating strong growth over time. However, it has also experienced a significant max drawdown of -34.5%, highlighting the potential volatility associated with equity-heavy portfolios. The concentrated days that drive 90% of returns, just 32, suggest that the portfolio's performance is highly dependent on specific market conditions. Understanding these dynamics can help manage expectations and prepare for potential downturns. Maintaining a balance between growth and risk is crucial for long-term success.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio shows a promising potential for future growth. The median projection suggests a 430.73% increase in value, with the 5th percentile at 78.57% and the 67th percentile at 615.93%. With an annualized return of 14.05% across simulations, the portfolio appears well-positioned for continued success. However, the high correlation among assets may limit diversification benefits, potentially impacting long-term stability. Considering these projections can assist in aligning the portfolio with personal financial goals.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily weighted in stocks, accounting for 99.8% of the allocation, with the remaining 0.2% in cash. This strong equity focus can drive growth but also introduces higher volatility. A more balanced mix of asset classes, such as bonds or alternative investments, could provide stability and reduce risk. By diversifying across asset classes, the portfolio can better withstand market fluctuations and align with a broader range of investment objectives. Evaluating the current allocation can guide adjustments to achieve desired risk-return profiles.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    31%
  • Financials
    14%
  • Health Care
    11%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    10%
  • Telecommunications
    9%
  • Industrials
    8%
  • Consumer Staples
    6%
  • Energy
    4%
  • Utilities
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%

Sector allocation reveals a significant concentration in technology, making up 31% of the portfolio. Financial services, healthcare, and consumer cyclicals follow, each representing over 10%. While this sector distribution aligns with market trends, it exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks. Expanding exposure to underrepresented sectors, like basic materials or utilities, could enhance diversification and mitigate risks associated with market shifts. By broadening sector allocation, the portfolio can capture opportunities across various economic cycles and industries.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

Geographic allocation is overwhelmingly focused on North America, comprising 99.4% of the portfolio. This heavy concentration limits exposure to international markets, potentially missing out on global growth opportunities. Diversifying geographically by incorporating assets from regions like Europe or Asia could provide a hedge against domestic market volatility and tap into diverse economic trends. A more balanced geographic distribution can enhance the portfolio's resilience and growth potential in a rapidly changing global economy.

Redundant positions Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
    Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares
    High correlation

The portfolio exhibits high correlation between the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares. This similarity in movement reduces diversification benefits, as both funds react similarly to market changes. To improve diversification, consider reducing overlap by introducing assets with lower correlation. This adjustment can enhance the portfolio's ability to weather different market conditions and achieve more stable returns. Understanding asset correlation is key to constructing a well-rounded investment strategy.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

Before optimizing, focus on reducing overlap in the portfolio to enhance diversification benefits. The high correlation between assets suggests limited diversification, which can be improved by reallocating to less correlated investments. Moving along the efficient frontier, investors can adjust their portfolio to be riskier or more conservative, depending on their risk tolerance. A more diversified mix can increase stability and improve risk-adjusted returns. Understanding the efficient frontier can guide decisions to achieve a more balanced and optimized portfolio.

Dividends Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.20%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 1.20%
  • Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares 2.70%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.26%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 1.26%, with the Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares contributing the highest yield at 2.7%. While not the primary focus, dividends provide a steady income stream, enhancing total returns. To increase income potential, consider allocating more to dividend-focused investments. However, balance is crucial to avoid sacrificing growth opportunities. Evaluating dividend contribution within the portfolio can help optimize income generation while maintaining growth prospects.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 0.03%
  • Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares 0.06%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.03%

The portfolio enjoys low costs, with an overall TER of 0.03%. This cost efficiency is a significant advantage, allowing more capital to remain invested and compound over time. Keeping costs low is essential for maximizing long-term returns, especially in a market where small differences in expense ratios can significantly impact performance. Continuously monitoring and managing investment costs can ensure that the portfolio remains cost-effective and aligned with financial goals. Cost-conscious investing is a smart strategy for enhancing overall portfolio success.

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