Concentrated high growth portfolio focused on semiconductors and energy transition materials with elevated volatility
Report created on May 6, 2026Risk profile
5/7
Diversification profile
3/5
Positions
-
SE Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
SETM - US85208P4028 40.00% -
SM VanEck Semiconductor ETF
SMH - US92189F6768 30.00% -
AV Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV - US0250728773 10.00% -
IC iShares Global Clean Energy ETF
ICLN - US4642882249 10.00% -
VO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO - US9229083632 10.00%
This portfolio is built entirely from five equity ETFs, with three positions doing most of the heavy lifting. Around 70% sits in two thematic funds tied to semiconductors and energy‑transition materials, while the remaining 30% is spread across US small‑cap value, global clean energy, and a broad S&P 500 core. A concentrated structure like this can create powerful performance when themes are in favor, because big parts of the portfolio move together. The flip side is that the same concentration amplifies swings when those themes cool off. Overall, the structure leans clearly toward growth and innovation, with only a modest stabilizing role played by broad, diversified index exposure.
Growth
Over the period shown, $1,000 grew to about $2,446, which is much stronger than both the US and global market benchmarks. The portfolio’s compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.81% meaning average yearly growth over the whole stretch handily beat the US market at 19.88% and the global market at 18.23%. That outperformance came with a max drawdown of -30.36%, a noticeably deeper drop than either benchmark. It also needed only 21 trading days to generate 90% of the total return, showing performance was driven by a small cluster of very strong days. That kind of pattern is typical for concentrated, high‑beta themes.
Projection
The Monte Carlo projections model many possible 15‑year paths by reshuffling returns based on history, like rolling dice thousands of times. The median outcome turns $1,000 into roughly $2,788, with most simulations landing between about $1,853 and $4,255. The wide 5–95% range, from about $1,023 to $8,148, highlights just how uncertain long‑term results can be, especially for a volatile equity‑only mix. An average simulated return of 8.30% per year is far lower than recent realized performance, which underlines a key point: past gains at 30%+ per year are hard to sustain indefinitely, and simulations purposely bake in a broader set of good and bad scenarios.
Asset classes
- Stocks 100%
Every dollar here is in stocks, with no allocation to bonds, cash, or alternatives. That makes the asset mix simple and straightforward: full exposure to equity upside and downside. In calmer markets, a 100% equity stance can feel rewarding, because returns are not diluted by lower‑risk assets. During rough patches, the same structure can mean sharper portfolio drawdowns and a longer wait for recoveries. Compared to blended portfolios that mix in bonds or cash, this design will generally show higher volatility and be more sensitive to company earnings, economic news, and changes in investor sentiment, since there’s no built‑in buffer from defensive asset classes.
Sectors
- Technology 37%
- Basic Materials 30%
- Energy 13%
- Industrials 5%
- Utilities 4%
- Financials 4%
- Consumer Discretionary 3%
- Health Care 1%
- Telecommunications 1%
- Consumer Staples 1%
Sector exposure is heavily tilted toward Technology at 37% and Basic Materials at 30%, with Energy adding another 13%. That’s a strong thematic bet on semiconductors and the physical inputs needed for the energy transition rather than a broad “own everything evenly” approach. Smaller slices in Industrials, Utilities, Financials, and other areas provide only limited offset if the main themes struggle. Relative to broad market indices, this mix is more cyclical and more sensitive to both technology cycles and commodity dynamics. Portfolios with this kind of sector tilt often experience bigger booms when those stories are hot and sharper setbacks when sentiment reverses or policy shifts.
Regions
- North America 71%
- Australasia 10%
- Asia Emerging 8%
- Europe Developed 5%
- Asia Developed 4%
- Latin America 1%
- Europe Emerging 1%
Geographically, the portfolio is anchored in North America at 71%, with meaningful exposure to Australasia (10%) and emerging Asia (8%), plus smaller allocations to developed Europe and other regions. Compared with a typical global equity index, this is a clear North America overweight but still brings in a noticeable international component, especially from resource‑rich and manufacturing‑heavy countries tied to energy and technology supply chains. This structure links performance not only to the US market but also to regions involved in mining, processing, and chip fabrication. That combination can be powerful for the energy transition theme, but it also increases sensitivity to global trade flows and regulatory changes.
Market capitalization
- Large-cap 35%
- Mega-cap 21%
- Mid-cap 20%
- Small-cap 17%
- Micro-cap 7%
The market‑cap mix is fairly spread out: 21% mega‑cap, 35% large‑cap, 20% mid‑cap, 17% small‑cap, and 7% micro‑cap. Compared with broad indices that lean more heavily toward mega and large names, this portfolio gives more space to smaller companies. Smaller and mid‑sized firms can offer higher growth potential because they’re earlier in their business lifecycle, but their share prices tend to move more sharply in both directions. The presence of micro‑caps adds another layer of potential volatility. Overall, the size distribution supports a growth‑oriented profile with diverse company scales, rather than a purely blue‑chip focus, which helps explain some of the strong historical swings.
True holdings
-
NV NVIDIA Corporation 5.80%
Part of fund(s):- VanEck Semiconductor ETF
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
-
TS Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing 3.14%
Part of fund(s):- VanEck Semiconductor ETF
-
AV Broadcom Inc 2.65%
Part of fund(s):- VanEck Semiconductor ETF
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
-
KA National Atomic Co Kazatomprom JSC ADR 2.26%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
-
IN Intel Corporation 2.21%
Part of fund(s):- VanEck Semiconductor ETF
-
PL Pilbara Minerals Ltd 2.20%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
-
AL Albemarle Corp 2.05%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
-
FC Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc 2.01%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
-
CC Cameco Corp 1.95%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
-
LY Lynas Rare EARTHS Ltd 1.94%
Part of fund(s):- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
- Top 10 total 26.21%
Looking through ETF holdings, several companies appear as sizable underlying exposures: NVIDIA, TSMC, Broadcom, and other chip or materials names each reach around 2–6% of the total portfolio. These positions mostly come via multiple funds, so the overlap is “hidden” inside different ETFs. Because only top‑10 ETF holdings are included, actual overlap is likely a bit higher than shown. This kind of concentration means that news about a handful of major semiconductor and materials companies can influence the whole portfolio more than the raw five‑ETF list suggests. It reinforces that, under the hood, this is a strongly focused bet on a relatively small ecosystem of firms.
Factors
Factor exposures are estimated using statistical models based on historical data and measure systematic (market-relative) tilts, not absolute portfolio characteristics. Results may vary depending on the analysis period, data availability, and currency of the underlying assets.
Factor exposure shows a high tilt to Momentum at 69% and Quality at 61%, with low Value (30%) and low Low Volatility (24%). Momentum reflects stocks that have performed well recently and often keep trending while conditions stay favorable; this can boost returns when themes keep running but can backfire in sharp reversals. Quality suggests an emphasis on stronger balance sheets and profitability, which can be a helpful anchor in turbulent markets. The low reading on Value indicates less exposure to cheaper, out‑of‑favor companies, and low Low Volatility means a bias toward more volatile names. Together, this profile fits a growthy, trend‑driven portfolio with relatively little built‑in defensiveness.
Risk contribution
-
Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF
Weight: 40.00% 50.9% -
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Weight: 30.00% 32.5% -
iShares Global Clean Energy ETF
Weight: 10.00% 6.3% -
Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Weight: 10.00% 5.7% -
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
Weight: 10.00% 4.6%
Risk contribution highlights how much each holding drives overall ups and downs, not just how big it is. The Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF, at 40% weight, contributes about 51% of total risk, meaning it punches above its size. The semiconductor ETF at 30% weight adds roughly 32% of risk, while the remaining three funds together contribute under 17%. The top three positions account for almost 90% of the portfolio’s volatility. This shows that, in practice, day‑to‑day movements are dominated by a couple of thematic exposures, with the S&P 500 and small‑cap value playing only a modest stabilizing role despite making up 20% of the capital.
Risk vs. return
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The efficient frontier analysis compares this portfolio’s current mix with other combinations of the same five ETFs. The current portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.0, measuring return per unit of volatility after adjusting for a 4% risk‑free rate. The model’s “optimal” mix reaches a Sharpe of 1.45, while the minimum‑variance mix sits at 1.19. Being about 8.7 percentage points below the frontier at the same risk level suggests the existing weights are not making the most of the holdings’ risk/return trade‑offs. In other words, simply re‑weighting these five ETFs, without adding new ones, could historically have produced either smoother or more efficient outcomes.
Dividends
- Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.30%
- iShares Global Clean Energy ETF 1.30%
- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF 1.30%
- VanEck Semiconductor ETF 0.20%
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.10%
- Weighted yield (per year) 0.95%
The portfolio’s overall dividend yield is modest at 0.95%, with most holdings clustering around 1.1–1.3% and the semiconductor ETF near 0.2%. This lines up with the portfolio’s growth orientation: companies reinvesting cash into expansion rather than paying high dividends. Dividends can be helpful for providing a more stable return component, especially when price gains are flat, but they’re a relatively small part of this portfolio’s total expected return. Here, the main engine is capital appreciation tied to thematic growth stories, with dividends acting more like a minor bonus than a central feature or income source.
Ongoing product costs
- Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
- iShares Global Clean Energy ETF 0.41%
- Sprott Energy Transition Materials ETF 0.65%
- VanEck Semiconductor ETF 0.35%
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
- Weighted costs total (per year) 0.43%
The average total expense ratio (TER) comes out to 0.43%, driven higher by the 0.65% cost of the energy‑transition ETF and 0.41% for clean energy, partly offset by the very low‑cost S&P 500 ETF at 0.03%. TER is the annual fee charged by funds, quietly deducted from returns each year. Over short periods, these amounts may feel small, but over a decade or more they compound. For a specialized, thematic portfolio, a blended cost in this range is fairly typical rather than excessive. It reflects a trade‑off between accessing narrow themes and paying more than for broad, plain‑vanilla index exposure, which is priced extremely cheaply.
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