Single fund high momentum US stock portfolio with strong recent gains and concentrated mid cap exposure
Report created on May 8, 2026Risk profile
5/7
Diversification profile
2/5
Positions
-
FM MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
FMTM 100.00%
This portfolio is extremely simple: it holds a single ETF that focuses on US momentum stocks, with 100% of assets in that one fund. That makes the structure very easy to understand and track, with no moving parts from rebalancing between funds. The flip side is very low diversification across strategies, since everything depends on how this one momentum approach performs. With only about 1.1 years of data, it’s hard to judge how this setup behaves across full market cycles. The simplicity is a real strength operationally, but it also means portfolio risk, style tilts, and sector patterns are all driven by one underlying methodology rather than a mix of different approaches.
Growth
Over the roughly 1.1‑year period, a hypothetical $1,000 grew to about $1,625, implying a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) near 53.9%. CAGR is the “average speed” of growth per year, like averaging your speed over a road trip. That’s far ahead of both the US and global market proxies over this short window. Max drawdown, the worst peak‑to‑trough drop, was about -12.1%, similar to or slightly milder than the benchmarks. However, this window is short and unusually strong momentum stretches can reverse quickly, so these results shouldn’t be taken as a stable long‑term pattern. The fact that 90% of returns came in just 14 days also shows returns were quite lumpy.
Projection
The forward projection uses a Monte Carlo simulation, which takes the short return history and “re-rolls the dice” 1,000 times to create many possible 15‑year paths. It then summarizes outcomes like the median result and likely ranges. Here, the median ending value of around $2,782 from $1,000 implies an annualized return just over 8%, with a wide possible range from roughly $984 to $7,512 between the 5th and 95th percentiles. Because only about 1.1 years of data feed this model, the simulation has a shaky foundation; it mainly reflects how this high‑momentum style behaved in a very specific period, not necessarily how it will behave across full market cycles or changing interest‑rate environments.
Asset classes
- Stocks 99%
- Other 1%
Almost all of the portfolio sits in stocks (about 99%), with a tiny residual “other” slice. That creates a very clear asset‑class profile: this is an equity‑only, growth‑oriented setup without built‑in ballast from bonds or cash‑like instruments. Compared with broad multi‑asset benchmarks, that means higher sensitivity to stock market ups and downs, and more reliance on equity risk for returns. In strong equity markets, such a configuration can participate fully in rallies. During broad equity selloffs, there is no meaningful exposure to traditionally more defensive asset classes that might dampen declines. Over longer horizons, many investors combine asset classes; here, the story is entirely about listed equities.
Sectors
- Industrials 40%
- Technology 24%
- Basic Materials 10%
- Consumer Discretionary 10%
- Energy 7%
- Consumer Staples 7%
- Telecommunications 3%
Sector exposure is notably tilted. Industrials make up about 40% and technology about 24%, with the rest spread across basic materials, consumer areas, energy, and telecoms. This is very different from many broad US market indices, which tend to be more tech‑ and healthcare‑heavy and less concentrated in industrial businesses. Sector concentration matters because economic shocks often hit some industries harder than others. For example, industrials can be sensitive to business investment and infrastructure cycles, while momentum tech names may swing with interest‑rate expectations. A portfolio anchored in a single strategy ETF will naturally inherit its sector bets, and these can shift as the fund rebalances toward recent winners.
Regions
- North America 100%
Geographically, the portfolio is 100% in North America, and effectively in US‑listed stocks given the ETF focus. That means no direct allocation to Europe, Asia, or emerging markets. Many global market benchmarks spread exposure across multiple regions, so this portfolio is more geographically concentrated than those. Regional concentration links performance closely to one economy, one policy regime, and largely one currency. That can be positive when US markets outperform others, as they have at times in the past decade, but it also means missing any independent gains that might come from other regions experiencing different growth or interest‑rate cycles. Again, this observation is based on a short history, so regional leadership could shift.
Market capitalization
- Mid-cap 60%
- Small-cap 23%
- Large-cap 17%
By market capitalization, the portfolio leans strongly toward mid‑caps (around 60%), with smaller slices in small‑caps (about 23%) and large‑caps (roughly 17%). Market cap describes company size; mid‑caps sit between huge blue‑chips and small, early‑stage firms. Mid‑ and small‑cap stocks often show more price volatility and can move more sharply in both directions than mega‑caps, but they may also be more sensitive to changes in economic momentum. Compared to common large‑cap‑dominated indices, this tilt means the portfolio’s behavior may diverge noticeably at times. Over this short observation window, mid‑cap exposure has helped during the strong momentum phase, but it also implies potentially bumpier rides in risk‑off periods.
True holdings
-
PW Quanta Services Inc 3.69%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
CI Ciena Corp 3.58%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
ES Element Solutions Inc 3.47%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
VR Vertiv Holdings Co 3.43%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
FI Comfort Systems USA Inc 3.40%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
CS Cisco Systems Inc 3.38%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
VL Valero Energy Corporation 3.38%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
GL Corning Incorporated 3.37%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
MT MasTec Inc 3.36%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
-
DE Deere & Company 3.35%
Part of fund(s):- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
- Top 10 total 34.40%
Looking through the ETF’s top 10 holdings, the largest named positions each account for about 3.3–3.7% of the portfolio, covering only about a third of total assets because we only see the top holdings data. Companies like Quanta Services, Ciena, and Vertiv indicate a bias toward infrastructure, networking, and industrial‑tech themes. No single stock stands out as dominating risk within this top‑10 slice, so visible concentration at the individual company level looks moderate. However, two limitations matter: first, nearly two‑thirds of holdings are outside this list; second, a momentum strategy can rotate its top positions quickly, so the look‑through snapshot might change meaningfully over time.
Factors
Factor exposures are estimated using statistical models based on historical data and measure systematic (market-relative) tilts, not absolute portfolio characteristics. Results may vary depending on the analysis period, data availability, and currency of the underlying assets.
Factor exposure shows a very pronounced tilt toward momentum at around 75%, well above a neutral 50% level. Factor exposure is like measuring how much the portfolio leans toward certain characteristics that research links to returns, such as cheapness (value) or recent winners (momentum). Here, value and size factors are both in the “low” range, suggesting the strategy doesn’t particularly favor cheaper or smaller stocks relative to the market. Yield is also low, aligning with the modest dividend profile. A strong momentum tilt often benefits during strong uptrends, as recently winning stocks keep outperforming, but it can also lead to sharp reversals when market leadership changes. With only 1.1 years of data, the persistence of this behavior is still uncertain.
Risk contribution
-
MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF
Weight: 100.00% 100.0%
Because the portfolio holds a single ETF at 100%, that ETF contributes 100% of the overall portfolio risk. Risk contribution measures how much each holding adds to total volatility, similar to which instrument in a band is loudest. In diversified portfolios, risk share can differ a lot from weight, but here risk and weight are identical. In practice, the real underlying risk drivers are the ETF’s internal constituents and its momentum methodology, not separate line items you can adjust independently. This structure keeps things simple but means there is no built‑in way to dial risk up or down within the portfolio except by changing the overall exposure to this one fund.
Dividends
- MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF 0.20%
- Weighted yield (per year) 0.20%
The ETF’s dividend yield is very low at around 0.20%, so almost all of the portfolio’s return potential comes from price movements rather than regular income. Dividend yield is the annual cash payout as a percentage of the current price, similar to interest on a savings account but not guaranteed. Low yield aligns with the strong momentum tilt and growth‑oriented stock selection, since many fast‑growing companies reinvest profits instead of paying them out. For investors focused on total return, this is not necessarily a drawback, but it does mean that during flat or choppy markets, there is less cash flow to offset volatility. Over just 1.1 years, any dividend pattern observed is still very early‑stage.
What next?
Ready to invest in this portfolio?
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
Create your own report?
Join our community!
The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Insightfolio does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guidance regarding the purchase, holding, or sale of financial assets. The tools and content are intended for educational purposes only and are not tailored to individual circumstances, financial needs, or objectives.
Insightfolio assumes no liability for the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Users are solely responsible for verifying the information and making independent decisions based on their own research and careful consideration. Use of the platform should not replace consultation with qualified financial professionals.
Investments involve risks. Users should be aware that the value of investments may fluctuate and that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and independent evaluation of relevant information.
Insightfolio does not endorse or guarantee the suitability of any particular financial product, security, or strategy. Any projections, forecasts, or hypothetical scenarios presented on the platform are for illustrative purposes only and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
By accessing the services, information, or content offered by Insightfolio, users acknowledge and agree to these terms of the disclaimer. If you do not agree to these terms, please do not use our platform.
Instrument logos provided by Elbstream.
Help us improve Insightfolio
Your feedback makes a difference! Share your thoughts in our quick survey. Take the survey