Your portfolio is heavily weighted towards US equities, comprising 80% of your investment through the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, with the remaining 20% allocated to international stocks via the Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares. This structure suggests a preference for the stability and growth potential of US markets, complemented by diversified international exposure to capture global opportunities. The portfolio's broad diversification across sectors and geographies, alongside a simple two-ETF structure, streamlines management and potentially mitigates risk.
Historically, your portfolio has demonstrated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.28%, with a maximum drawdown of -33.91%. These figures highlight the portfolio's ability to generate strong returns while also emphasizing the inherent volatility and risks associated with equity investments. The days contributing most to returns underscore the unpredictable nature of stock markets, where a few significant days can disproportionately affect overall performance.
Monte Carlo simulations, using historical data to forecast future outcomes, suggest a wide range of potential performances for your portfolio. With the majority of simulations (974 out of 1,000) predicting positive returns, the median projection indicates a 319% increase, demonstrating optimism for future growth. However, the variability between the 5th and 67th percentiles underscores the uncertainty and risk involved in equity investing.
Your portfolio's allocation is nearly exclusive to stocks (99%), with a minimal cash reserve (1%). This high equity exposure aligns with a strategy focused on growth but also increases sensitivity to market volatility. Diversification across different asset classes could provide additional risk mitigation, potentially smoothing out returns during turbulent periods.
The sector allocation within your portfolio reflects a strong emphasis on technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, which are sectors known for their growth potential but also their higher volatility. This concentration may increase the portfolio's risk profile, especially during market downturns that disproportionately affect these sectors.
With 81% of assets in North America and a significant portion in developed Europe and emerging Asian markets, your portfolio benefits from geographical diversification, though it leans heavily towards the US. This geographic spread can help mitigate region-specific risks and capitalize on growth in different parts of the world.
The allocation towards mega (46%) and big (34%) cap stocks suggests a focus on established, large companies likely to offer stability and potential for steady growth. However, the limited exposure to small (1%) and micro (0%) cap stocks could mean missing out on high-growth opportunities these segments occasionally offer.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Considering the Efficient Frontier, your portfolio's current allocation between US and international equities demonstrates a well-considered approach to balancing risk and return. However, there's always room to refine this balance, potentially by adjusting the weightings or diversifying further within asset classes and sectors to achieve an optimal risk-return profile.
Your portfolio's dividend yield, averaging 1.52%, contributes to total returns and provides a modest income stream. While not the primary focus, these dividends offer a cushion during market dips and compound over time, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
The exceptionally low costs associated with your ETFs (average Total Expense Ratio of 0.03%) are a significant advantage, allowing more of your investment to grow over time. Lower costs directly translate to higher net returns, a critical factor in long-term investment success.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
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