A high-growth portfolio with limited diversification heavily weighted towards US technology stocks

Report created on Dec 7, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio consists of three key ETFs: Vanguard S&P 500 Growth Index Fund ETF Shares (60%), Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (20%), and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF (20%). This structure shows a strong focus on growth-oriented US equities, particularly within the technology sector. While this composition can lead to substantial growth, it lacks diversification, which may increase vulnerability to sector-specific downturns. To mitigate risk, consider incorporating a broader range of asset classes, such as bonds or international equities, to balance potential volatility and achieve a more stable portfolio performance.

Growth Info

Historically, this portfolio has shown impressive performance with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.61%. However, it also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -33.48%, indicating susceptibility to market downturns. Such high volatility can lead to substantial losses during market corrections. While past performance can provide insights, it doesn't guarantee future results. Investors should be aware of the potential risks and consider their risk tolerance. Diversifying into less volatile assets can help reduce the impact of market downturns and stabilize returns over time.

Projection Info

Using Monte Carlo simulations, which involve running numerous scenarios based on historical data, the portfolio's future performance is projected. The simulations suggest a wide range of potential outcomes, with a median return of 726.94% and a 5th percentile return of 122.17%. While the projected annualized return is 18.57%, it's important to note that these projections are based on past data and may not account for future market changes. Investors should consider these projections as one of many tools for decision-making and not rely solely on them for planning.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is heavily allocated to stocks, with 99.95% in equities and a negligible amount in cash. This concentration in a single asset class increases the portfolio's exposure to market volatility. A more balanced allocation across different asset classes could enhance diversification and reduce risk. Introducing fixed income assets, such as bonds, or alternative investments, like real estate or commodities, can provide a buffer against equity market fluctuations and help achieve a more resilient portfolio.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    51%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    13%
  • Telecommunications
    13%
  • Health Care
    7%
  • Financials
    5%
  • Industrials
    4%
  • Consumer Staples
    3%
  • Basic Materials
    1%
  • Energy
    1%
  • Utilities
    1%
  • Real Estate
    1%

The portfolio is predominantly invested in the technology sector, comprising 50.51% of the total allocation. This heavy concentration in a single sector can lead to increased risk if the technology industry faces challenges. While technology has been a strong performer, sector diversification is crucial for managing risk. Allocating more to underrepresented sectors, such as healthcare or financial services, can help balance the portfolio and reduce dependency on the performance of a single sector.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%

Geographically, the portfolio is overwhelmingly focused on North America, with 99.32% of assets allocated there. This lack of geographic diversification may expose the portfolio to regional economic downturns or policy changes. Expanding exposure to international markets, including emerging economies, can provide growth opportunities and reduce reliance on a single region. A more geographically diverse portfolio can help spread risk and potentially enhance returns by tapping into global market dynamics.

Redundant positions Info

  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
    Vanguard S&P 500 Growth Index Fund ETF Shares
    High correlation

The assets in the portfolio are highly correlated, with the three ETFs moving in tandem historically. This high correlation means that the portfolio doesn't benefit from diversification, as all assets are likely to react similarly to market events. Reducing asset correlation by incorporating investments that behave differently under various market conditions can help manage risk. Consider adding uncorrelated assets, such as bonds or commodities, to improve diversification and achieve a more stable risk-return profile.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's current structure may not be on the Efficient Frontier, which represents the best possible risk-return trade-off. By optimizing the portfolio, investors can potentially achieve a better balance between risk and return. This involves adjusting the allocation among existing assets to improve efficiency without necessarily adding new investments. Focus on reducing overlap between highly correlated assets and increasing exposure to uncorrelated ones. This approach can enhance diversification and optimize the portfolio's performance within the current asset set.

Dividends Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.60%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.30%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 Growth Index Fund ETF Shares 0.60%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.54%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.54%, reflecting its growth-oriented strategy. While dividends can provide a steady income stream, growth-focused portfolios often prioritize capital appreciation over income generation. Investors seeking higher income may consider adding dividend-paying stocks or income-focused ETFs to increase yield. However, it's important to balance this with the overall growth objectives and risk tolerance of the portfolio.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.15%
  • Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF 0.04%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 Growth Index Fund ETF Shares 0.10%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.10%

The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is 0.1%, which is relatively low and beneficial for long-term returns. Lower costs mean more of the investment returns stay in the portfolio, enhancing compounding over time. While the current costs are favorable, investors should regularly review expense ratios to ensure they remain competitive. Exploring cost-efficient alternatives or negotiating fees with financial advisors can further optimize the portfolio's cost structure and improve net returns.

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