This portfolio has only about 1.6 years of historical data, based on the youngest asset in the portfolio. Some metrics, projections, and AI insights may be less reliable and should be interpreted with caution.

Growth-focused portfolio with high momentum and tech exposure but limited global diversification

Report created on Aug 8, 2025

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards ETFs that focus on momentum and technology sectors, with a significant portion allocated to the Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF and ProShares Ultra QQQ. This composition suggests a strategy that aims to capitalize on the growth of large-cap and tech-oriented companies. However, the concentration in specific sectors and the use of leveraged ETFs like ProShares Ultra QQQ and Ultra S&P500 introduce higher volatility and risk.

Growth Info

With a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 30.79% and a maximum drawdown of -23.49%, the portfolio has demonstrated strong historical performance. However, it's crucial to note that a significant portion of the returns came from a few specific days, indicating potential volatility. The high returns are partly due to the leverage in ProShares ETFs, which can amplify gains but also increase the risk of significant losses.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo simulation, with 1,000 runs, projects a wide range of outcomes, emphasizing the portfolio's high-risk, high-reward nature. While all simulations returned positive results, the wide gap between the 5th and 67th percentiles (853.2% to 13,993.2%) suggests a substantial uncertainty in future performance. This tool helps visualize potential future scenarios but doesn't guarantee them, as it relies on historical data.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    92%
  • Other
    5%
  • Cash
    3%

The portfolio's asset allocation is heavily skewed towards stocks (92%), with a small allocation to 'Other' (5%) and cash (3%). This allocation supports the portfolio's growth orientation but lacks bond exposure, which could provide stability during market downturns. Diversifying across more asset classes could reduce volatility without significantly compromising potential returns.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    25%
  • Financials
    16%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    13%
  • Telecommunications
    10%
  • Industrials
    10%
  • Consumer Staples
    6%
  • Health Care
    5%
  • Energy
    4%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Real Estate
    1%

The sectoral allocation reveals a strong emphasis on technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, which are sectors typically associated with higher growth but also higher volatility. While this sectoral focus aligns with the portfolio's growth objectives, it may benefit from increased diversification into sectors like healthcare or utilities, which tend to be more resilient during economic downturns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    69%

Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly invested in North America (69%), with no exposure to developed Europe, Latin America, emerging Asia, Africa/Middle East, or developed Asia. This geographic concentration in North American markets, particularly the U.S., increases exposure to regional economic and political risks. Expanding into other developed or emerging markets could enhance diversification and potentially tap into growth opportunities outside the U.S.

Market capitalization Info

  • Mega-cap
    37%
  • Large-cap
    24%
  • Mid-cap
    12%
  • Small-cap
    8%
  • Micro-cap
    8%

The market capitalization breakdown shows a bias towards mega and big-cap stocks, which typically offer stability and liquidity. However, the presence of small and micro-cap stocks, especially through the Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF, introduces a layer of growth potential and risk. Balancing market cap exposure can help manage risk while pursuing growth.

Redundant positions Info

  • Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares
    ProShares Ultra QQQ
    ProShares Ultra S&P500
    Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF
    High correlation

The high correlation among the portfolio's major ETF holdings, especially those tracking the S&P 500 and QQQ, limits diversification benefits and increases the portfolio's susceptibility to market-wide downturns. Reducing overlap by reallocating assets among less correlated investments could enhance the portfolio's risk-adjusted returns.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The Efficient Frontier analysis suggests that the portfolio's risk-return profile could be optimized by reducing holdings in highly correlated assets. This would not only lower risk but also potentially enhance returns by broadening exposure to different assets and sectors. Before making adjustments, consider the implications of selling assets, such as tax consequences and transaction costs.

Dividends Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.70%
  • ProShares Ultra QQQ 0.20%
  • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.60%
  • ProShares Ultra S&P500 0.80%
  • Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares 1.70%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.99%

The portfolio's dividend yield stands at 0.99%, which is relatively low, reflecting the growth-focused nature of the holdings. While reinvesting dividends can contribute to compounding returns over time, investors seeking regular income might consider increasing exposure to higher-yielding assets.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
  • iShares Bitcoin Trust 0.12%
  • ProShares Ultra QQQ 0.95%
  • Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF 0.13%
  • ProShares Ultra S&P500 0.91%
  • Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares 0.07%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.29%

The portfolio's average Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.29% is modest, helping to preserve returns over the long term. However, the higher costs associated with the leveraged ETFs (ProShares Ultra QQQ and Ultra S&P500) warrant scrutiny, as they can erode returns, especially in volatile markets. Monitoring and potentially minimizing these costs can improve net performance.

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