The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Cautious Investors
This portfolio is suitable for cautious investors seeking a balanced approach to income and growth. With a moderate risk tolerance, these investors prioritize steady income through dividends while remaining open to capital appreciation opportunities. Their investment horizon is typically long-term, allowing them to weather market fluctuations. A preference for diversified holdings across sectors and regions aligns with their goal of maintaining stability while pursuing potential growth. Such investors value a well-rounded strategy that balances risk and reward.
The portfolio shows a cautious risk profile, with a moderately diversified mix of ETFs and individual stocks. It has a significant allocation to dividend-focused ETFs, indicating a preference for income generation. The presence of both technology giants like Apple and Amazon and stable energy stocks such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron suggests a blend of growth and stability. This composition aims to balance potential capital appreciation with income stability. To enhance diversification, consider balancing sector exposure and including more varied asset classes.
Historically, the portfolio has performed impressively, with a CAGR of 26.55%. This indicates strong growth potential, likely driven by the tech and energy sectors. However, the max drawdown of -6.91% suggests some vulnerability during market downturns. The concentrated returns over just 11 days highlight the importance of timing in capturing gains. While past performance is promising, it's essential to maintain a diversified strategy to mitigate risks and sustain growth over the long term.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation, the portfolio's future performance shows a wide range of outcomes, reflecting inherent market uncertainties. With 1,000 simulations, the median expected return is 2,500.61%, indicating robust growth potential. The 5th percentile return of 393.21% suggests that even in less favorable scenarios, the portfolio could still yield positive returns. This simulation underscores the importance of maintaining a diversified and balanced approach to navigate potential market fluctuations and achieve long-term investment goals.
The portfolio is heavily weighted towards stocks, comprising over 92% of the total allocation. This indicates a strong focus on equity growth, complemented by minimal exposure to bonds and cash. While this allocation can drive higher returns, it also introduces volatility. To reduce risk, consider increasing allocations to bonds or other fixed-income assets, which can provide stability and income. A more balanced asset class distribution can help cushion against market downturns and enhance the portfolio's overall resilience.
Sector-wise, the portfolio is concentrated in technology, energy, and industrials, accounting for a significant portion of the allocation. This focus on high-growth sectors can drive returns but also increases exposure to sector-specific risks. Diversifying into underrepresented sectors like healthcare or consumer defensives could enhance stability and reduce volatility. A more even sector distribution can help mitigate risks associated with economic cycles and provide a more balanced growth trajectory.
Geographically, the portfolio is predominantly focused on North America, with over 69% allocation. This concentration exposes it to regional economic and political risks. While North America offers robust growth opportunities, diversifying into other regions like Asia or Europe could provide additional growth avenues and reduce regional risk exposure. Expanding geographic diversification can enhance the portfolio's resilience against localized market downturns and tap into global growth potential.
The portfolio contains highly correlated assets, particularly among ETFs like JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF and Roundhill NDX 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF. This correlation limits diversification benefits, as these assets tend to move in tandem. Reducing exposure to overlapping assets can enhance diversification and reduce risk. By selecting less correlated investments, the portfolio can achieve a more balanced risk-return profile and improve overall performance stability.
The portfolio's dividend yield is a notable strength, with a total yield of 12.1%. This income generation is primarily driven by high-yield ETFs and stable dividend-paying stocks like Chevron and Lockheed Martin. While high dividends provide income, it's crucial to ensure the sustainability of these payouts. Regularly reviewing the financial health of dividend-paying companies can help maintain a reliable income stream. Balancing high yield with growth potential can optimize the portfolio's income and capital appreciation.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) of 0.26% is relatively low, indicating cost-effective management. However, some ETFs like Simplify Volatility Premium ETF have higher individual costs, which could impact net returns. Keeping investment costs low is crucial for maximizing overall returns. Consider evaluating the cost-effectiveness of each holding and potentially replacing high-cost funds with more affordable alternatives. A focus on minimizing expenses can enhance the portfolio's long-term growth potential.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Before optimizing the portfolio, it's essential to address overlapping assets that limit diversification benefits. By removing highly correlated holdings, the portfolio can achieve a more efficient risk-return balance. Moving along the efficient frontier allows for adjustments to risk levels, whether aiming for a riskier or more conservative portfolio. For a more aggressive approach, increasing equity exposure is an option, while a conservative strategy might involve boosting bond allocations. Focusing on diversification and correlation can enhance overall portfolio performance.
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