High Growth Potential Portfolio with Low Diversity and Moderate Risk Profile

Report created on Dec 6, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards equities, with SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust making up 66.29% of the total. This concentration in a single ETF suggests a strong belief in the overall U.S. market performance. The inclusion of Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF and individual stocks like NVIDIA Corporation and Palantir Technologies Inc. adds some diversification, but the overall diversity remains low. This composition could lead to significant gains if the U.S. market performs well but also exposes the portfolio to higher volatility.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown impressive performance with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.78%. However, the maximum drawdown of -31.6% indicates that the portfolio can experience significant losses during market downturns. The fact that 90% of returns are concentrated in just 32 days highlights the portfolio's reliance on a few key market movements. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, these figures suggest a high-risk, high-reward strategy that has paid off so far.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 runs, the portfolio shows a wide range of potential future outcomes. Assuming a hypothetical initial investment, the 5th percentile projects a 682.01% end value, while the 50th and 67th percentiles show 13,048.33% and 29,436.92%, respectively. With 995 simulations yielding positive returns and an annualized return of 59.11%, the outlook appears promising but remains uncertain due to market volatility. This analysis underscores the portfolio's potential for significant growth but also highlights the inherent risks.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is predominantly composed of stocks, accounting for nearly 100% of the assets. This heavy allocation to equities aligns with a growth-oriented strategy but also increases exposure to market volatility. While stocks offer higher potential returns, they also come with greater risks, particularly in downturns. A more balanced approach could involve diversifying into other asset classes like bonds or real estate to mitigate risk. However, given the current composition, the focus remains on capital appreciation through equities.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    37%
  • Financials
    14%
  • Industrials
    11%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    11%
  • Health Care
    8%
  • Telecommunications
    6%
  • Consumer Staples
    5%
  • Energy
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%

The portfolio spans several sectors, with a significant concentration in technology at 36.59%. Financial services, industrials, and consumer cyclicals also have notable allocations. While this sector allocation provides some diversification, the heavy reliance on technology could lead to increased volatility, especially if the sector faces downturns. A more balanced sector allocation could help stabilize returns and reduce risk. However, the current focus on growth sectors aligns with a strategy aiming for high returns.

Regions Info

  • North America
    79%

The geographic allocation is heavily skewed towards North America, with 79.21% of the portfolio's assets based in this region. This concentration reflects a strong belief in the U.S. market but also exposes the portfolio to regional risks. While there is minimal exposure to Europe and Asia, expanding geographic diversification could help mitigate potential downturns in any single market. A more balanced global allocation could enhance stability and reduce the impact of regional economic fluctuations.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio can be optimized by considering the efficient frontier, which represents the best risk-return trade-offs. If aiming for a riskier portfolio, increasing exposure to high-growth assets could be considered. Conversely, to adopt a more conservative approach, incorporating bonds or other low-risk assets might be beneficial. Before optimizing, it's crucial to assess the current risk tolerance and financial goals. Addressing diversification and geographic exposure could also enhance stability, providing a more balanced portfolio.

Dividends Info

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust 1.20%
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF 0.30%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.86%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.86%, reflecting its focus on growth rather than income. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust contributes the majority of the yield at 1.2%, while the Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF offers a modest 0.3%. For investors seeking income, this portfolio may not meet their needs. However, for those prioritizing capital appreciation, the current yield may be acceptable. To enhance income, incorporating higher-yielding assets could be considered.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust 0.10%
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF 0.34%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.14%

The portfolio's costs are relatively low, with a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.14%. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust has a minimal cost of 0.1%, while the Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF is slightly higher at 0.34%. These low costs contribute positively to overall returns, allowing more of the portfolio's gains to be retained. Keeping investment costs low is a smart strategy, as it can significantly impact long-term performance. Continually monitoring and minimizing fees will help maximize returns.

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