A growth-focused portfolio with high tech exposure and limited diversification

Report created on Jan 20, 2025

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is dominated by three ETFs: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF at 50%, Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF at 30%, and Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares at 20%. The heavy allocation to these ETFs suggests a focus on large-cap U.S. equities, which limits diversification. Compared to a balanced benchmark, the portfolio lacks exposure to bonds or international equities, which could buffer against market volatility. While the S&P 500 ETF offers broad market exposure, the concentration in tech-heavy ETFs like the NASDAQ 100 and Growth Index reduces diversification benefits. To enhance balance, consider integrating other asset classes or regions.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has delivered a strong CAGR of 15.88%, outperforming many traditional benchmarks. The max drawdown of -29.69% indicates significant volatility, a common trait for growth-oriented portfolios. This performance is largely driven by the tech sector, which has seen substantial gains over the past decade. However, it’s crucial to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Consider diversifying to cushion potential downturns. While the portfolio has performed well, it may not withstand market corrections as effectively as a more diversified portfolio.

Projection Info

Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to project future outcomes, show a wide range of potential returns. With a 50th percentile outcome of 614.7% and a 67th percentile of 926.9%, the portfolio shows strong growth potential. However, the 5th percentile at 142.7% highlights the risk of lower returns. Simulations indicate a high probability of positive outcomes, but the reliance on historical data means results are not guaranteed. Consider diversifying to smooth potential volatility. While projections are optimistic, they underscore the importance of maintaining a balanced risk profile.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is entirely allocated to stocks, reflecting a high-risk, high-reward strategy. This singular focus on equities can lead to substantial gains during bull markets but also exposes the portfolio to significant downturns. Most balanced portfolios include a mix of asset classes such as bonds, which can provide stability and income. Adding fixed income or alternative investments could reduce volatility and improve risk-adjusted returns. By diversifying asset classes, you can potentially achieve a more stable growth trajectory over the long term.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    42%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    13%
  • Telecommunications
    11%
  • Financials
    8%
  • Health Care
    8%
  • Industrials
    6%
  • Consumer Staples
    5%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    2%
  • Real Estate
    1%

Technology dominates the sector allocation at 42%, with consumer cyclicals and communication services following. This concentration aligns with the growth profile but increases vulnerability to sector-specific risks, especially if tech experiences downturns. A more balanced sectoral allocation, including defensive sectors like healthcare or utilities, could enhance resilience. While high tech exposure has driven past returns, diversifying into other sectors could mitigate risks associated with tech volatility. Consider rebalancing to achieve a more even sector distribution.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%
  • Europe Developed
    1%

With 99% of assets in North America, geographic diversification is limited. This heavy U.S. focus benefits from the country's robust market but exposes the portfolio to regional risks. In contrast, a globally diversified portfolio could capture growth in emerging markets and hedge against U.S.-specific downturns. Consider incorporating international equities to enhance diversification. Balancing U.S. exposure with international investments can reduce risk and potentially improve returns by tapping into broader economic trends.

Market capitalization Info

  • Mega-cap
    53%
  • Large-cap
    33%
  • Mid-cap
    14%

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards mega-cap stocks at 53%, with big-cap at 33% and medium-cap at 14%. This focus on large companies offers stability but may limit growth potential compared to a more diversified capitalization strategy. Smaller companies often provide higher growth opportunities but come with increased volatility. Integrating small or micro-cap stocks could enhance growth potential and diversification. Balancing market capitalization exposure can help capture returns across different economic cycles.

Redundant positions Info

  • Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares
    Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
    High correlation

The portfolio contains highly correlated assets, particularly between the Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares and Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, reducing diversification benefits. In downturns, this can exacerbate losses. To improve diversification, consider replacing or reducing correlated assets with those that have historically moved independently. By minimizing correlation, you can enhance the portfolio's ability to withstand market volatility.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The current portfolio setup could benefit from optimization on the Efficient Frontier, which seeks the best risk-return trade-off. However, the high correlation between assets suggests limited diversification, impacting efficiency. By adjusting asset weights or incorporating less correlated investments, you can potentially achieve a more optimal risk-return balance. Efficiency focuses on maximizing returns for a given risk level, not necessarily diversification. Consider rebalancing to enhance portfolio efficiency and achieve better alignment with your risk tolerance.

Dividends Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.60%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 1.20%
  • Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares 0.50%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.88%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.88%, reflecting its growth focus. While dividends provide a steady income stream, growth portfolios typically prioritize capital appreciation over income. For investors seeking income, integrating higher-yielding assets could be beneficial. However, if capital growth is the primary goal, the current yield aligns with this strategy. Balancing growth with income-producing investments can provide a more comprehensive return profile.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 0.15%
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 0.03%
  • Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF Shares 0.04%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.07%

With a total expense ratio (TER) of 0.07%, the portfolio benefits from low costs, supporting better long-term performance. Low TERs mean more of your returns stay in your pocket, enhancing compounding over time. This cost efficiency aligns well with best practices, ensuring that expenses don't erode potential gains. Maintaining a focus on low-cost investments can significantly impact your portfolio's net returns. Continue prioritizing cost-effective options to optimize long-term growth.

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