The portfolio is heavily weighted towards the Fidelity 500 Index Fund, comprising 80% of the allocation. This indicates a strong preference for large-cap US equities. The remaining 20% is divided between international, mid-cap, and small-cap funds, aiming to introduce some level of diversification. However, the overwhelming emphasis on a single fund suggests a concentrated risk profile, particularly in the context of market fluctuations affecting large-cap US stocks.
Historically, the portfolio has shown a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.74%, with a significant maximum drawdown of -34.32%. These figures highlight the portfolio's growth orientation but also underscore its vulnerability to market downturns. The days contributing to 90% of returns being limited in number suggest that the portfolio's performance is heavily reliant on short-term market surges, which could be a risk factor for investors seeking stable, long-term growth.
Monte Carlo simulations project a wide range of outcomes, with the median suggesting a potential 343.9% increase. While these projections provide a glimpse into possible future scenarios, they're rooted in historical data, which doesn't guarantee future performance. Investors should consider this variability, especially since the simulations indicate a significant spread between the lower and upper percentiles, highlighting the risk of substantial fluctuations.
The portfolio is entirely invested in stocks, with no allocation to cash, bonds, or other asset classes. This singular focus on equities maximizes growth potential but also increases volatility and risk. Diversifying across different asset classes could provide a buffer against stock market downturns and contribute to more stable long-term returns.
Sector allocation is broadly diversified across 11 sectors, with a notable emphasis on technology, financial services, and consumer cyclical sectors. This sectoral distribution aligns with the portfolio's growth focus but may expose it to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or economic cycles affecting these dominant sectors.
Geographic allocation is heavily skewed towards North America (90%), with minimal exposure to other regions. This concentration enhances exposure to US market performance but limits potential benefits from global diversification, such as mitigating region-specific risks and capitalizing on growth in emerging markets.
The portfolio's market capitalization exposure reflects a preference for larger companies, with a significant portion allocated to mega and big caps. While this may contribute to stability during volatile periods, the modest allocation to small and micro caps limits opportunities for outsized returns from faster-growing firms.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The current allocation suggests room for optimization towards the Efficient Frontier, potentially offering a better risk-return trade-off. Adjusting the balance between large-cap US equities and other asset classes or geographic regions could improve the portfolio's overall efficiency, enhancing returns for a given level of risk.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 1.06%, contributing to its total return. While not the primary focus for growth-oriented investors, dividends offer a source of passive income and can provide a cushion during market dips. The international fund's higher yield suggests a potential area for increasing income without significantly altering the portfolio's growth trajectory.
With an overall Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.02%, the portfolio benefits from low costs, which can significantly enhance long-term returns. Keeping costs low is crucial for maximizing investment growth, especially in a portfolio focused on index funds, where the primary goal is to match, rather than beat, market performance.
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