Portfolio with High Risk and Low Diversification Primarily in Technology and Small Cap Value Stocks

Report created on Nov 28, 2024

Risk profile Info

6/7
Aggressive
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is heavily weighted towards the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, making up nearly 90% of the allocation. The remaining 10% is invested in the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF. This composition indicates a strong focus on the semiconductor industry and small-cap value stocks. With such a concentrated approach, the portfolio lacks diversification across different sectors and asset classes. It's important to consider diversifying into other areas to reduce risk and improve stability. A more balanced allocation could provide a buffer against sector-specific downturns and enhance overall performance.

Growth Info

Historically, the portfolio has shown impressive growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.77%. However, this comes with significant volatility, as evidenced by a maximum drawdown of -43.19%. The portfolio's performance is largely driven by a few key days, with 90% of returns generated in just 25 days. This highlights the high-risk, high-reward nature of the current allocation. While the potential for high returns is attractive, it's crucial to be prepared for substantial fluctuations in value. Diversifying investments could help mitigate extreme swings and provide more consistent growth over time.

Projection Info

Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, we project the portfolio's future performance. This method uses random sampling to predict potential outcomes. The results show a wide range of possible returns, with the 5th percentile at 222.58% and the 67th percentile at 4,392.23%. The median outcome is a 2,525.24% increase, with an annualized return of 31.85%. While these projections suggest strong potential growth, they also emphasize the uncertainty and variability inherent in the portfolio. It's essential to weigh these potential outcomes against personal risk tolerance and financial goals when considering future investment strategies.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is almost entirely comprised of stocks, with a negligible amount of cash. This high concentration in equities aligns with an aggressive investment strategy, aiming for substantial returns. However, the lack of asset class diversification increases exposure to market volatility. Incorporating other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, could help balance risk and provide more stable returns. A diversified portfolio can better withstand market fluctuations and offer a smoother investment journey. Consider adjusting the allocation to include a mix of asset classes that align with long-term financial objectives and risk tolerance.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    90%
  • Financials
    3%
  • Industrials
    2%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    2%
  • Energy
    2%
  • Basic Materials
    1%

The portfolio is predominantly invested in the technology sector, with over 90% allocation. This heavy emphasis on a single sector exposes the portfolio to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes or technological disruptions. While technology has been a strong performer, it's important to diversify across multiple sectors to mitigate risk. Including sectors like healthcare, consumer goods, or industrials could provide a more balanced approach and reduce vulnerability to sector downturns. A well-diversified sector allocation can enhance resilience and improve long-term growth prospects, ensuring the portfolio remains robust in varying market conditions.

Regions Info

  • North America
    82%
  • Asia Developed
    12%
  • Europe Developed
    6%

Geographically, the portfolio is mostly concentrated in North America, with some exposure to Asia and Europe. This regional focus can limit the benefits of global diversification, such as reduced risk and access to growth opportunities in emerging markets. Expanding geographic exposure could help tap into different economic cycles and reduce reliance on a single region's performance. Consider investing in regions with diverse economic drivers to enhance the portfolio's resilience and growth potential. A global perspective can provide a more comprehensive approach to investing, capturing opportunities across various markets and enhancing overall performance.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

The portfolio's optimization chart suggests room for improvement by enhancing diversification and adjusting the risk profile. Moving along the efficient frontier can achieve a more balanced risk-return ratio. Consider reallocating assets to reduce concentration in technology and small-cap value stocks, incorporating different sectors and asset classes. This shift can provide a more conservative approach or increase risk for higher returns, depending on personal preferences. While the current portfolio offers high growth potential, optimizing diversification and risk management can enhance stability and long-term success.

Dividends Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.50%
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF 0.40%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 0.51%

The portfolio's dividend yield is relatively low at 0.51%, with the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF contributing 1.5% and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF at 0.4%. While the focus is on growth rather than income, dividends can provide a steady cash flow and enhance total returns. Consider incorporating dividend-paying investments to improve income generation and add stability. A balanced approach between growth and income can offer a more comprehensive investment strategy, catering to both capital appreciation and cash flow needs. Reassessing the dividend strategy could improve the portfolio's overall performance and resilience.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF 0.35%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.34%

The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is 0.34%, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF at 0.35% and the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF at 0.25%. These costs are relatively moderate, but it's important to keep an eye on fees, as they can erode returns over time. Lowering costs can enhance net performance, especially in a long-term investment strategy. Consider exploring cost-effective investment options to optimize returns. Maintaining a focus on minimizing expenses can have a significant impact on the portfolio's growth potential and overall success, ensuring more of the investment returns are retained.

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